Saturday, November 12, 2022

Stormy Space Weather

Somewhat Insulated,

  The cold front hit yesterday afternoon, and the cold north wind blew all night​ at 15 to 20 mph. When we got to Yoakum from Austin last night it was warm downstairs in the new house, but kind of cold upstairs, where I had left the windows open. I closed them. This morning it was pleasantly cool downstairs and cooler upstairs, but did not feel cold, as it did outside in the wind. The insulation seems to do a fine job, even in a sustained wind.  
  I could barely feel my fingers while picking vegetables in the garden, which had been warm all week. We got lots of small tomatoes, a few medium tomatoes, four good eggplants and lots of kinds of peppers. Along with some fresh basil I picked, some of this became tonight's spaghetti dinner.

  Since it was finally cold enough to try the heating I put in with the build, I turned the heat pump from AC to heat, and turned it on. It worked fine. Very nice.
We have small , vented gas wall-heaters upstairs and downstairs, so I squatted down, read the directions and got the pilot lights lit. 
Jenny found the printed directions, so I was able to read about installing a thermostat ("sold separately") . 
  We never bought thermostats, but they are "passive", "microvolt thermostats", not requiring batteries or connection to house-wiring. These units are sold to work on gas-only. I looked at the 2 connections for the thermostat wired, which were easy to access with the front open. I touched them both with metal plies at the same time, and the flame came on. Success! 
  This is how I remember my grandparent's wall heater. No thermostat. Turn the little knob to Low, High or Pilot. 
I stripped a couple of pieces of wire, jumpered the connections for the thermostat, and turned the flames to low. They both made plenty of heat on low.
We are ready for winter in the new house. We turned the furnace on last night in the old house. It is big, central, and makes a big sound when the flame ignites. 
The fan blows impressively. I think it burns a lot of gas, by comparison. 
  It is still a work in progress, but we will see how much of our daily living and sleeping we can easily transfer to the new house this winter.

  Space weather is changing, too. Our lovely blue and green planet insulates us from most of that, most of the time, but not completely, and not always.
We didn't have space weather yet when I was a kid, but we do now. We didn't know about much except gravity and forms of radiation in space. There were little tiny particles moving really fast that could damage space capsule shells and windows.
  We did know about big solar flares, like the Carrington Event of September 1-2, 1859, which caused auroral displays and caused telegraph wires to vaporize.
The sunspot that spewed it was tracked by a hobbyist named Carrington, who got a lordship for it.

  These solar flares get tracked by NASA and others these days. We know there is a solar cycle of 11 years. There are electromagnetic excursions as well as ejection of high energy x-rays and gamma rays. The magnetic fields of the earth and the sun are also coupled.
  It looks like the whole of the universe is magnetically coupled, and all of it is in motion, and there are sheets of magnetic waves traveling through the universe, changing the behavior of stars as they cross them, so they can be tracked. Voyager has detected a lot of these electromagnetic fields and waves. Our sun has something like a bow-wave in front of a ship, as it speeds on its way.
  Our solar system is about to be engaged with a big, powerful electromagnetic wave, which seems to be cyclical, like a  big, spinning, wavy-disc. Voyager, and watching other stars, reveal this. Earth's magnetic field has been weakening more rapidly, and its strength has not been reported since 2010, when it was seen to have declined twice as rapidly as predicted. It was down 15% from 1900, and down about 35% from the field strength enjoyed by Jesus of Nazareth. The north pole has accelerated from a walk to a jog towards Siberia in recent years, increasing from 25 miles per year in 2--3, to 50 miles last year.
  There is a lot of uncertainty about polar reversals lately. They might be more frequent and transient than thought, not just every 100,000 to 10 million years. The electromagnetic universe, through which our electromagnetic sun and planet speed may be a determining factor, but it is only beginning to be studied. The current accelerated decay of earth's magnetic field, coupled with accelerating travel of the magnetic north pole, and the approach of the periodic electromagnetic wave, seen disturbing stars as it overtakes them, suggest that we humans may be in for some bad solar weather soon. 
  NASA won't talk about it. They clammed up after 2015 and have been making data posted earlier harder to find. The European Space Agency is just as tight-lipped.
The problem is that when the fields weaken X-rays and gamma-rays get through to the earth's surface, where they are extremely toxic to life forms, such as mammals. A steel roof doesn't stop gamma rays. Even lead sheet isn't enough. It needs to be thick lead. 
  Four feet of soil or water does a decent job of protecting life forms. Nobody has that, nobody normal, anyway. Driving in a car is no good. Driving at night protects you from solar rays, blocked by earth, but not from cosmic rays, coming from distant parts of our galaxy.
  Other very strange things can happen, like the younger-Dryas period of 13,00 to 11,500 years ago, when the weather changed abruptly from warming, back into sudden glaciation. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-11/3%20The%20Younger%20Dryas%20-FINAL%20NOV%20%281%29.pdf
  The Younger Dryas Period corresponds to what looks to be the last time this big electromagnetic spinning disc crossed our solar system. It also looks like large things impacted our planet, likely making clouds of water and dust, which could lead to glaciation. There were anomalies in the magnetic formations in hardening lava. Modern agriculture sprang up after that glaciation age warmed up, but some think it had already been present before that bad 1500 years of cold. There was a genetic bottleneck in our human genome around that time, also. There was a very small human population surviving in India, north Africa and the Mediterranean areas.
  Though NASA won't talk, Astrophysicist Ben Davidson will. This is a sub 10 minute talk he posted this past week about bad space weather effects we may expect "soon".  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EyPJfa_Cum0&t=2s

 Though we can't know exactly when, it would probably be this decade or next. Ben talks about our sun going into a recurring micronova event, a cyclic thing for our star, and seemingly linked to the recurring galactic electromagnetic wave disturbance that we now know about. 
  Because of how micronovas occur, there is a darkening of the sun, for an undetermined number of days, as solar energy emission decreases, and matter collects at and beyond the surface of the star. A burst of energy explodes this "shell" and releases an intense pulse of gamma and X-rays, which reach the earth in 8 minutes as an intense flash. You should be in a big cave somewhere since our bodies  would be sickened or killed at the surface. If it impacts the other side of our planet, you will be spared from the flash. 18 hours after the flash, the hurtling debris field arrives on your side of the planet, so the secure cave is still the place to be. I don't have one. I'm trying to figure this out. I'll need to have something actionable when the sun goes dark, right?
  Ben points out how rapidly we are accumulating knowledge of the workings of our universe, that all of the assumptions of not-much happening were based on our just not knowing much, and not looking for very long, or very effectively. We now have sensitive arrays to look at light and other radiation much farther away and are seeing all kinds of "new" things we did not know were happening. 
  Here, in 32 minutes, he presents Solar Micronova, The End of an Age, with good animated illustrations. This is the more complete video he talks about. This kind of an event will clearly have lots of human survivors, due to location, good fortune and preparation, but they will be a minority of humanity. 
This video is dense with information, which I am able to digest, having delved into numerous NASA videos in recent years for the background. Try it.

I'm always in this awkward position of believing in global warming, CO2, methane, other greenhouse-gasses, tipping points of melting polar ice caps and methane clathrates, but not being so worried about those things, compared to other things that would be better candidates to kill most of us. 536 ws purportedly "the worst year to be alive", likely due to a super-volcano erupting and darkening the sun for a year and a half, ruining crops, making it cold, and bringing out the worst in humans, which is ghastly.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/536

  536 kicked-off the "Late Antiquity Little Ice Age", which was likely the end of the Anasazi people in Mesa Verde.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Antique_Little_Ice_Age#:~:text=The%20Late%20Antique%20Little%20Ice,%2C%20539%2F540%20and%20547.

  From around 1300 to 1850 the northern hemisphere had "The Little Ice Age", with some very cold years, which were probably due to volcanic eruptions causing cooling. This is much better recorded, and includes the Black-Plague years. https://www.britannica.com/science/Little-Ice-Age/Changes-in-large-scale-atmospheric-patterns

  Since 1850, California has had a lot of nice weather, but we find out that was an anomaly. We assume that so much which is pleasant and agreeable in our world is the normal baseline. Who could blame us? 
  Being killed by weather is a recurring feature of human existence, and the deadly weather keeps changing for such a very wide variety of reasons, some of which we are just now discovering. Anthropogenic global warming seems to me to be a real thing. I am scientifically trained and educated, and it all seems to be completely as presented by climate scientists. Not looking at all of the other causes of deadly weather seems to be the fatal flaw. 
  The largest threat to most people is being killed by other people, which is well documented when weather and crops are bad in history. We have such a vast and intricate food production and distribution system, using 10 calories of fossil fuel for every one calorie eaten, that we are unfathomably vulnerable compared to other periods in history. Most of us would be dead within 3 months if all the electricity went off and stayed off.

  Thank you for considering the context that life is usually far more difficult than we have known it in our own years, and that this best-of-all times is not the baseline. Don't get sold a scam. Learn basic human living, especially vegetable gardening, walking and bicycling. I'm grateful to have been able to do all of the things, go all of the places, know and help all of the people that I have in my life. Now that I realize that this has been the best of all times, I feel a responsibility to help all of us go forward gracefully, without face-planting from the next curveball that the universe throws our way. 
  World War-3 has started. It's different from the first two, as you have noticed. The cause is about the same. Power elites are in a power struggle as the economy goes through big changes. They all need to get richer, to protect what they already own, and to get rid of some of their rivals and most of us useless-eaters.  
  That being said, a lot of them are probably not expecting a micronova event, or even Scotty losing our shields for a few decades. 
  Try to outlive them. Keep your head down.

Hotwiring the Heater (pictured in action) 


 

Thursday, November 10, 2022

Supply Lines

Providing Lunch,

  Most people think of war in terms of decisive battles and brilliant tactics, but I read that most generals and colonels think of war in terms of supply lines to the fighting forces. Wars are purportedly won more by the 90% "tail" than the 10% "tooth".
  Empires and multinational economic systems appear to be the same way. In the early days of colonialism, swords, armor, cavalry, cannons and muskets slaughtered native populations, freeing up their gold, lands and natural resources for industry, European industry, then American industry. Colonialism then moved some industry to the sources of the resources, while keeping profits at the center of the empire. That was more efficient, and prevailed.
  Surprisingly, in the mid 1800s to mid 1900s, it was discovered that healthier and more motivated workers, with much higher wages and living standards, advanced industry rapidly and profitably. Otto Von Bismarck in Germany and Henry Ford in the US proved that to otherwise dubious elites in Europe and the US.
  Colonialism and the Victorian era exploitation of workers, who died in their 20s, gave way to industrial capitalism with social safety nets for food, housing, medical care and old age. Industrial Capitalism flourished broadly in the world, including in former colonies. 
  Colonies were lost, just as chattel slavery was lost, because these forms were out-produced by industrial economies which provided high standards of living and security for their working populations. Marx was accepted by industrial capitalists, who incorporated his observations and analysis, making the revolutions of 1848-1849 and his Communist Manifesto, redundant. Marx died a success, long before the Bolshevik Revolution, which did not accomplish its stated goals.
  Something changed in "capitalism" in the mid 20th century, quietly, and while maintaining the "brand-name". "Industrial Capitalism" became increasingly parasitized by "Financial Capitalism", which is the "Rentier" model of extracting value from any and all economies. 
  That's parasitic blood-letting. The parasites have taken control of the financial system, which has taken control of the real economy. 
  The financial system, at best, facilitates the functions of the real economy, and carries information about how it is working, by means of production and "profits".
Investments in production provide returns, based on how well the productive project performs in the real economy. 
  Banks don't actually lend to make industries, as Michael Hudson likes to point out. Those "productive loans" are made through purchase of stocks,  and sometimes corporate bonds.   https://thesaker.is/the-real-progressive-interview-of-michael-hudson-with-transcript/
  Banks make non-productive loans on things of value, which already exist, like land, housing, and office buildings. Banks, and finance in general, seek to avoid all risk, placing all risk onto the borrower.
  Productive investments, like purchasing stock in a growing factory, initially accepted risk in the venture, and was understood to share in the rewards of success, by getting paid dividends in the company, as it prospered. The factory could fail. The stock would then be worthless. Doing research into companies, before purchasing their stock was "due diligence". These were long-term investments in progress.
  Financialization and high-frequency-trading have eliminated that model for most public investors, because "activist shareholder" groups can band together, take over the controlling stock of  a company, sell its assets, like factories, take out loans, and use the money to buy the stock back from themselves at great profit. they then abandon the hollow shell, like Sears. 
  This is bad for the long-term prospects of any nation, but the profits pay to capture regulators and provide public-relations advertising. "Financial Innovation" sounds better. Clinton got that stuff through Congress, eliminating the protections like the (nice and short) Glass Steagall Act of the Great Depression era.

  So, getting back to supply-lines winning a war... There is now a contest between the financial systems of the former colonial powers, the "developed/industrialized" nations, which are now being consumed from within, and the other 80% of the world, which pays them "tribute" in the form of profits, and supplies them with raw materials, and more and more manufactured goods.
  Why supply the "owners" with profits and goods if they control neither the raw materials, the labor, or the means of production?
The only practical answer is that you will be severely harmed if you don't, like Saddam Hussein and Moammer Ghaddaffi were. 
  That perfectly-good-reason is brought more and more into doubt, as western neo-colonial military prowess declines. Cuba, Iran and Venezuela are still being economically choked, which brings suffering and death upon their citizens. They are promised "relief" if they comply, but they see how those promises have been kept to others.
  The NATO debacle in Afghanistan looked bad, looked like the fall  of Saigon. The punishment of Russia, and destruction of the Russian economy, through the war in Ukraine, and western sanctions, was supposed to reassert the threat of suffering for non-compliance with the extraction-model. The punishing attacks broke fundamentally accepted rules of the global financial system, an all-or-nothing risk to that $US financial system. $300 billion of Russian $US and gold were confiscated. All $US holdings are declared to be discretionary to the US government going forward. 
  Iran, Venezuela and Afghanistan had been "sanctioned" this way, already, but this move meant that no global economic player had any security of wealth within the $US system. This made the issue of alternative global trade finance pressing and urgent to the rest of the world, 80% of the world. Fortunately, they had been working on alternatives since 2008, mainly to reduce their losses through payment of "tribute" to the system of financial-capitalism. 
  China has become the global manufacturing engine that the US was from the 1930s through the 1960s. Russia has the most natural resources of any country (USA #2). The BRICS consortium and the Shanghai Cooperation organization provide frameworks for cooperation outside of the $US dominated western financial system. Many exploited countries of the "global south" would much prefer to profit from their own national resources and industry, to raise the living standards of their own citizens. This is not to say that their elites are not selfish and dishonest, but to say that they have good reason to cooperate to replace the present exploitative system, especially since the threat to them personally is becoming less and less.
  After Nixon was forced to default on the gold-standard, and negotiated a special-relationship with King Faisal, Saudi Arabia became the pivotal country in the petro-dollar arrangement. Saudi Arabia only accepted $US in payment for oil, holding global oil markets to that standard, and reinvesting $US in US Treasury debt, sustaining the $US imperial system and funding the US federal government in (almost) perpetuity.
  Saudi Arabia now has other offers to consider. Protection and profit are the interests of the Kingdom. Russia seems to be pretty reliable in the "protection" department, and China is a big market, and manufactures most of what the world needs. Saudi Arabia openly plans to join BRICS, and has been very cooperative with Russia and China, even somewhat cooperative with Iran, lately.

Not very afraid:

​  ​Russian LNG suppliers have recently sold LNG cargoes in Asia at close to the prevailing spot market prices, suggesting that fears of sanctions on Russia’s LNG exports have nearly disappeared.

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Steep-Discount-On-Russian-LNG-Disappears.html
  
  It is interesting to me that Musk and Dorsey have history in PayPal, electronic finance, and Musk's biggest co-owners of Twitter are now Dorsey and a Saudi Prince. Is this going to be a new independent global financial platform? Just wondering...

​  ​The post-war phase (1950-1980) involved the victory of national liberation movements – China, Vietnam – in south east Asia and the middle-east – still ongoing – enabled the peripheries to impose a revision of the old asymmetrical terms of the global system and to enter into the industrial age. This period of negotiated globalization was exceptional, and it is interesting to note that the world then experienced growth that was the strongest known in history as well as the least uneven in terms of the distribution of what was produced and distributed
​  ​But whisper it softly there has occurred a slow geopolitical burn which is now not easily snuffed out and which goes from strength to strength. This emerging bloc of independent Eurasian states led in the main by Russia and China and organized in the BRICS (Brazil-Russia-China-India-SouthAfrica) and Shanghai Corporation Organization (SCO) represent an alternative system to the glaring global level of inequality and stands out like a beacon of light against the parasitism and orthodoxies of laissez-faire extractive capitalism/imperialism.
​  ​In more general terms Michael Hudson lays out a precis of a choice between the two alternatives. As follows:
"Finance capitalism is de-industrializing the US economy and that of its allied NATO satellites. The Destiny of Civilization explains that the resulting international diplomacy is not a competition for markets (as the Western Economies are already deindustrializing as a byproduct of financialization and capital’s war against wage labour), nor a conflict between democratic freedom and authoritarianism, but rather a conflict of economic systems juxtaposing the rentier economics of debt-deflation and austerity to socialist state-subsidized growth protecting the 99% by keeping the 1% in check.’’
​ ​
​  The global financial-extraction system sees a new way to forge-forward in reducing wages, while maintaining worker-motivation and "productivity". We know that they see "transhumanism" as the answer, replacing human ingenuity with AI, and motivating the few necessary human workers with brain implants and control of all finance and purchases.​ This "solution" clearly converges on reduction of workers to nothing, no-expense, no-voice, no ability to be "consumers", to be a "market". Like exponential-growth on a finite planet, the end-game of this "trans-human" regime is clearly defined, and would be approached in a short time.
  What would be the next economic arrangement? It seems like there would not be one, after the replacement of natural humans with cyborg-slaves, incapable of autonomus actions. 
  Maybe I just don't have a good enough imagination, but it is easier  for me to imagine replacement of the global-neoliberal financial-capitalism model with good-old-fashioned Henry Ford industrial capitalism, supported by public provision of schooling, utilities, roads, medical care and retirement security.

  ​The pervasive use of government newspeak in this article is chilling, but that's what happens when one has to quote government mouthpieces and functionaries.​
You have to think a bit about what each genteel statement means when it is carried out in the world.
The Quiet Merger Between Online Platforms and the National Security State Continues

​  Hungary says they saw what happened when they agreed to the COVID emergency borrowing through the EU. Hungary and Poland are having their own funds withheld by the EU right now, but are expected to vote in favor​ of backing another loan-to-nowhere for the NATO Mafia to distribute as it sees fit.
Hungary reacts to EU aid plan for Kiev

​  Russian preparations to withdraw across the river from Kherson are detailed here. The city has been evacuated of civilians, and is expected to become a kill-zone for either Russian or Ukrainian military forces soon.​ Ukrainian forces have taken very high losses in the past 3 months of offensive attacks around Kherson.   If Ukrainian forces take Kherson they can strike at Crimea. If Russian forces later retake Kherson, they are expected to advance to Odessa, capturing the whole Ukrainian Black Sea coastline. Ukraine is really muddy and still having heavy rains. Tank maneuvers will be possible by early December, when the ground is frozen solid.   https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/11/the-pullout-from-kherson.html


​Local Investor (pictured with one of 4 developing banana stalks)​  


Wednesday, November 9, 2022

Not Yet

 Still Preparing,


US Nuclear Forces Chief Says ‘the Big One Is Coming’
​  ​The commander that oversees US nuclear forces delivered an ominous warning at a naval conference last week by calling the war in Ukraine a “warmup” for the “big one” that is to come.
​  ​“This Ukraine crisis that we’re in right now, this is just the warmup,” said Navy Adm. Charles Richard, the commander of US Strategic command. “The big one is coming. And it isn’t going to be very long before we’re going to get tested in ways that we haven’t been tested [in] a long time.”
​  ​Richard’s warning came after the US released its new Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), which reaffirms that the US doctrine allows for the first use of nuclear weapons.

​  Former Russian President Medvedev explains the reason behind the timing of the special-military-operation to eliminate elements hostile to Russian-speakers and Russia.​  Kiev’s nuclear ambitions spurred Moscow’s military operation
​  ​Under the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, Ukraine surrendered its Soviet-era nuclear arsenal in exchange for promises from the US, Britain and Russia that they would “provide assistance” to the country in case of aggression. The three states also vowed not to attack Ukraine themselves.
​  ​However, Russian officials have repeatedly stated that this document was undermined by NATO’s eastward expansion, which threatened Moscow’s vital security interests. Moreover, prior to the start of the Ukraine conflict in late February, Zelenksy signaled that Kiev could give up its decades-old pledge to be a non-nuclear nation and reverse the decision it took to give up its atomic weapons.


​  War as a "lesser good" for the Godly, who prepare themselves to kill or to die for moral principles, to be judged by eternity.​ "The General" makes the case that only a Godly, morally intact army can excel. Anything else lacks the necessary foundation of certainty of conscience in each soldier. (Did Putin refer to this book?)
  While the Moscow military operation was taking place, in the author's reading schedule it was turn for a book by the Russian philosopher Vladimir Solovyov entitled “Three Conversations on War, Progress and the End of World History. The English translation, published in the second decade of the previous century, is entitled “War and Christianity from a Russian perspective“.Three Conversations” is a philosophical work by Vladimir Solovyov, in which he addresses several important issues, by presenting his ideas in the form of a discussion among five characters.

 After evacuating all civilians from Kherson 2 days ago, Russian troops are withdrawing to the east side of the Dnieper river. Ukrainian forces have been shelling the city, and the dam above it for weeks. It can't be a killing-field until there are people in it. Ukrainian forces are not eager to occupy the regional capital city.
Without holding Kherson, how can Russian forces take Odessa? But who wants to be in the way of a flood?
​  ​Both sides now appear to be scrambling to bolster manpower in the region, with Ukraine's military vowing to keep up the pressure after pounding the Russian-held city with artillery for weeks:
​  ​A senior adviser to Ukraine’s president said on Wednesday it was too early to talk about a Russian troop pullout from the southern city of Kherson.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-orders-troops-leave-kherson-zelenskys-office-cautions-over-staged-retreat

​  ​The United States and Russia are expected to meet soon and discuss resuming inspections under the New START nuclear arms reduction treaty that have been paused since before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, U.S. State Department spokesperson Ned Price said on Tuesday.
​  ​Speaking at a daily press briefing, Price said the bilateral consultative commission (BCC), the mechanism for implementation of the last remaining arms control agreement between the world's two largest nuclear powers, will meet "in the near future."


​ Ugo Bardi and I see this the same way. The defense against lies is the unremitting attempt to fully and completely understand reality in our own way, in our own living minds. Easy answers tend to be lies, calculated to serve some interest, which pays to make them available to you.​
How to Beat Propaganda: the Grokking Strategy
​  ​We can describe this attitude by the term "grokking," invented by sci-fi author Robert Anson Heinlein to indicate the kind of in-depth understanding that professionals have of their field. In Heinlein's fictional Mars, "to grok" also means "to drink." You assimilate knowledge just like you assimilate the water you drink. It is strictly related to the concept of "empathy" as discussed by Chuck Pezeshky in his blog. (It is also part of the concept of "virtual holobiont," but let me skip that, here).
​  ​The "grokking-style" learning is based on the idea that you don't trust any source just because it is "authoritative."

​Another Michael Hudson interview transcript, from which I excerpt this pearl of wisdom:
​  ​So there are two economic philosophies and I began the book by contrasting the dynamics of industrial capitalism with finance capitalism. And industrial capitalism in the United States, Germany, England, and every country where it took off, was to promote a public investment in basic infrastructure monopolies in transportation, communication, education, healthcare.
​  ​The idea is that if the government would provide these basic services and basic human rights at subsidized rates – or freely, as in the case of education and healthcare – then employers would not have to pay labor a high enough basic wage to make labor pay for healthcare – as in the United States where 18% of GDP is for healthcare – or to pay for education, the 1.7 trillion that goes for student debt in the United States, not mentioning the education that is not debt-financed.
​  ​Finance capitalism basically sought to break away all of the public infrastructure. Most financial fortunes and financial fortunes in history were made just in the way that Zola had described, by prying thefts from the public domain.
​  ​But the financial capitalism doesn’t say… You don’t have to steal it; you actually make it your policy, giving away the financial domain in the way that President Yeltsin gave away all of Russia’s natural resources, public utilities, electric companies, anything that yields an economic rent that can be just easy income without any investment. And you financialize it.
​  ​You’ve had, for the last – really since the 1980s, but even since World War 1 – this movement to prevent industrial economies from being low cost. But the objective of finance capitalism, contrary to what’s taught in the textbooks, is to make economies high cost, to raise the cost every year.

  ​I will make the case that the next default will be massive devaluation of the $US against gold, allowing all federal debts to be paid-off-in-gold at much reduced real value. Other deeply indebted countries will do the same, maybe first, or at the same time. Suddenly transitioning to Central Bank Digital Currency requires too much trust and agreement in our world.​ There is too much to read here. This is the nugget. Thanks Ilargi.
Are You Ready for the Coming U.S. Government Default?
​  ​The popular American myth is that the U.S. government has never defaulted on its debt.  Quite frankly, that’s an unadulterated lie.  The U.S. government has (unofficially) defaulted on its debt twice within the last hundred years...
​  ​Executive Order 6102 of 1933, which forced all American citizens to turn in gold coins and bars, was, in fact, a default.  Gold ownership in the United States, with some small limitations, was illegal for the next 40 years.
​  ​Under EO 6102, Americans were compensated $20.67 per troy ounce of gold.  They were paid with paper dollars.  Immediately following the government’s gold confiscation, the price of gold was raised by the Gold Reserve Act of 1934 to $35 per ounce.  Just like that, American citizens were robbed of over 40 percent of their wealth.
​  ​The second default occurred in 1971, when President Nixon “temporarily” suspended the convertibility of the dollar into gold.​  

​  But they won't say how they know these numbers. They may be confirming total sales, then looking at declared purchases, and declaring the=at central banks quietly bought the rest. That might be right. Somebody appears to have bought the most gold in history this year, and it's a secret. One presumes they took possession, in the prevailing circumstances.​
​  ​“Global central bank purchases leapt to almost 400 tonnes in Q3 (+115% q-o-q). This is the largest single quarter of demand from this sector in our records back to 2000 and almost double the previous record of 241t in Q3 2018.
It also marks the eighth consecutive quarter of net purchases and lifts the y-t-d total to 673 tonnes, higher than any other full year total since 1967.”
Specifically, the World Gold Council claims that Q3 2022 central bank gold demand was 399.3 tonnes, which is a massive 340% higher than Q3 2021.


​  Peter Schiff has good reason to push gold. ​Still, he makes a good case that something has fundamentally changed in the way gold "markets" are managed, to allow a $50 increase in the price of an ounce of gold Friday, then another $40 on Monday, when it had never been allowed to rise more than $20 (thanks Dr.D) before. This could be a signal that gold is the ordained next-bubble. 
As above, that would allow global central banks to get out of debt by massively devaluing against gold, then settling under a new global gold regime.
Peter Schiff: The Gold Train Has Left the Station​     

​Charles Hugh Smith: The Unintended Consequences of Unintended Consequences
​ ​Decades of central bank distortions and regulatory / market-share capture by cartels and monopolies have completely gutted "markets," destroying their self-correcting dynamics.​ ​

​  The post-mortem analysis of midterm election results won't be fully settled until the December 6 runoff election for US Senate seat in Georgia, but it appears that Republicans will take a narrow lead in the House, while the Senate is a toss-up, favoring the Democrats, since VP Kamala Harris can cast a tie-breaking vote.​
  My view is that there will be another 2 years of gridlock, as the rest of the world, outside of NATO and other vassal-states, moves rapidly forward to bypass the $US in global trade. There is the splitting into 2 blocs, as Michael Hudson describes above, but the declining bloc is self-cannibalizing. 
  There cannot be a power/leadership transition in the US/NATO/$US bloc until the current power elites capitulate in ultimate despair. 
The owners may kill a lot of their herds before they despair like that. It seems like a best-case-scenario that this bottom could be reached in 2024, blame dumped on "Joe Biden", and some transitional-figure elected to walk the USA through chapter-11 bankruptcy. 
  Power elites could really wait another 4 years, until 2028 to give-up-all-hope. That would imply horrific war in those years. 
I sincerely suggest that we turn our efforts and best-intentions towards hitting bottom by 2024. 

​  Ben Davidson is a brilliant scientist and author of the textbook on Space Weather. 
From 2:30 he explains that all of the space agencies have clammed-up on magnetic field strength data in recent years. 
We are mainly looking at 6 year old data, which was showing rapid weakening of our protective fields.​ Thanks Red.

​  If you mimic the trees, shrubs and herbs in a mature old-growth forest near you, or one that previously existed where you live, you can nurture that mix, planted fairly densely, for 3 years and it should self-sustain. This is significantly expensive, and in 100 years it will just look like something to log, if it is big enough. 
It's not financially feasible, except as a gift to life, with an uncertain future. 
Imagining a Mini-Forest’s Potential: The Miyawaki Method
How to make a mini forest with Miyawaki method


​Impatiently Waiting  (pictured with growing Nam Wah banana stalk)


Monday, November 7, 2022

Economics In Practice

 Not Buying It,


  I keep thinking that the world needs a new theoretical economic framework, but maybe I'm wrong. What I see going on now with global central banks, does not appear to be based upon neoliberal economic theory, as taught in universities. Theoretical excuses are provided, and are often pretty lame, while it is apparent that the real levers being pulled are serving politically powerful interests, and are weaponized, even as the productivity of the real economy is in decline.
  Numerous bottlenecks have been put in place in the fossil fuel supply chains, which nourish industrial-economy. We have seen the self-starving sanctions "against Russia", imposed upon Europe, and the destruction of the Nordstream pipelines by NATO, as the NATO naval practice-maneuvers against submarine warfare were coming to a close after 3 months. 
  Oil refineries in the US have been defunded, excluded from consideration as an investment, based on government policy. Now they are a bottleneck. They have been run so intensively for the past year in the US that there are accidents, fires and explosions. Maintenance and repair are costs that are reportedly being minimized.
  In any economy, supply bottlenecks provide points of control to throttle the economy down. They also create points where prices can be massively raised, and everything still looks normal. It seems that we are seeing the reduction of western industrial economy by the employment of these choke points, perhaps a little ahead of the decline in available oil. The choke points can become the focus, rather than the decline of available oil. The economic downturn does not "demand" as much oil.
  All of this is reactionary and manipulative, but fails to address the development of an efficient political-economy to provide for the human needs of societies, as the world proceeds into an epoch of less cheap oil. Perhaps the plan is to phase-out the populations who are accustomed to having plenty of energy, resources, products and services. There is a rationale to that. Maybe we're no good at using less, and it's too hard to teach somebody that.
  The one thing which appears to be the basis of the workings of the economic control levers, is that the people working the levers get to keep working the levers. They are so good at it by now. 
  I can't help but wonder if some simple things that I do, like vegetable gardening, riding a bike, sharing discoveries and ideas might contribute to a new synthesis. A new synthesis might not look too different from the norm of a few generations ago, or life in other countries we might have visited in our travels.

Pepe Escobar, Berlin goes to Beijing: the real deal
​  ​Solid German business sources completely contradict the “message” delivered by the German Council on Foreign Relations on the trip to China.
​  ​According to these sources, the Scholz caravan went to Beijing to essentially lay down the preparatory steps for working out a peace deal with Russia, with China as privileged messenger.
​  ​This is – literally – as explosive, geopolitically and geoeconomically, as it gets. As I pointed out in one of my previous columns, Berlin and Moscow were keeping a secret communication back channel – via business interlocutors – right to the minute the usual suspects, in desperation, decided to blow up the Nord Streams.
​  ​Cue to the now notorious SMS from Liz Truss’s iPhone to Little Tony Blinken, one minute after the explosions: “It’s done.”
​  ​There’s more: the Scholz caravan may be trying to start a long and convoluted process of eventually replacing the US with China as a key ally. One should never forget that the top BRI trade/connectivity terminal in the EU is Germany (the Ruhr valley).
​  ​According to one of the sources, “if this effort is successful, then Germany, China and Russia can ally themselves together and drive the US out of Europe.”
​  ​Another source provided the cherry on the cake: “Olaf Scholz is being accompanied on this trip by German industrialists who actually control Germany and are not going to sit back watching themselves being destroyed.”
http://thesaker.is/berlin-goes-to-beijing-the-real-deal/

A Michael Hudson interview from this summer is published now, pertaining to his Destiny Of Civilization book
  Hudson points out that in the late 1800s Classical Economics sought to promote a prosperous society by reducing parasitic rent collection, and by  providing at low cost infrastructure that served all aspects of society, like roads, water, sewers, electricity, communications , schooling, insurance, pensions and medical care.
This "Fordist" model of capitalism was advancing until the first world-war placed all involved nations into excessive debt, which removed their initiative, especially Germany, which had led the way under Bismarck. The UK was also seriously impaired. Rentier-interests in banking and finance regained an upper hand.
  In the second world war, some of this was sorted out, and state-socialism had a resurgence until the Reagan/thatcher/Blair epoch, where common properties were sold off to private entities, which purchased them with debt-bearing loans. This required double-rent payments, usually at the expense of reliability and modernization of infrastructure.
  This rentier-based neoliberalism is a modern rent-collecting neo-feudalism. As it spreads rent collection globally, impoverishing workers everywhere, and degrading public infrastructure everywhere, it erodes the constructive forces of industrialism, while preventing the address of the consequences of industrialization, like pollution and industrial disease.
  Hudson sees the modern state in the west as having shifted from protecting borrowers, through bankruptcy proceedings, to protecting debt-holders, as in the case of student-loans and national debts which can never be discharged, and create a form of permanent slavery or peonage.
  Hudson points out that most of this is concentrated in the $US financial system, and is coming to a crisis point this fall (i.e. now). Much of the $US debts are within the western countries, but they are also systemically important in debtor countries like Argentina, though they may be owed to local financial elites in those places.
  Hudson discusses the Asian tradition, and near-eastern tradition of debt cancellation at the beginning of the reign of a new monarch, to stabilize society. He discusses the wars fought over this and their outcomes. He discusses that China sees debt in this light, and the benefits to society of letting resources go into new endeavors, rather than stagnating in paying-off the debts of failed projects.
  Hudson does not see a ready path for the west to re-invigorate productive economy, since both wings of the American uniparty are captured by rentier interests, which continue to bleed the productive economy, and dictate national and international policy positions. He sees this going on for 20 years of separation of global economies into a closed western-bloc, and a broader and more flexible rest-of-the-world.  (One might nurture a glimmer more of hope than that, perhaps?)

So countries like India and China can refine and/or relabel Russian crude and sell it at market prices, like they have been doing? 
It's a point of control for flows and rent-extraction, an economic choke-valve.
Russian Oil Price Cap Will Not Apply To Resold Cargoes

Mike Whitney says the world is now in WW-3 as the west ($US-Empire) fights to prevent the rise of China to global dominance.
​  ​This is why we are experiencing the redivision of the world into warring blocs. This is why we are seeing the roll back of 30 years of Globalization and massive suppy​-​line disruption. And this is why Europe has been thrust headlong into frigid darkness and forced deindustrialisation. All of these suicidal policies were concocted for one purpose and one purpose alone, to maintain America’s exalted spot in the global system. That is why all of humanity is presently embroiled in a Third World War; a war that is designed to prevent China from becoming the world’s biggest economy; a war that is designed to preserve US global primacy.

​  ​Russia’s foreign ministry said it fears that the world’s five declared nuclear powers are “on the brink of a direct armed conflict,” with Moscow warning of a catastrophic fallout and insisting that avoiding a clash is its top priority.

​But who will oversee and regulate the W.H.O.?   Thanks Red.
​  ​Earlier in 2022, the proposal for a WHO international Pandemic Treaty has raised alarms over the organization’s usurping the individual sovereignty of nations. The Treaty, which is scheduled to be finalized by May 2024, is largely a result of the WHO’s numerous inconsistencies, inadequacies and failures during the Covid-19 pandemic. If we call a spade a spade, the WHO has proven itself inept in handling any pandemic. Therefore, for the hardened globalists such Bill Gates and the leaders of the US and EU who wholly support the WHO, it makes perfect sense that the bumbling bureaucracy should be given more authority and control over global health.
​  ​The Pandemic Treaty would authorize the WHO complete control over both governments’ and civil societies’ internal preparedness over actions and policies to tackle future pandemics.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/hell-no-who-pandemic-treaty/5798100

​2.3 million fake-American-jobs added since March in an election year? Huh? Why? Has this ever happened before?
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/something-has-snapped-unexplained-23-million-jobs-gap-emerges-broken-payrolls-report

​The stage is now set to remove Joe Biden for incompetence and let the blame go with him. 
Who might be his designated replacement, and when?​ That seems flexible.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/lying-biden-betrayed-cnn-nyt-fact-checkers-unleash-new-narrative

Ukraine Starlink Terminals Reportedly Go Dark Over Funding Issues
However, one senior defense official told CNN that the Pentagon is actively negotiating with SpaceX to get the much-needed resources to keep Starlink operational in Ukraine.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraine-starlink-terminals-go-dark-over-funding-issues

Iran says it did sell a limited number of military drones to Russia, but last year, before there was a war in Ukraine.
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-admits-supplying-russia-drones-1st-time

  This is an excellent explanation of a critical process in weather-patterns on our living planet, the Biotic Pump, whereby the transpiration of forests creates an updraft, which drops as condensed rain. The condensation of vapor into falling water droplets reduces the local air pressure, and thereby draws-in moisture-laden air from nearby oceans or seas, which is at a higher pressure.
  I am now much better informed and more clearly understand the biotic-pump process, which is actually the main driver of inland rainfall patterns on continents.
The forest must be mature and varied to work at its best to draw moist air currents reliably from the oceans and seas.
Grasslands cannot be competent in this task.
Immature commercial forests can be erratically competent in this task.

  This description of a current weather manipulation over North America seems to be a synthetic mimic of the biotic pump. In this manipulation moisture in the air at night is chemically caused to precipitate, removing water vapor, which drops, and lowering the pressure, which draws moist air in from the coast. The clearing of the night skies causes earth to cool by radiating warmth out into the cold of space at night. Dane Wiggington says this is being done right now over the American northwest, and northern midwest. It's an interesting explanation, and makes the weather worth watching, to see if his assertion is supported or not.

  Coffee is good for you. Think of it as a vegetable. 
Dripped through a paper filter remains slightly better than other preparation options. 
2-3 cups every day seems to be the sweet-spot for benefits, but it's a fairly wide sweet spot. Thanks Charles.

Vegetable Soup Drinker (pictured with garlic and cabbage winter garden rows starting to come up)


Sunday, November 6, 2022

Interview With Meryl Nass MD

 Early Risers,


  I'm just posting my interview with Meryl Nass MD on the Children's Health Defense site as an​ ​"episode" today.
‘Good Morning CHD’ Episode 154: Meryl Nass Update With John Day, M.D.


​Cleaning House (pictured sweeping completed kitchen yesterday)​


Friday, November 4, 2022

Head Girl Corporatism

 Conventional Persons,


​  Thanks Dr.D. Eugyppius has this insight.​ 
  Order is imposed in the corporate and government world of bureaucracies by the keepers of order and unifiers of consensus, middle and upper managers of the "head-girl" archetype. Employees are selected and promoted for these personality characteristics of general competence, reasonableness and group-leadership. Originality of thought and independent problem-solving are not desired in hierarchical bureaucracies (or in Medicine these days, as I'll attest).
Once More on Renowned Fool Emily Oster, and the Malign Influence of Head Girls More Generally
Our governing elite are increasingly selected not for intelligence or ability, but for conscientiousness, agreeability and conformity. 
The consequence is a new kind of midwit tyranny.

​  Worried that the business won't be adequately managed by head-girl-squads. Musk assures that it will. Fascism was "stern fathers" last time around.
​Multinational Advertisers Begin Pulling Out of Twitter​
  Fascism was traditionally defined as an authoritarian government working hand-in-glove with corporations to achieve objectives. A centralized autocratic government headed by a dictatorial leader, using severe economic and social regimentation, and forcible suppression of opposition.
  That system of government didn’t work in the long-term, because the underlying principles of free people reject government authoritarianism.  Fascist governments collapsed, and the corporate beneficiaries were nulled and scorned for participating.  Then, along came a new approach to achieve the same objective.
  The World Economic Forum (WEF) was created to use the same fundamental associations of government and corporations.  Only this time, it was the multinational corporations who organized to tell the government(s) what to do.
  The WEF was organized for multinational corporations to assemble and tell the various governments how to cooperate with them, in order to be rewarded by them.   Corporatism was/is the outcome.
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2022/11/03/multinational-advertisers-begin-pulling-out-of-twitter/

  Professor Jeffrey Sachs has long been a neoliberal poster-child (head-girl) for doing-well-by-doing-good. He has recently burned some bridges in the left-liberal camp of American politics, taking a rationalist approach.
  President Joe Biden is undermining his party’s congressional prospects through a deeply flawed foreign policy.
  Biden believes that America’s global reputation is at stake in the Ukraine War and has consistently rejected a diplomatic off-ramp.  The Ukraine War, combined with the administration’s disruptions of economic relations with China, is aggravating the stagflation that will likely deliver one or both houses of Congress to the Republicans.
  Far worse, Biden’s dismissal of diplomacy prolongs the destruction of Ukraine and threatens nuclear war.  Biden believes that American credibility depends on NATO expanding to Ukraine, and if necessary, defeating Russia in the Ukraine war to accomplish that. Biden has repeatedly refused to engage in diplomacy with Russia on the NATO enlargement issue.
  This has been a grave mistake. It stoked a proxy war between the U.S. and Russia in which Ukraine is being devastated, ironically in the name of saving Ukraine

  That is a 3:2 vote with 10 abstentions
UN Security Council Votes Down Probe Into Biolabs In Ukraine
 
 At Wednesday's security council vote, US Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield said the United States and its ally the Ukrainian government have been "through Russia's allegations in Geneva, point by point, and debunked every single one."
  US, Britain, and France voted against Russia's proposal - but crucially China backed it, while ten rotating council members abstained, among the 15-nation body.
  "The United States does not have a biological weapons program. There are no Ukrainian biological weapons laboratories supported by the United States," Thomas-Greenfield countered.

​  ​Moscow says it has firm evidence that Britain's military assisted with last weekend's large-scale drone attack on its Black Sea fleet off Crimea.
  Russia said it plans to summon the British ambassador "in the near future" in order to present "evidence" the UK was behind the operation, which had threatened to collapse the UN-brokered Ukrainian grain export deal.
  While Russia has on Wednesday announced it is re-entering the grain deal after receiving "guarantees" from Ukraine and Turkey, it is still pointing the finger at London for sending "specialists" to help Kiev forces launch Saturday's drone attack...
..It should be noted that Russia has also of late accused British special operatives of helping to plan the September sabotage attack on the Nord Stream gas pipelines under the Baltic. The US has rejected these charges as "false claims on an epic scale."

​  ​NATO escalates (again) and achieves nothing (again) 
  But the demonic freaks who run the Hegemony are not demonic freaks for no good reasons.  These are the folks who brought us 9/11, the WMD crap and the GWOT!  These are the folks who destroyed country after country with truly satanic viciousness.
  These are the folks who ruined and laid waste to every single country they could take control off, the latest being, of course, the Ukraine itself.
  We are dealing with psychopaths who will do absolutely *anything* to stay in power, both on the planetary scale (the Hegemony) or in Washington DC (see video at the bottom of this article)
  Finally, and truth be told, everybody knows.  It does not take Liz Truss’ message to Blinken to know who is behind all these attacks and the “plausible deniability” criterion as been made so thin as to become irrelevant.  Here are just three examples illustrating this: (there are many more!)
  Russian got the GPS tracking data from the drones which attacked the BSF
The very visible and obvious Global Hawk monitoring flights over the Black Sea during that latest attack
US AWACS flights in Romanian airspace during the latest attack

  There are dozens of statements by top Russian officials which clearly indicate that they are all acutely aware of all this.  So far, we can make at least three potentially interesting observations:
  Russia is mostly pointing the finger at the UK (and not necessarily because the UK is the #1 evil doer here, but primarily because it is the weakest link in the US-UK-3B+PU “coalition of the willing”, militarily, politically and economically).
Russia now has enough in theater forces for a combined arms operation.
Russia is keeping most of her armed forces in a state of high readiness, including all her strategic forces (nuclear and conventional).

  Moon of Alabama calls bullshit on the US government for claiming that North Korea is selling artillery ammunition to Russia through the Middle East and Africa, when the 2 countries have a completely secure rail-line linking them, secure enough for Kim Jong Un to travel upon for a 2019 state visit to Russia.

​  ​Turkey holds off on Finland and Sweden in NATO​     (Head girl frustrated)
Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu has made clear that Turkey is fine with letting Sweden and Finland wait to join NATO. Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg says the candidate countries have met all the conditions.​..​
​  ​Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu poured cold water over Sweden and Finland’s aspirations to rapidly join NATO on Thursday, saying that, despite some progress, the countries had not met all the conditions of the three-way deal struck to allow them to enter the military alliance.
​  ​"Both countries are expressing that they are committed to the memorandum, but what matters is the execution,"
Cavusoglu said at a press conference with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg in Istanbul.

​  NATO and the Kh-32 Missile   A short video of this 620 mile range untouchable, near-hypersonic aircraft-carrier-killer, carried by Russian planes.​ 
http://thesaker.is/nato-and-the-kh-32-missile/

  Property rights exist only as they are enforced in the world. $300 billion of Russian-State property was confiscated by the west earlier this year, without any apparent legal process. After recent attacks upon the Crimean Kerch-strait Bridge and upon Russian ships assuring safe-passage, fee of mines, to the grain convoy, Russia nationalizes certain large enterprises in Crimea, "owned" by Ukrainian oligarchs. In times of global conflict, especially a conflict of global-trading rivals, we can expect that owners on the losing-side will be dispossessed in favor of allies of the prevailing side.
  If the BRICS trade regime becomes a full rival to the western $US arrangements, then countries can be expected to default upon $US debts, and to nationalize foreign held assets, like oil-wells and mines.
Russia strips Ukrainian ‘oligarchs’ of Crimean property – official
Major cement and shipbuilding plants will now be owned by the state

​Charles Hugh Smith: ​
​  ​The era of all-powerful central banks is over for a simple reason: they failed: they failed their citizens, their nations, and they failed the world. Their policies have pushed wealth and income inequality to extremes that have destabilized the planet's social, political, economic and environmental spheres.
​  ​As I have endeavored to explain for many years, this is the only possible outcome of central bank dominance. Once Finance becomes the primary mover of everything else, then it distorts everything into a skimming machine that benefits the few with access to central bank funding at the expense of everyone else.​..
​..Central bank gaming of Finance is the source of instability. Reining in central banks’ free money for financiers and cronies is the necessary first step to unseating Finance as the dominant force in markets, governance and the planetary skimming machine Finance has created.
​  ​Either power is taken from central banks or the vast inequality that is the result of central bank dominance will unravel the entire system. Take your pick, but the distortions are accelerating, and time is running short.’

  Taking possession of physical assets...
Central Banks Are Buying Gold At The Fastest Pace In 55 Years
WGS: Central banks bought a record 399 tonnes of gold worth around $20 billion in the third quarter of 2022.
WGC says among the largest buyers were the central banks of Turkey, Uzbekistan, Qatar and India.

  (Recently CIA deposed) former Pakistani PM, Imran Khan was shot today at a rally in a failed assassination attempt. He is undergoing surgery for a foot injury. One associate was killed, others wounded, and the gunman was caught and disarmed by those attending the rally. He has confessed and said that he acted  alone.
 The rally was in support of early elections. Khan is very popular, including with the Pakistani armed forces. He is expected to be re-elected. 
Khan, a former professional cricket star, is a populist nationalist, not a friend-of-empire.

  Midterms in less than a week.
House Republican Asks Elon Musk For Records On Twitter Censorship Of Hunter Biden Laptop Story

​Head Girls on the move. 
  Heading down the stretch of the 2022 midterm elections, white suburban women - who comprise 20% of the nation's electorate - are swinging back to Republicans in a big way.
  A new Wall Street Journal poll finds that white women in the suburbs now favor Republican congressional candidates by a whopping 15% margin -- a jaw-dropping 27-percentage-point move just since August.  

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fickle-white-suburban-women-running-back-gops-arms

  ​David Stockman: In short, a bad stagflation is here. Since the Fed will be locked in a battle to tame the price side of the equation even as real output falters for months and years to come.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/david-stockman-what-history-tells-us-about-taming-inflation

​  Australian raw data, when analyzed, reveals that COVID-vaccination more than triples an Aussie's risk of catching COVID these days.
​  ​From these figures you can see that the total infected population where the vaccine status was known (and eligible) was 267,381+2578+3552 = 273,511. This gives an unvaccinated or 1-dose rate of 2.2%. At the same time the (presumably 2+ dose) vaccination rate of 12+ years (i.e. the same group) was 91.5%.
If we plug that into our formula above we get a negative vaccine efficacy of 313%:​.

​  ​Senior Editor At British Medical Journal Speaks Out About COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Concerns​   Thanks Jeremy​.​
  The analysis showed that mRNA vaccines were associated with 1 additional serious adverse event for every 800 people vaccinated. This would normally have a vaccine taken off the market, and is in sharp contrast to the idea that serious adverse events are extremely rare as federal health regulatory agencies have commonly claimed with regards to COVID-19 vaccines. The authors also found that the trial data showed that the increase in serious adverse events following mRNA vaccination surpassed the reduction in risk of ending up hospitalized with COVID-19.

​  The Expose:  ​Official Government Reports prove COVID Vaccination is causing Depopulation
"This means, according to the UK Governments own official data, double vaccinated children are 1422% / 15.22x more likely to die of any cause than unvaccinated children. Whilst triple vaccinated children are 4423% / 45.23x more likely to die of any cause than unvaccinated children."

​  We know this happens some. It has been demonstrated repeatedly. Does it happen a lot? Is it in your genome now? Heritable by kids and grandkids?
Reverse Transcription—Permanent Installation of mRNA Genetic Code
Unintended Consequence of Novel COVID-19 Vaccines

Genomically Conventional

Thursday, November 3, 2022

Spotting Enemies

 Watching Vigilantly,


 This collection of linked articles seems to be identifying the enemy of non-elite humans. 
Is the "best defense" "a good offense" or is it "Invisibility"? 
I think I'd like to be invisible to enemies. It leaves a lot of flexible options.
This invisibility of our collective enemy is structural. There are confusing and opaque systems. 
We are bled, but can't see how. It's just how things are. 
We are told that there is a very tiny subset of people that owns almost everything, but it's wrong to name anybody, maybe even "racist" sometimes.

  Zero Hedge has the spectacular quotes in bold, but includes the whole interview transcript at the bottom. Roubini sees multiple interlinked threats to global economy, global warming from fossil fuels, very high debt, rising inflation/stagflation and the dependence on critical global supply chains. He thinks computer chips are more economically essential than oil. I disagree, but Taiwan makes 50% of global chips and 80% of "high-end" chips.
"It's Already Happening" - Roubini Warns "World War III Has Effectively Begun"

​Thanks Red: Vanguard and Blackrock Own the Entire World, Gary D. Barnett
​  ​In fact, these foundations and investment funds are the richest families, and many stay forever hidden, with the exception of the few. Bill Gates, Warren Buffet, George Soros, the Clinton’s, the Bush’s, the Rockefellers, the Rothschilds, and others are known, but most are not. Vanguard is a private corporation, and does not disclose its shareholders, so they can hide in plain sight; never divulging their ownership of the world. All of these players are directly and indirectly connected with each other, and the top few pull the strings of the planet’s economic systems.
​  ​Yes, Gates, Soros, the Rockefellers, the Rothschilds, the Royal Families, the Vatican, the top-level Zionists, the Morgan’s, the Bush’s, the Clinton’s, Klaus Schwab and the WEF, the UN, and many others are known, but many of the most evil and powerful controllers remain hidden in the shadows, while they manage all global networks. These are the owners of the rest of us, while their pawns in governments around the world due the bidding of their masters.
​  ​Most today think in terms of politics, and believe that politicians and the state players are in charge. This is idiotic nonsense, as the ‘covid’ hoax revealed. Virtually every country on earth acted in concert, and in the exact same manner at the same time. This would be not only absurd, but a complete impossibility unless a top-down conspiracy were in place, and being guided by the very few. Nearly every country in the world destroyed its own economies, its own citizens, and mandated similar if not identical policies meant to take total control over entire populations. If a large portion of the masses cannot understand the scope of this madness, there is no hope for humanity, for this world is now under the thumb of the few most powerful, who own and control most all the monetary systems, assets, land, medical care, pharmaceuticals, ‘education’ facilities, travel, banking, lawmaking, enforcement agencies, militaries, media, and have the ability to alter the psychological makeup of those they do not purposely murder by injection, torture, or starvation.
https://www.lewrockwell.com/2022/11/gary-d-barnett/vanguard-and-blackrock-own-the-entire-world-we-are-already-a-new-global-world-order-in-the-making/
  Michael Hudson draws an interesting historical parallel to the Roman Pope declaring "primacy" and declaring the Orthodox Church at Constantinople, and all of the ancient Patriarchs of Jerusalem and other sites to be null and void, not "Christian". At this point he declared that all earthly kings must subjugate their power and their kingdoms to the head of the Roman Catholic Church, himself, and pay tribute. The tribute was necessary to carry out wars of conquest against dissenting Germanic kings, and the Crusades/conquests of the Holy Land. When the conquests against "the other" finally failed, the Papal-authority scheme collapsed. One can see the similarities to the postwar hegemony of the US, taking up "the white man's burden" from the British-Empire, and now suffering humiliation in Europe, after the humiliation in Afghanistan. Where Hudson speaks of "America", my mind substitutes "neoliberal globalists".
One might hope that history plays out more expediently this time. They say history is moving faster these days.
Michael Hudson, Germany's Position in America's New  World Order
 U.S. President Biden and his State Department spokesmen have explained that Ukraine is just the opening arena in a much broader dynamic that is splitting the world into two opposing sets of economic alliances. This global fracture promises to be a ten- or twenty-year struggle to determine whether the world economy will be a unipolar U.S.-centered dollarized economy, or a multipolar, multi-currency world centered on the Eurasian heartland with mixed public/private economies.
  President Biden has characterized this split as being between democracies and autocracies. The terminology is typical Orwellian double-speak. By “democracies” he means the U.S. and allied Western financial oligarchies. Their aim is to shift economic planning out of the hands of elected governments to Wall Street and other financial centers under U.S. control. U.S. diplomats use the International Monetary Fund and World Bank to demand privatization of the world’s infrastructure and dependency on U.S. technology, oil and food exports.
  By “autocracy,” Biden means countries resisting this financialization and privatization takeover. In practice, U.S. rhetoric means promoting its own economic growth and living standards, keeping finance and banking as public utilities. What basically is at issue is whether economies will be planned by banking centers to create financial wealth – by privatizing basic infrastructure, public utilities and social services such as health care into monopolies – or by raising living standards and prosperity by keeping banking and money creation, public health, education, transportation and communications in public hands.
  The country suffering the most “collateral damage” in this global fracture is Germany. As Europe’s most advanced industrial economy, German steel, chemicals, machinery, automotives and other consumer goods are the most highly dependent on imports of Russian gas, oil and metals from aluminum to titanium and palladium. Yet despite two Nord Stream pipelines built to provide Germany with low-priced energy, Germany has been told to cut itself off from Russian gas and de-industrialize. This means the end of its economic preeminence. The key to GDP growth in Germany, as in other countries, is energy consumption per worker.
  These anti-Russian sanctions make today’s New Cold War inherently anti-German.
http://thesaker.is/germanys-position-in-americas-new-world-order/

Thanks Jeremy. The whole scheme is laid out here, all of the banks and international agencies with sovereign-immunity from laws, taxes and any oversight, and how they employ it, lays out the framework for the other pieces above, and suggests a mode of regression to identify the "owners" of humanity and Gaia, and maybe sit down for a talk with them some day. Maybe in a secure bunker or something. This piece of timeline caught my eye.
Laundering With Immunity, The Control Framework, Part 1
October 1, 1997
Money began going missing from the Department of Defense and the Department of Housing and Urban Development in the US Federal Government, in large amounts, totaling $21 trillion by fiscal 2015
September 10, 2000​  
 (​one year and ​one day before, AHEM...)
BIS sent a note to its registered shareholders informing them of BIS’ decision to the new restriction on the right to hold shares in the BIS exclusively to central banks, which included details about the mandatory repurchase of all shares, and the amendments of BIS’ statutes that were to be adopted by the Extraordinary General Meeting held on January 8, 2001. Note on BIS’ site.
May, 2002
BIS created a subsidiary called the International Association of Deposit Insurers (IADI), whereby the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is a member, along with 91 other deposit insurers. The U.S. Treasury, International Monetary Fund, and the World Bank are a few of the partners of IADI.
August 22, 2019
BlackRock’s white paper on “Going Direct” reveals that the central bank is moving funds directly into the hands of public and private sector spenders (meaning equity investors), in a laundering scheme
. The plan injected more than $5 trillion into the U.S. financial system. The following month, the U.S. Federal Reserve began a repo loan bailout program by “Going Direct” to the trading houses on Wall Street, and in March 2020, hired BlackRock to help implement the “Going Direct” plan.

​  Dmitry Orlov assures us that M.A.D. is back in force, and protecting all of us, in this world of completely-rational decision-making by rational decision makers who are really all-in-the-same-boat with the rest of us, and would prefer to lose their power and privilege than to risk nuclear annihilation.
​  ​The Russian nuclear sub Belgorod recently sailed off into the blue, causing a bit of a panic within NATO. It carries a number of the new Poseidon nuclear-powered drone torpedos, which are all about the number 100. Each of them carries a charge of 100 megatons. Poseidons have almost infinite range, move at around 100 km/h at a depth of 100m (three times deeper than any nuclear sub) and when detonated near an underwater coastal ridge can raise a 100-meter tsunami. Just five of them are sufficient to demolish both costs of the US and all of Northern Europe. These would be underwater nuclear tests conducted in international waters—antisocial, yes, but not exactly direct nuclear strikes on anyone’s territory, so hardly a casus belli. And the ensuing tsunami? Uh-oh! Oopsie-daisy, sorry about that! Nobody is going to write “in case of tsunami destroy Russia” into the US nuclear doctrine. Best of all, Poseidons can lie in wait for years, surfacing periodically to receive new orders. But if Russia is destroyed they will rise up and destroy the rest of the world world, because “What use is the world if there is no Russia in it?” (V. Putin)
​  ​We can be sure that the Russians won’t launch a nuclear war because it’s risky and they don’t have to take that risk in order to win. We can be sure that the Americans won’t launch one because it would be suicide. And so we can all sit back and relax while the “Putin’s nuclear blackmail” narrative-mongers bark their stupid heads off.


​  ​Those behind a major drone attack on the Russian naval base in the Crimean port city of Sevastopol made active use of a UN-brokered Black Sea grain corridor, the Russian Defense Ministry said in a statement after studying the wreckage of the unmanned combat vehicles.
​  ​The ministry’s specialists retrieved the navigational modules of the drones destroyed by the Russian warships and naval aviation, the statement said, adding that the Canadian-made devices stored data on the vehicles’ path to their target.
​  ​Most of them were launched from the Ukrainian Black Sea coast, not far from the port city of Odessa, the Russian military said. “The naval drones were then moving within the security zone of the grain corridor before changing course and heading towards the Russian naval base in Sevastopol,” the statement said.
​  ​Navigational data from at least one naval drone shows that it was launched from a sea location within the grain corridor security zone, the ministry added. According to Russian specialists, it might have been launched from a civilian vessel chartered by Ukraine or its “western backers” to transport Ukrainian agricultural produce.

​  "Fool me once"? I suspect that Russia has a countermeasure if Ukraine/UK/US/NATO pull the same trick again.​
​  ​Russia sa​ys​ it has agreed to return to the Turkey and UN-brokered grain deal to allow for the continued export of Ukrainian grain through a Black Sea 'safety corridor'.
​  ​Moscow said it has returned to the deal after receiving assurances that Ukraine will not use the maritime safety corridor for military purposes. Russia's Defense Ministry confirmed it has received "sufficient" guarantees from the Ukrainian government that it will demilitarize the humanitarian corridor, following last week Russia saying its ships had come under drone attack.
​  ​"Russia considers that the received guarantees are at the moment sufficient and is resuming the implementation of the agreement," the ministry said. The vital deal is set to be renewed in mid-November after nearly 10 million tons of grains and other foodstuffs have been sent through it since it was implemented in the summer. Russia announced it had pulled out on Saturday, resulting in a diplomatic scramble to find a way forward.

​Russia openly derides this "tabloid press" story.​ That's not a refutation. Presumably, they have their own sources so they don't have to believe or disbelieve it. 
​  ​The computers at GAZPROM, which recorded the minutes/seconds the sensor alarms went off, all use Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) for the time stamps.
​  ​Exactly one minute after the alarms went off at GAZPROM, iCloud records of Prime Minister Liz Truss iPhone, show that she used her iPhone to send a text message to Antony Blinken, US Secretary of State.   The message:   "It's done."
​  ​The iCloud computers also use Coordinated Universal Time for message time stamps.  So although Russia and the UK are in different time zones, UTC proves that it was literally ONE MINUTE after the GAZPROM pressure sensor alarms went off, that Liz Truss sent her text message to Blinken.


​Same source:  
​  The Russian Army has struck the base of the Ukrainian Navy in Ochachiv, a city in the Nikolaev Region, with missiles.  This particular strike took out the Communications Center and Intelligence Department of the British Naval Operations Service.
  We are told by sources in Ukraine that at least one Russian precision missile hit at the actual window sill of the Base Commander Office!


But, but, but ... "economics is the discipline where the majority is 'always wrong'".
Sergey Karaganov: We are witnessing the birth of a new world order where West will have to live within its means
It’s time for the Global Majority to take their rightful place at the top table


‘US has no plans to withdraw from Syria or end sanctions’: Official
Despite claiming its presence in Syria is solely to fight ISIS, US forces​ ​maintain regime change policies against Damascus and illegally loot the country’s oil
​  ​US troops in Syria are preoccupied with their persistent and illegal oil-looting operations, the latest of which took place on 26 October. Lately, Washington has even stepped up its looting of Syrian oil in order to alleviate the man-made energy crisis it faces, as well as to ease the effect of the latest decision by OPEC+ to cut output production levels.
​  ​According to the Syrian Oil Ministry, US forces have stolen more than 80 percent of the country’s daily oil output.

​  Hey, these guys are under one of those sovereign-immunity-umbrellas"​. (I got no flak about hydroxychloroquine from mid-February until early April 2020.)
CEPI: The Vaccine Cartel's SPECTRE
The Global Pandemic Response was a Business Plan
​  ​On October 19, 2019, the Johns Hopkins Center for Public Security, in collaboration with the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the World Economic Forum, conducted a Pandemic Simulation Exercise.
​  ​"The center’s latest pandemic simulation, Event 201, dropped participants right in the midst of an uncontrolled coronavirus outbreak that was spreading like wildfire out of South America to wreak worldwide havoc."​ ...​
“The Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) supported the manufacturing of the vaccine candidate for the Phase 1 clinical trial.”
  NIAID’s March 16, 2020 announcement signaled that Dr. Fauci’s institution and CEPI were initiating their business plan of developing the vaccine solution instead of the repurposed drug treatment solution. Treating COVID-19 simply wasn’t in the business plan. This explains why Gates and Fauci and friends weren’t interested in the potential value of repurposed drugs such as hydroxychloroquine—an old generic drug that costs approximately $6.00 for a 5-day therapeutic course.

​  This is the best, most even-handed analysis of the COVID-mistakes-amnesty-for-oppressors propaganda article in The Atlantic. 
   "A Midwestern Doctor"​   Dissecting the Deceptive Plea for COVID-19 Amnesty
​  ​One of the challenges I find with most forms of media is that the creators of it are continually seeking to manipulate you into adopting their position. For this reason, I greatly prefer written content as opposed to audio or visual content as it is much easier for me to rapidly filter out the manipulative rhetoric built into what I am reading. Similarly, this is why, to the best of my ability, I try to avoid inserting manipulative language into my writing ...
https://amidwesterndoctor.substack.com/p/dissecting-the-deceptive-plea-for

  Luc sends this from Good Citizen, The Unforgiven , which gives a thorough and well organized litany of the crimes against humanity, from human rights and property rights violations to genocide.

​ Awaiting Full Disclosure 
(pictured shelling black-eyed peas in dia-de-los-muertos/all-saints-day t-shirt)