Thursday, July 16, 2026

Uncreditworthy

 Investors in Life,


  It is not difficult to see that the credit-rating of the Post-Bretton-Woods-Financial-Expediency is degrading, which raises its interest rates, which reduce its ability to service debt, and the central banks of the world have been quietly offloading that debt in favor of increasing gold in their reserves. 
  I live within the nation which is the current imperial seat, something we citizens never wanted and were never sold, but it was swapped-in for promises of freedom and prosperity, now long expired. The imperial seat used to be in London, but it can be more distributed these days with the internet and Starlink. The imperial seat supplies manpower, production, military force projection and a certain facade, but it can be replaced, and it can change its style, as long as the financial extraction machine remains operational in the style described by Michael Hudson's book Super Imperialism (1972)  https://michael-hudson.com/books/super-imperialism-the-economic-strategy-of-american-empire/ 
  As long as the $US is necessary to buy oil and other global necessities, it remains the reserve-currency, and countries need $US to do business, so they trade their real products and services for $US, which the US creates as debt instruments for those real goods and services, payable in more of those debt instruments with a bit of interest, as long as the debt instruments are agreed to have market value for real things. It is all about faith, agreement, and financial infrastructure in place to make it convenient. If that breaks, something new (or old) will need to replace it. Faith will be gone, so gold is the rumored successor. Everybody but Venezuela has gold, after-all...
  The imperial military has imposed horrific costs upon countries like Iraq and Libya that threatened the $US system by selling oil in other currencies. The military threat is being challenged by Iran now. Exclusion of Iran from the $US trading system did not succeed in destroying  that country, but did weaken faith in the $US, since it could be weaponized at will against those who held it at the pleasure of the US Treasury Dept. 
  The $US weaponization against Russia was meant to be a death blow. It failed. It is a quagmire now with a weakened $US and gold-in-hand being the no-faith-needed alternative, as it always was before. A gold-based international trade system enforces balances of trade, to avoid a country running out of gold and being unable to get necessary supplies. 
  From my perspective the question is how the $US default will be managed, since the debt vastly exceeds the ability to service it without borrowing to do so already, and that condition is exacerbated as debt is compounded exponentially. Wars are usually the management strategy when debts can't be serviced going forward. Wars bring emergency powers and compelling excuses. Debts are cancelled in various ways, and the new debts of the winners become fair risks. 
  This is not only true for $US debt, but for all debt based upon the promise to repay with interest, because global real economy now looks like it is entering an extended or permanent depression as oil, coal, copper and other extracted resources decline in quality and availablity, as extraction expenses rise.

  Fabio Vighi, There is No America​ - A Short Primer on Collaps​e
The financialisation of everything
​  Financialisation is the extension of the asset form into every corner of existence. What matters is not whether something fulfils a social need, but whether it can be converted into a stream of income capable of supporting a financial valuation. Wherever predictable revenues can be extracted, an asset can be created. Wherever an asset can be created, debt can be issued against it. Wherever debt exists, new instruments can be constructed, traded, and leveraged. The result is a self-expanding architecture of fictitious capital whose growth depends upon the continuous colonisation of everyday life.
​  Housing offers the clearest example. A home was once primarily a place to live, a social institution embedded within communities and family life. Today it functions increasingly as an investment vehicle. As we learned in 2008, mortgages are bundled into securities, sold across global markets, and used as collateral within far larger circuits of speculation. Housing itself becomes secondary to the asset it generates. The persistent tension between the social function of shelter and the financial imperative of appreciation is not an unfortunate side effect of neoliberalism. It is the organising principle of hyper-financialised, debt-based capitalism.
​  The same logic has transformed healthcare. What was once conceived, however imperfectly, as a public good has become a field of financial extraction. Hospitals are acquired by investment funds, pharmaceutical companies are valued by shareholder expectations, insurance systems become opaque, and the language of care gives way to the language of return on investment. As we should have learned in 2020, patients become revenue streams, and illness becomes an asset class.
​  Education follows the same trajectory. Universities no longer primarily reproduce knowledge or cultivate citizenship. They manufacture indebted subjects. Student loans become financial products, securitised and sold, while education itself is evaluated less by what it teaches than by the future income streams it promises to generate. Thus, the student enters society as a bearer of debt whose future labour has already been partially appropriated. The same holds at the other end of the life cycle, as pensions are bundled into financial instruments.
​  Even the ordinary routines of consumption are absorbed into this logic. Credit-card balances, automobile loans, consumer finance and payday lending all become raw material for securitisation. Everyday indebtedness is transformed into tradable securities circulating through financial markets, which means that those markets profit from social insecurity.
​  Financialisation thus assetises social relations themselves. The home, the body, education, old age, attention, data, anticipated future behaviour – all become collateral against which financial wealth, amassed at the top, can be conjured as if from a magician’s hat. Every sphere of life is justified in its real existence only insofar as it can be transformed into an abstract monetary claim upon tomorrow.
​  War represents the culmination of this logic. If housing, healthcare, and education are now financial assets, war is their most spectacular expression. While rearmament is sold to the masses as the political response to an unstable geopolitical landscape, it is, above all, an enormous liquidity event for global finance. The European Union’s SAFE programme (Security Action for Europe) alone envisages up to €150 billion in common borrowing to support defence procurement; and defence exchange-traded funds are among the fastest-growing investment vehicles in European markets. What this means is that military expenditure no longer generates profits mainly through weapons manufacturers or government contracts. Instead, it generates investable financial products. Destruction itself becomes an opportunity for portfolio diversification.
​  The merchant of death has migrated from the factory floor to the trading desk. Bombed cities, displaced populations, shattered infrastructures, and even a 1,000-day long genocide disappear behind ticker symbols, derivatives, exchange-traded funds, and quarterly earnings reports – because the balance sheet is all that matters to the dehumanised subject of finance. Violence undergoes the same abstraction that finance imposes upon every other dimension of social life. War is financialised: its anticipated revenues are capitalised in advance, its future contracts discounted into present asset prices, its destruction transformed into collateral supporting fresh rounds of speculation.
​  This is the endpoint towards which fictitious capital necessarily moves. Having exhausted the productive sphere, it feeds directly upon the conditions of social reproduction itself. Nothing remains external to accumulation. Home, health, education, security, information, the natural environment and organised violence become interchangeable moments within the same cannibalising logic.
​  The catastrophic administration of systemic insolvency
The Federal Reserve – and, more generally, the institutions responsible for managing contemporary flows of capital – are caught in a contradiction from which there is no technical escape. They confront a choice between two poisons: 1. Tight monetary policy (higher interest rates), which threatens recession, financial instability, and an increasingly unserviceable mountain of public and private debt. 2. Loose monetary policy (lower interest rates), which inflates asset prices, fuels speculation, erodes purchasing power and deepens social inequality. Neither path resolves the underlying contradiction because neither addresses its cause.
​  And this framing obscures as much as it reveals. When central bankers speak of inflation, they mean the rate at which prices are rising – a statistical abstraction. What ordinary people experience, however, is not merely inflation but affordability: the actual level of prices compared to their income. The two are not the same. Inflation can be modest while affordability collapses, because wages stagnate while the cost of housing, healthcare, education and energy continues its relentless ascent. The financialisation of everyday life has ensured that the essentials of survival now appreciate faster than the wages required to purchase them. The technocratic obsession with taming inflation thus misses the point entirely (and on purpose): the problem is not that prices are rising too fast, but that living has become unaffordable for the many while remaining spectacularly profitable for the few.
​  This is why the system has now entered its terminal historical phase. It no longer governs growth; it governs the impossibility of growth on capitalism’s own terms. Every intervention is a kick of the can – it postpones rather than addresses or resolves the crisis. Each rescue operation merely transfers the contradiction to a higher level of indebtedness and financial dependence. What is presented as prudent economic management is, in reality, the continuous administration of systemic insolvency.
​  Here we can see how acceleration turns into the governing principle. Debt expands faster than production; liquidity expands faster than value; technological innovation expands faster than employment. Every apparent solution intensifies the contradiction it claims to overcome. The next interest-rate cut, when it arrives, will almost certainly be celebrated as another successful “soft landing.” Markets will rally, commentators will praise the wisdom of central bankers, and another layer of fictitious capital will be piled upon an already impossible balance sheet.
​  War, in this expanded sense, increasingly encompasses inflation, austerity, indebtedness, permanent surveillance, technological mobilisation and the financialisation of destruction itself. The algorithmic choreography of strikes on Iran and the carefully manufactured narratives around Hormuz are not exceptions - they are the template. Military expenditure, digital infrastructure, artificial intelligence, emergency governance, and financial manipulation now form a single apparatus whose function is less to resolve crises than to administer them.
​  War, in this expanded sense, is the battlefield of social reproduction. Every emergency legitimises new mechanisms of extraction; every technological innovation extends the infrastructures of surveillance and control; every financial rescue creates new opportunities for accumulation. The battlefield is no longer only a distant theatre of operations. It is also the everyday terrain on which the conditions of life itself are colonised, monetised and put to work.
​  This also exposes the central ideological illusion of our moment. We are increasingly encouraged to believe that salvation lies in a different geopolitical configuration: a multipolar order, digital currencies, artificial intelligence, or a new balance between East and West. These transformations are real, but in their current form they do not transcend the horizon we have been tracing. A multipolar capitalism remains capitalist. Digital money remains the monetary expression of value. Artificial intelligence cannot replace the living labour upon which value ultimately depends – it destroys it even further.
​  Capitalism cannot survive its present terminal crisis. The only hope we have is that the system’s catastrophic irrationality, now laid bare for all to see, might yet generate an escape route – an exit strategy from the very logic that is devouring us. The final barrier to that exit is our own delusional attachment to a collapsing constellation.​   
https://fabiovighi.substack.com/p/there-is-no-america

"Fatal Cancer On Civilization": Trump's War On Marxism Enters Action Phase As Rubio, Miller And Bessent Address 65 Nations​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/watch-live-rubio-bessent-convene-65-nations-global-crackdown-far-left-political-terrorism

US Slaps Brazil With 25% Tariffs After Rubio Says Socialist Leader "Failed To Negotiate In Good Faith"​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-slap-brazil-25-tariffs-after-rubio-says-socialist-leader-failed-negotiate-good

​  As you may know, I consider high-functioning sociopaths to have long been the apex predators which cull human numbers hard when crops are bad and comple societal breakdown threatens. As kings, nobles and financiers they set us out in large groups to kill each other until resources are enough for the survivors.
  W. Campbell (Camp) Douglas MD, Do We Have a Sociopathic Culture?
Primary sociopaths can still feel emotions like shallow attachment, pleasure, excitement, boredom, jealousy, contempt, anger, rage, and sometimes fear, but these components of their ‘emotional lexicons’ are self-centered and not grounded in empathy or remorse...
..Here’s an invitation: the next time you hear the words “evil” and “cruel,” think sociopathy — the absence of the seventh sense we call conscience.
Much of what we name evil is the work of the one in twenty-five born without it — and they rise, precisely because nothing inside them ever says stop...
​..If culture is the external ‘forbid’, then conscience is where that forbid is installed internally, inside most of us. Martha Stout calls it that seventh sense — not a rule we memorize but an instinctual felt obligation, rooted in the inherited capacity of most of us to love and bond, as real as pain or a smell. It turns “Can I get away with that?” back into “I shouldn’t do that.”
​  From her research, about one in twenty-five humans - 4% - are born without the seventh sense— not just a weak version.
The conscience apparatus is entirely absent. This is difficult for the majority of us to realize, but it explains a lot about what we call ‘evil’ in this world.
​  Stout gives us ways to recognize the people who lack it. The most reliable single sign, she says, is the appeal to your pity: people who consistently harm others yet, when caught, ultimately cast themselves as the victims, campaigning for your sympathy to disarm your judgment. Watch, too, for the rule of threes — one broken promise is a misunderstanding, two a mistake, three tells you the entity you are dealing with...
..Dr. Stout’s first rule: primary sociopaths look like us. But if you can recognize their patterns, she says, do not try to reform them. Separate yourself, without guilt, and walk away.​   
​..Dr. Stanley Milgram, whose work was shaped by the Holocaust, showed that roughly two-thirds of ordinary people will override their conscience under direct authority — an unremarkable man in a white lab coat, no monster required; in a variation where the subject was one step removed — reading the words while someone else pushed the button to deliver what he believed were dangerous shocks to a fellow human — compliance climbed past ninety percent. This is secondary sociopathy. Conscience is not absent in them. It is suppressed, or bypassed by distance and appeal to authority.
​  “I am just following orders.”
...
..If one in twenty-five of us H. sapiens is born without conscience, and that absence is an edge in the climb, then arithmetic alone says some atop our largest institutions belong to that sociopathic four percent. Which ones? No honest observer can say, without proper psychometric testing or imaging. The point is not the name on the door. It is the door - that it is real...
..We need not necessarily reach for the diagnosis to name the mechanism: a political system with no screen for conscience will, over time, be climbed most successfully by those least burdened by it...
..The absence of shame in the face of overwhelming exposure, the doubling down when caught, the unanimous cruelty administered by committee, no confessions, no apologies — these are the gravitational signatures of consciences that are primarily or secondarily switched off...
..There is hope in the arithmetic, too. Milgram found that when a person watched even one other refuse, compliance collapsedfrom two-thirds to one in ten. In other words, dissidence is contagious. Every COVID-era patient and physician, like my colleague, who is willing to speak up, is a circuit breaker for the next. Awareness is the beginning of immunity: you cannot be recruited by sociopathic mechanisms that you have learned to actively look for, recognize, and properly identify.
​  Stout ends her book with a hope I share — that people of conscience, simply by learning to see the ones who have none, can blunt their effect and protect those we love.   
https://dutytodissent.substack.com/p/do-we-have-a-sociopathic-culture

​  Thanks Eleni, Anti-corruption probe links Kushner luxury resort to international drug trafficking network
Since breaking ground on a multi-billion dollar luxury resort in Albania, the Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump-led project has done more to reveal a corrupt Zionist pay-for-play scheme than it has to shed light on one of the jewels of the Earth that had gone unnoticed until it fell into the hands of the pair of real estate scions...
​..Albania's anti-corruption investigators have turned their attention to Miami-based businessman Artur Shehu as their probe has gone underway. Investigators have zeroed in on Shehu, who sold property that he owned on Albania's Adriatic coast to the Kushner-led company Atlantic Incubation Partners LLC, and his associates due to links they allege exist between them and an international drug trafficking ring and suspicions that the real estate empire Shehu amassed that he was able to profit from through his sale to Kushner was built through forged property records. Although Shehu's lawyer, Kujtim Cakrani, issued a statement on behalf of his client denying all of the accusations made against him by Albania's Special Structure Against Corruption and Organized Crime ("SPAK"), Cakrani also acknowledged that the country's anti-corruption agency has issued a warrant for Shehu's arrest on charges that he has laundered money for drug gangs.​   https://www.sott.net/article/507412-Anti-corruption-probe-links-Kushner-luxury-resort-to-international-drug-trafficking-network 

Bribe of "Trump resort island" ​still too small? Senior Defense Officials Review Potential 101st Airborne Helicopter Assault On Cuba​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/senior-defense-officials-review-potential-101st-airborne-helicopter-assault-cuba

​  Alastair Crooke, MoU Stacked in Holding Pattern as U.S. Pivots to Plan 'B'
Plan ‘A’ was to topple the Islamic Republic which was seen as nothing more than a fragile house of cards. That collapse – it was expected – would ripple through, and take down several connected Axis of Resistance fronts, according to the analysis of Mossad and interlinked Israeli power centres in the U.S. (Certain U.S. officials did, however, entertain doubts).
​  The prediction of a popular uprising in Iran has proved to have been a strategic mistake of such bearing that per contra, it catalysed a stronger, more defiant and assertive Republic. Even Israeli experts admit that the false premise underlying the war has generated a new balance of power in the Middle East. Until then, a top Israeli military commentator (Alon Ben David) could say, Israel was the ‘go-to’ address in the Middle East for the world’s interests; but that from now on, the ‘go-to’ state is, and will be, Iran. That comment exemplified the extent to which a Rubicon had been crossed.
​  So the collective pro-Zionist bloc has shifted to plan ‘B’ – a ‘deceit’ based on the MoU, which were Trump’s interpretations to be accepted by Iran (unlikely), would effectively lead to the disarming of Iran through a nuclear agreement that would strip the state naked by virtue of its ‘verification’ requirements: Intrusive, ‘go-anywhere’ surprise IAEA inspections of ‘secret underground sites’ and interrogations of scientists and research academies. All would (again) be exposed.
​  Taken in tandem with Plan ‘B’s wider Israeli hegemonic aspiration, the aim would be to concurrently lobotomise Hizbullah through a separate disarmament agreement effected through compliant Lebanese government factions pressing down on the movement from the north, whilst Israel pursued ‘desertification’ in the south.​..
​..Likely, the regional pacification scheme will be viewed as a clever move by Trump to mitigate the pressure exerted on him by the neo-con’s anger at his MoU ‘concessions’ to Iran.
​  But is it so clever? Marco Rubio was instructed to oversee the Beirut establishment making pretty with Israel in their shared antagonism towards Hizbullah. But the resulting ‘bout de papier’ for the disarming of Hizbullah enjoys no legitimacy; it contradicts the Lebanese Constitution and would require cabinet endorsement and parliamentary approval to have any validity or meaning.
​  What the Israel-Lebanon agreement does do, however, is to stick a dagger in Vance’s separately agreed Qatari-chaired U.S. and Iran co-ordination structure for overseeing MoU compliance in Lebanon. Rubio’s initiative to cut Iran out from the Lebanese co-ordination framework cuts across the MoU and Vance’s mediation efforts. Rubio’s tripartite ‘paper’ will solve nothing, but will leave the ‘Lebanon issue’ to continue as an open sore.
​  Yet a “ceasefire in Lebanon and Israeli withdrawal” is pivotal to the functioning of the MoU. It appears that Netanyahu tee’d up Ron Dermer to get Rubio to sabotage the MoU.
​  So, now we have civil war inside the White House over Iran – Vance vs Rubio – whilst the MoU slides into abeyance...
​..Two of the five very large crude carriers ⁠that have left the Strait are heading to Japan, while another two are making their way to China. Which means – as Larry Johnson has outlined – that even were tankers to head to the U.S. now, the U.S. would still face a serious deficit of sour crude until 23 August at the earliest, given the 42 days voyage time to the U.S. (Sour crude is crucial feedstock for complex U.S. refineries to produce diesel and jet fuel).
​  The post-mortem on the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran must be suspended as both Trump and Netanyahu enter a holding pattern ahead of elections. Trump might threaten to ‘obliterate’ Iran if it does not capitulate and bend the knee before him, but it is doubtful that the U.S. can long maintain its military presence in the region with munitions in short supply. Nonetheless, a further round of intense kinetic war is highly probable – and widely expected in Iran.A short ‘performative’ U.S. military strike on Iran is possible, but would achieve little – and nothing strategic.
​  So who is losing in this ‘war’? Israel – and Netanyahu. Netanyahu is in deep distress electorally too.The expected triumph of Israel over the Middle East has failed.​   
https://www.unz.com/acrooke/mou-stacked-in-holding-pattern-as-u-s-pivots-to-plan-b/

​  Rumored:  Last night at a U.S. Airbase in Jordan: 4 Iranian missiles at 1000km+ range ($ 400k-600k) vs. 8 or more U.S. Patriot PAC-3 ($ 32 million) 
Result 4 impacts (flawless victory?)​   https://x.com/Pataramesh/status/2077041025457991775

​  Official:  Iran targets US 5th Fleet housing in Bahrain, air base in Jordan
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced it had carried out missile and drone strikes against U.S. military facilities in Bahrain. Iranian state broadcaster IRIB reported that the operation targeted weapons support warehouses, a satellite communications center and housing used by U.S. Fifth Fleet personnel.
​  The IRGC later said it had also fired ballistic missiles at a U.S. air base in Jordan. "This base was used to attack us, and the American criminals were held accountable for their actions," the IRGC said.
​  Jordan's Armed Forces said they intercepted and destroyed four missiles that entered the kingdom's airspace from Iran.​   
https://www.turkiyetoday.com/region/iran-targets-us-5th-fleet-housing-in-bahrain-air-base-in-jordan-3223864

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-07-16
The Iran war stopped being one-sided overnight: Iran ran multiple missile-and-drone waves against US bases in Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan, with reported US casualties, while Washington weighs seizing Kharg Island and bombing a fresh nuclear site. The other big delta is Ukraine — sacking defense minister Fedorov triggered nationwide protests and combat commanders resigning mid-war. Underneath, Hormuz went to effectively zero tanker traffic, Korea's KOSPI leverage trade blew another -7%, and silver printed its first Death Cross since 2024 into peak capitulation.
​  Iran hits US Gulf bases in coordinated waves; US casualties reported​ - IRGC and the regular Army struck Ali al-Salem and a US pier at Shuaiba in Kuwait, Isa Air Base in Bahrain, and Muwaffaq Salti in Jordan — hitting Patriots, HIMARS launchers, radars, SATCOM and MQ-9 sites, and shooting down an MQ-9 Reaper (MenchOsint).
​  Detailed target list including the KGL Logistics depot (largest US Army support hub in West Asia) in Mina Abdullah, plus a claimed Patriot PAC-3 miss on King Faisal base (AryJeayBackup).
​  Damage to an MQ-9 command-and-control centre at Ali Al Salem confirmed via satellite (AMK Mapping).
US military casualties from strikes on Iraq reported...
..Strait of Hormuz effectively shut — zero tankers Wednesday​ - "Not a single oil or gas tanker crossed the Strait of Hormuz" (DarioCpx).​..
​..Trump weighs major escalation: Kharg Island seizure, Pickaxe Mountain strike​ - Options under review include seizing Iranian islands near Hormuz, bombing a fortified nuclear-linked tunnel complex at Pickaxe Mountain, and expanding airstrikes to energy sites, per WSJ (JenniferJJacobs).
A Situation Room meeting reviewed an offensive "wider in scope" than current Hormuz strikes, per Axios (BarakRavid).
Vance drew a line: "We're not going to send ground troops for regime change" (zerohedge)...
..The Fedorov purge underneath: FT frames him as the drone-tech architect who blocked procurement graft and clashed with commander-in-chief Syrsky (RALee85); incoming government led by Naftogaz CEO Koretskyi as PM (zerohedge), with interior/police chief Klimenko tipped for defense.​  https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-07-16 

Iran Warns US Of 'Infrastructure For Infrastructure' War, Will Control Hormuz As 'Unbreakable Red Line'​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-warns-us-infrastructure-infrastructure-war-will-control-hormuz-unbreakable-read

​  US Senate Democrats block defence bill over Iran war, Israel integration
The Senate votes 50-46 to block debate on the annual defence bill over war funding and defence cooperation with Israel.​   
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/14/senate-democrats-block-defence-bill-over-iran-war-israel-provisions

House Defeats Bid To End Israel Aid While Senate Blocks US-Israel Intel Integration​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/house-defeats-bid-end-israel-aid-while-senate-blocks-us-israel-intel-integration

​  Jewish Voice For Peace: Israel is losing American Jews.
A new nationwide poll conducted by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research has found a host of indications of the sea change in American Jewish attitudes about genocide in Gaza, and their relationship to Zionism itself.
​  The poll revealed NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani is more popular — by far — than Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.  
​  This may be surprising. We’ve heard ad nauseum from the Anti-Defamation League and an all-too credulous media that Jews in Mamdani’s New York live in constant fear.
​  The AP-NORC poll revealed 44% of American Jews actually hold a favorable opinion of Mamdani. That’s the most of any politician polled, and it’s far more favorable than for Netanyahu, viewed favorably by only 32% of American Jews and negatively by a whopping 59%.
​  Further, researchers found only 23% of U.S. Jews said the term “Zionist” described them extremely or very well. That’s consistent with polling from earlier this year that found most U.S. Jews — 63% — do not self-identify as Zionists.
​  That’s not all: Thirty-eight percent of U.S. Jews percent believe the U.S has been too supportive of Israel, and 30% believe Israel is committing genocide in Gaza.​   
https://www.jewishvoiceforpeace.org/2026/07/15/israel-is-losing-american-jews/

​  Netanyahu set to attend Lindsey Graham's funeral in DC, meet with Trump
Netanyahu is expected to fly on Saturday night and stay until Tuesday
to attend the memorial service for Senator Lindsey Graham and possibly meet US President Trump.​   
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/article-902555

​  Moon of Alabama, War On Iran: Oil Supplies Will Again Be In Trouble – This Time For Real
The world consumes about 100 million barrels of oil per day [bpd]. Before the war on Iran some 20% of that used to pass from the Persian Gulf region through the Strait of Hormuz to the world markets.​..
​..In total some 7 m bpd exited the Gulf region through new outlets. The releases from reserves and the lifting of sanctions contributed to additional supplies of some 3-5 m bpd. The reduction of Chinese import demand amounted to some 5 m bpd.
​  Due to all the above measures the global supply of about 100 m bpd only shrank to about 92-95 m bpd. Global demand, especially due to the Chinese measures, dropped to a nearly equal balance. The amount that was still missing in this rough calculation was drawn from reserves within the distribution and transport levels.
​  After all measures were in place demand and supply were balanced again and oil prices came down to a normal level of some $70+/bl.
When U.S. President Donald Trump decided to reignite the conflict he might have thought that the oil problem he had feared had gone away.But it hasn’t. And the conditions now will make it way more difficult to keep the markets in balance.​..
..Nearly all the favorable conditions which had allowed the world to ride out the supply slump during the last phase of the conflict are no longer available during the current one.
​  While the cash settled future markets will continue to be highly manipulated, real product prices will increase. We are likely to soon see new peaks of prices at gas stations.​   
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/07/war-on-iran-oil-supplies-will-again-be-in-trouble-this-time-for-real.html

IRGC Vows 'Not A Drop Of Oil & Gas Will Be Exported' From Region Amid Sustained Cross-Gulf Fighting​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-launches-brazen-attacks-more-tankers-hormuz-killing-crewmembers-after-araghchi

​  US Navy Disables Tanker Defying Blockade, As Pentagon Initiates 2nd Strike Wave Of Day After Iran Snubs Talks​   
Pentagon announces second wave of strikes later Wednesday, the after initial 90-minute attack to start the day.
Trump threatens wider strikes unless Iran returns to talks - says attacks to 'expand' next week.
Wednesday saw 5th strait day of US bombardment on chiefly Iranian coastal sites.​   
Iran hits US-Gulf bases and warns on regional oil exports, says it is in 'control' of Hormuz Strait.
No evidence de-escalation: Tehran rejects talks and vows more retaliation​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-iran-exchange-heavy-strikes-5th-straight-day-trump-warns-hell-take-out-power-plants

​  Turkey’s Hejaz Railway Revival and the Limits of a Hormuz Alternative​ - A Revived Line Would Connect Turkish Industry to Arab Markets, Boost North-South Trade, and Complement Other Projects
​  Turkey is working to modernize and extend the historic Hejaz Railway as it seeks to transform this neglected Ottoman-era line into a tool for infrastructure diplomacy. Built in the early 20th century to connect Damascus with Medina, the railway fell into decline after World War I due to conflict, neglect, and new borders. Now, Ankara wants to restore critical segments through Syria and Jordan, eventually aiming to extend the route through Saudi Arabia to Oman.​..
​..This goal reflects Ankara’s ambition to place Turkey at the center of regional transit between Europe, the Levant, and the Persian Gulf. The first phase would reconnect Turkey to Aleppo and utilize existing rail networks in Syria and Jordan. Turkey has offered to help complete a missing segment of about 20 miles in Syria, while Jordan is prepared to support maintenance and operations. Turkey, Syria, and Jordan advanced a memorandum of understanding in Amman in 2025, followed by additional transport agreements in 2026. Saudi Arabia has also joined discussions through feasibility studies for connections to its networks...
..Israel will monitor any new Levant-Persian Gulf corridor. Iran and its allies may interpret the project as an effort to bypass their influence...
..A route marketed as a solution to a chokepoint may simply convert maritime risks into land-based political ones. The project’s true value lies not in replacing Hormuz but in broadening options. If carried out carefully, it could enhance trade, support Syria’s rebuilding, strengthen Turkey-Jordan-Gulf ties, and provide Ankara with a platform for middle-power diplomacy.​   
https://www.meforum.org/mef-observer/turkeys-hejaz-railway-revival-and-the-limits-of-a-hormuz-alternative

Great Rewiring: US Supports Iraq-Syria Oil Pipeline To Erode Tehran's Hormuz Leverage​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/great-rewiring-us-supports-iraq-syria-oil-pipeline-erode-tehrans-hormuz-leverage

​  US, Iraq finalize major energy deal during Zaidi's first Washington visit
Trump praised the ‘handsome’ Iraqi premier during their meeting, calling him a ‘great leader’ whose influence will extend across the region​   
https://thecradle.co/articles/us-iraq-finalize-major-energy-deal-during-zaidis-first-washington-visit

​  Richard Revelstoke digs deeper into the internicine rivalries between capitalist factions: Two Wings of the Same Imperial Nationalist Bird
Even within the factions, there is profound disagreement over policy, strategy and resources.
​  Within the Imperial Nationalist faction are two broad strategic traditions that share the same objective — preserving American predominance — but differ profoundly over how that power should be exercised. The distinction is often presented as a debate over foreign policy. It is more accurately understood as a struggle between two different forms of defense capital whose business models require different military doctrines.
​  Military strategy is usually portrayed as the product of abstract strategic reasoning. Yet strategies also create demand for particular industries, procurement systems, and revenue models. Different doctrines sustain different forms of capital. The debate between the Primacy and America First wings is therefore not simply a disagreement over how the United States should use power; it is also a contest over which defense economy will dominate the twenty-first century.​..
​..Ideas do not emerge in an economic vacuum. Different doctrines sustain different procurement systems. Different procurement systems sustain different industries. Different industries generate different political coalitions.
​  The Primacy wing’s doctrine supports permanent alliances, overseas bases, long procurement cycles, and the industrial ecosystems of the legacy defense contractors
​  The America First wing’s doctrine supports border security, domestic manufacturing, energy production, venture-backed defense technology, autonomous weapons, and rapid procurement.
​  Neither doctrine is reducible to economics alone. But neither can be fully understood without examining the structures of capital upon which it rests. Military strategy does not merely reflect geopolitical thought. It also reflects competing political economies of American power.
​  The two wings beat against one another, but they remain attached to the same imperial body. They share the same assumptions about American military superiority, the dollar-centered financial order, maritime supremacy, and denying China’s rise.
​  One wing finances the garrison.
The other finances the raid.
​  Both seek to preserve the empire.Only the business model differs.​   
https://www.themargins.ca/p/two-wings-of-the-same-imperial-nationalist

1 In 30 Koreans Margin-Called As Kospi Crashes, Regulator Suspends New Levered ETFs, Hikes Margins​   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/1-30-koreans-margin-called-stocks-crash-regulator-suspends-new-levered-etfs-hikes-margins

2 days ago, not better yet: Big Blew It! IBM Crashes Most Since '60s Amid CapEx Woes; Goldman Warns Over 'Software Bear Case'   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ibm-crashes-most-1987-customers-abruptly-shift-capex-spending

​  Simplicius says China has been doing this for 4 years, already:  The New Third Front: China Quietly Revamps Country for War
An interesting series of reports have shone light on China’s ‘quiet’ but revolutionary preparations for conflict with the US.
​  China has mastered the art of the silent observer. Legions of commentators spent years criticizing China for not being more active and involved in the global geopolitical theaters, such as the Russia-Ukraine war, particularly when tilting those conflicts in its own favor would have greatly benefited China.
​  But now portions of China’s strategy are finally coming to light, and revealing the country’s uniquely furtive approach to maintaining a semblance of balance while in actuality making unprecedented hidden preparations for the worst case scenarios.
​  They admit that these massive measures are done under the surface, which we can only assume is a deliberate choice to conceal China’s true posture of formidable national restructuring toward hybrid-war impregnability​...
​..This refers to the recent report from Russia’s Global Affairs defense journal called, “The New Great Wall: The Logic of China’s Foreign Policy Behavior”​   
​  "This article examines China’s comprehensive mobilization policies undertaken since the early 2020s. Analysis reveals that they span multiple domains. First, China is developing a protected inland reserve of critical industrial capacity. Second, it is strengthening emergency supply mechanisms and accelerating the accumulation of food and raw-material reserves. Third, it is enhancing civil defense and urban infrastructure resilience, including the expansion of the ‘people’s air defense’ system. Fourth, recently amended legislation now regulates military service and the government’s obligations towards fallen servicemen’s families. The scope and pace of these measures indicate that Beijing anticipates a severe military-political crisis in the coming decade. This partly explains Chinese foreign policy’s apparent contradictions, with stated global ambitions coexisting alongside strategic caution and risk aversion."​   https://eng.globalaffairs.ru/articles/china-kashin-smirnova-yankova/​   
​  The fact that this report is from a Russian patriotic journal, rather than a pro-Western one with an obvious anti-Chinese bias, means that the revelations herein are particularly noteworthy.​   https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/the-new-third-front-china-quietly

​  (non-suicidal) Bulgarian premier says country has ‘no place’ in Ukraine coalition of willing​ - ‘I don’t believe Bulgaria’s place is in the coalition of the willing,” Radev says​   https://www.aa.com.tr/en/world/bulgarian-premier-says-country-has-no-place-in-ukraine-coalition-of-willing/3997590

​yesterday: Ukraine Shake-Up: Zelensky Sacks Popular Defense Chief, & IDs CEO Of Naftogaz As Likely Next Prime Minister   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-remove-ukraines-reforming-young-defense-minister-ongoing-shake-report

  Today people want the guy who is advancing the drone war, and reducing corruption, not the guy who will drag more "recruits" out of their cars and beds: 
Ukrainians hold rare wartime protest over defence minister’s dismissal
​  For the first time since last summer’s protests in support of their country's anti‑corruption watchdogs, Ukrainians have mobilised online over the dismissal of Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov. A wave of social media posts quickly turned into calls to gather across Ukrainian cities on Thursday.
In clear evidence of Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov’s popularity in civil society, Ukrainians have organised a rare wartime protest to defend and support him.​..
..Dmytro Koziatynskyi, a war veteran who was a leading organiser of last summer's mass protests in support of NABU and SAPO, posted on social media ”The defence minister is being removed in the middle of effective – finally effective! – reforms, replaced by someone under whom any hope of reform can be forgotten," referring to Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko, who is poised to replace Fedorov.
​  “I call on all caring people to come out tomorrow at 9:01 a.m. to Franko Square and show the president that we are against constant reshuffles in the government and replacing effective ministers with convenient opportunists.”...
​..The deputy commander of Ukraine's Air Force, Pavlo Yelizarov, announced his resignation on July 16, saying the dismissal of Fedorov – whose key priorities included reforming the air defence sector – would cause more casualties and destruction in Ukraine from Russian missile and drone attacks.
​  "I believe that the removal of M. Fedorov is a great evil for the country's defence capability," Yelizarov said on Facebook, attaching a copy of his resignation letter.
​  Other opinion leaders from the military and civil society joined the call.
Serhii Sternenko, a prominent Ukrainian activist and blogger who was Fedorov's adviser on drone warfare said that "Mykhailo Fedorov is the best Minister of Defence in our entire history”, and called his firing “the greatest demoralisation since the war began”.
​  Ukraine’s ‘cardboard revolution’- As the social media mobilisation gained pace, Ukrainians began swapping slogan ideas for hand‑made signs sketched on pieces of cardboard.​   
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/07/16/ukrainians-hold-rare-wartime-protest-over-defence-ministers-dismissal

Trump Says FBI Wasting Time If It Probes Conspiracy Theories About Graham's Death​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-says-fbi-wasting-time-if-it-probes-conspiracy-theories-about-grahams-death

​  Widow Of Butler Rally Victim: Trump Assassination Attempt Was "An Inside Job"
Two years after a gunman opened fire at a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, killing one attendee and wounding President Donald Trump, the widow of the man who was slain has expressed deep skepticism about the circumstances of the attack. Helen Comperatore, whose husband Corey, a 50-year-old volunteer firefighter and father of two, was fatally shot while shielding his family, told NewsNation that she believes the July 13, 2024, assassination attempt was "an inside job."​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/widow-butler-rally-victim-trump-assassination-attempt-was-inside-job

​  The prosecution case is impossible on a timeline they just established. Critical incriminating-tweets by "Tyler Robinson" came well after he turned himself in and police had his phone.  Kyle Young, The Tyler Robinson Preliminary Hearing   https://secularheretic.substack.com/p/the-tyler-robinson-preliminary-hearing

  Flock now wants to keep the data forever: Flock is falling out of favor with police departments - Flock Safety is hitting a rough patch with one of its biggest customers.   https://dailynewsfromaolf.substack.com/p/flock-is-falling-out-of-favor-with

​  US military to start screening for testosterone deficiency, Hegseth says
In a video posted on X, captioned "High-T Department", Hegseth said he was authorising the screening programme for troops to ensure "you have the right testosterone levels to operate at your absolute best".Troops with low testosterone levels will be offered voluntary hormone replacement therapy.​   https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn0nlx18rz0o

​  Meryl Nass MD presents lots of data in this very announcement:  At 11 am I will be interviewed by Gloria Guillo and Jeremy Kuzmarov on the 2 recent Tulsi Gabbard releases on biolabs and Fauci, and on the unsolved anthrax letters case
The links for YouTube and Rumble are provided below. The show can be viewed later as well.​   https://merylnass.substack.com/p/at-11-am-i-will-be-interviewed-by

​  Steve Kirsch, Voices for Vaccines is unable explain the huge increase in deaths in young children who were vaccinated compared to their unvaccinated peers - They tried to debunk the Hooker paper based on official Louisiana mortality data. They failed. Miserably. In fact, it showed that they are inept. (best they could do with "bad facts")   https://kirschsubstack.com/p/voices-for-vaccines-is-unable-explain

  Twin babies get the same poisons injected a minute apart and die together 8 nights later; "impossible"? Steve Kirsch, Shaw twins murder case relies on medical expert testimony that it is impossible for twins to die at the same time from a vaccine
​  One problem. Twin deaths from SIDS are documented in the medical literature and in 100% of the cases, it is right after vaccination. They basically don't have a case in my opinion. ChatGPT agreed.​   https://kirschsubstack.com/p/shaw-twins-murder-case-relies-on

​  There is no substitute for eating right, exercising outdoors, sleeping fully and avoiding alcohol, cigaretted and charred meats: Paul Marik MD, 
PSA Screening: Promise, Pitfalls, and the Future of Prostate Cancer Detection​   https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/psa-screening-promise-pitfalls-and

​  Climate Physicist Anastassia Makarieva and her husband Andre are back from their Siberian summer research-retreat: Between Taiga and Civilization​ - Uncategorized Messages from the Siberian Wilderness   https://bioticregulation.substack.com/p/between-taiga-and-civilization

Weather Recipient (pictured showing off black-eyed pea flowers in bed established in early June)   

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

The Purpose

 Divining Meaning,


  "Nothing makes sense" is a common complaint about the current war in the Mideast which is choking global supplies of oil, natural gas, fertilizer and helium to make integrated circuit chips. If we look at the needs of modern global industrial economy, it must shrink from these reductions in fuels, feedstocks, fertilizer and critical materials.
  "The Purpose of a thing is What It Does." Within what framework might the reduction of feedstocks and agricultural fertilizer to the world be the rational decision of some powerful interest group? It won't be good for stock markets if it keeps up. The world will get the final conclusion of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis if this keeps up long enough (which is an indeterminate time to most of us). 
  If the end of real economic growth is inevitably near, or just happened without being announced, then groups of powerful people might want to move to selectively choke the flows of fuel and fertilizer to their competitors and adversaries, as is typically done in wartime. (Franklin Roosevelt did this to Japan to push them into attacking the US, so that he would have cause to enter the European war, I have read.) Do we see uneven denial of resources? Do alliance groups seem to be facing off against each other, like EU-NATO-Israel against Russia, China & Iran, for  instance? 
  It continues to be my view that global real economy likely peaked with the last peak of Oil + Condensates last November, following the previous peak of October 2018, which was followed by the "Repo Crisis", then COVID lockdowns & Bailouts.
  Pandemic did not prove to be an adequately robust Control-Narrative, despite best efforts to impose "universal-vaccination" with novel gene-therapy products that increase cancers, heart attacks, strokes, miscarriages and infertility, amongst other ailments. Everybody did not get a biometric vaccine passport and Central Bank Digital Currency with Social-Credit-Scoring, despite best efforts by "The Davos Crowd" and their servants in governments, militaries and industry.
  War is the control-narrative which can always work, and can always be escalated to justify mass-murder and deprivation at home. Here we are again.

  Is calling Iranian negotiators "unreliable scum" a case of projection?  Alex Krainer, Trump's war machine is going broke!
Trump has been waging narrative warfare, so divorced from truth that it's actually very revealing!
​  Donald Trump made one of his most bizarre statements to date saying that, “Yesterday, they had an 11-hour meeting… and everything was agreed to yesterday…” By “they,” Trump apparently meant, his and Iranian negotiators. But what exactly he meant by “everything” that was agreed, remained entirely unclear. It seemed that the point of his statements was to insinuate once more that the Iranians were desperate to cut a deal with the US, but they are terrible negotiators. They’re also very unreliable: “Then they leave the room, call back, and say, ‘We had to make a couple of changes…”​...
..Perhaps the most important purpose of Trump’s story was to create the impression that the 11-hour meeting really did take place and the Iranians agreed to stuff they had to backtrack from. Therefore, they are weak and desperate...
..There’s a major problem with Trump’s story: there was no 11-hour meeting on Sunday, either in Qatar or anywhere else, at least none between any US and Iranian representatives.​..
..If you’re struggling on the battlefield, what could possibly be the point of lying about it and pretending that you’re in control and winning? ...​  Well, probably because admitting defeat could end the war prematurely (for some interests), discourage recruits and mercenaries from joining, tear apart alliances and most importantly, cut short the flow of colossal sums of money that are funding the War machine along with the warlords and weapons merchants.​..
..This whole approach is reminiscent of Robert Schiller’s “narrative economics” hypothesis. Schiller first published it as a speech on the occasion of his 2017 American Economic Association (AEA) presidential address (published later that same year as an NBER working paper). Two years later, he expanded on the hypothesis in a 2019 book titled, “Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events.”
​  In essence, Schiller argued that popular economic narratives - contagious, often simplified and emotionally charged stories - can spread virally, just like epidemics. In doing so, these narratives can significantly influence individual and collective behavior including investing, spending, saving, or policy support, thereby amplifying major economic developments like mass adoption of certain products or services, substitution of others, and even macro events like booms, asset bubbles, busts or recessions.
​  Once more, we are converging on phenomena of collective human psychology and how it can be influenced through narratives. Once narratives take hold, they can impact real-world outcomes, and perhaps Trump’s rhetoric about the control of the Hormuz Strait should be understood in this way...
​..Trump’s bizarre rhetoric is also quite revealing and there’s much to read into it. The wording of his TruthSocial post about the USA becoming “THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT” reads like a foreshadowing of his intent to shake down the Gulf sheikdoms to help pay for the Iran war, in the amount of 20% of the value of cargoes passing through the strait. That may be a bit aggressive, but since the allies’ money is sitting in Western financial institutions, they would have no choice about any “fair” deductions from their balances. After all, the charges would be for their own protection and security.
​  This will inevitably alienate US Middle Eastern allies, so why did Trump use that language, and why now? As it turns out, US Defense Department appears to be rapidly running out of cash while the costs of war are mounting relentlessly.​..  In squeezing his allies, Trump made it quite plain—not only that limitations exist, but that we’re getting there fast.​..
..Yesterday’s announcement didn’t have the desired effect and the oil price soared nearly 9%. In today’s pre-open session, it’s up another 3.5%, fully $10/bbl higher than Friday’s close, which translates into about $0.24/gallon at the pump. Another, “Iranians are desperate to make a deal” announcement might become necessary soon. It remains to be seen if the markets will buy it the 24th time.​   https://alexkrainer.substack.com/p/trumps-war-machine-is-going-broke

​  Alastair Crooke, Iran War 3.0 - A market downturn in the U.S. – exacerbated by an energy crisis – could spell disaster for Trump’s midterm hopes.
Trump may have imagined (or been told) that with the massive funeral for the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei under way, that Iran would not react as the U.S. Navy attempted to force open an American corridor. Trump however, misread the Iranian jibe – Hormuz is its’ ‘atomic weapon’. Iran will not relinquish it.
​  Trump insists – in clear contradiction to the terms set out in paragraph five of the MoU – that Iran has no right to interfere with any ship trying to transit the Strait of Hormuz. Iran nonetheless is acting within the terms of the agreed de-escalation framework, and has warned repeatedly that it would strike any vessel circumventing the Iranian control mechanism.
​  Iran responded directly to Trump’s challenge to Iranian control of the Strait by striking two vessels with missiles and a third with an armed drone. A forth Qatari-owned tanker, laden with liquefied natural gas, was set ablaze, forcing its crew to abandon the stricken vessel...
..Vice-President Vance is saying if Iran restricts Hormuz (i.e. it stays open to friendly states’ vessels) the U.S. will escalate. And Iran is responding to this threat by warning that it will escalate militarily – two strikes for every one American strike – and that they may also turn to new doctrines of warfare.
​  Essentially, Trump has plunged into an escalatory trap, seemingly in part out of pique at his collapsing polls at home. He did, however, directly put himself in this situation by trying to ‘act cute’ during the Khamenei funeral pre-occupations in order to try to gain a ‘quick win’.
​  How long will this escalatory episode last? Certainly, it will not lead to the opening of the Strait; nor bring a return of the status quo ante that preceded the war. As long as Iran maintains its ability to exert control over Hormuz, there is no basis to assume that the situation will return to what it was...
​..Where did this all go wrong? Possibly the crux of it derives from the moment that Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Sayyed Mojtaba, issued his statement that he had held a different view on the MoU to that of the negotiating team, but had agreed to proceed with it after receiving an assurance from the Iranian President that he would ensure and take into account Iran’s overarching principles in respect to relations with the U.S..
​  The Supreme Leader Mujtaba Khamenei’s statement put on notice both the U.S. – and the Iranian negotiators – that Iran’s approval of the MoU was no open mandate, but rather closely tied to the 10 principles originally enunciated bythe new Supreme Leader.
​  At some point, the Iranian leadership seemingly came to the conclusion that Iran was being played by the U.S.; that the MoU was a deception
“and that the entirety of events since the announcement of the MoU reflected a U.S. strategy based on the view that in the previous round of the war against Iran – [that the U.S. and Israel] failed to achieve their objectives – necessitating a halt to the confrontation, albeit temporarily, in order to regroup and prepare ‘more thoroughly’ for a new round when the right conditions arise”.
​  This led to the Iranian reassessment that the Hormuz and Lebanon components constituted the vital leverage to engage in a new war as the West ramps up pressure as a holding strategy – whilst the U.S. and Israel prepare for the next round of war.
​  The interim U.S. strategy is no change to U.S.-Israeli objectives, but rather an adjustment to their operational mechanisms to provide for certain compromises that Washington considers necessary (i.e. closer working with Turkey and via Erdogan to engage Syria’s Jolani) to reshuffle the Lebanon deck, and then to ‘assess how the cards lie’, as Vance outlined.
​  It is not certain that this new U.S. policy will work. The world is changing rapidly. Their expected triumph of Israel over the Middle East has resulted in failure. Trump’s MoU ploy to open Hormuz likely will fail, too.​   
https://strategic-culture.su/news/2026/07/13/iran-war-3-0/

​  Yves Smith, Naked Capitalism, Iran War: Trump Lashes Himself to Strait of Hormuz Mast With Renewed Blockade, Intensified Attacks on Iran; Oil Crunch Worsens as Iran Halt Fujairah Shipments, Houthis Threaten to Close Bab el-Mandeb
  Trump is doubling down on the Iran conflict despite the fact that the narrowing of war aims to merely re-opening the Strait of Hormuz is already an admission of failure. Even though Trump is the undisputed master of double-speak, it seems hard to fathom how he could reverse himself and abandon the war, particularly since the Iranians would make a point of humiliating him.
​  The press and markets are continuing to downplay the significance of the current escalation. Too many are depicting it as tit for tat, as in more of the same, when that is not accurate. Not only are the strikes and counter-strikes more severe, but the US is hitting targets deeper inside Iran, including uncomfortably close to the Bushehr nuclear plant. Iran has considerably expanded its targets to include Oman and Qatar and is now going after the UAE port of Fujairah to prevent its use as an export route.
​  Even more significant, in terms of another massive strategic miscalculation, is that, as we described yesterday, Iran defied the 11 year Saudi blockade of Yemen by flying a plane into and out of Sanaa. Iran tried a second run, among other things, to bring some mourners at the funerals of the Supreme Leader back. The plane eventually managed to land despite Saudi Arabia bombing the runway. 
​  Yemen has announced that it will close the Bab el-Mandeb strait. This has ramifications on commerce far beyond the impact on oil exports from the Gulf, as we will explain below. And it comes when Ukraine is successfully interfering with Russian shipping in the Sea of Azov. Even if, as Ukraine skeptics argue, the interference is not all that consequential to Russia and is being addressed, it has led to a halt of diesel exports and has the potential to seriously dent wheat exports when the world is set to enter a period of high prices and shortages due to the one-two of fertilizer and diesel price hikes plus a super El-Nino.
​  The only sort-of-sensible explanations so for for Trump’s conduct (ex that if push comes to shove, he will greenlight Israel using nukes) is that he believes he can bring Iran to heel with another three to four weeks of punishment and perhaps some economic privation. Robert Pape has described long form that punishment campaigns do not work. On top of that, we are going into this round of escalation in a weaker position from a weapons and oil supply vantage. Iran surely knows that, which is even more reason for them to continue to hang tough.​   
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/07/iran-war-trump-lashes-himself-to-strait-of-hormuz-mast-with-renewed-blockade-intensified-attacks-on-iran-oil-crunch-worsens-as-iran-halt-fujairah-shipments-houthis-threaten-to-close-bab-el-mandeb.html

​  The IRGC announces four retaliatory operations targeting US military facilities in Jordan, Bahrain, and Kuwait, including strikes on fuel depots, drone command centers, Patriot systems, and radar installations.​   https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/irgc-destroys-strategic-us-facilities-in-bahrain--kuwait--jo

​  Simplicius, Empire Thuds Iran Again Amidst Symbols of Calamity
The US is now trapped in this doom-loop of impotence, striking the same insignificant coastal launch sites over and over to no effect merely as a kind of writhing agony of imperial frustration. The breaking point apparently came over Iran’s refusal to give US and Trump the satisfaction of announcing Hormuz’s reopening, as per Trump’s begging demands.
​  It has set the addled American strongman on another torrent of tilting vexations, wherein he ignominiously piled slur upon slur on the stately Iranians, calling them “scum” and a number of other objectionably unpresidential terms...
..CENTCOM tried its honest best to give authority to Trump’s claims, to no avail—the entire world could see that ships only passed the strait when allowed by Iran...
..Recall that upon arrangement of the previous “ceasefire”, Iran was allowed to offload the tens of millions of barrels of oil that had been accumulating since earlier in the year. This means Iran was able to empty out its entire backlog and restart the storage counter anew, which further means it can now wait out any renewed attempt by Trump to “blockade” the strait with months more of this back and forth charade.
​  As per usual, Iran is giving back something for everything it receives in the exchange...
​..In reality, the US knows it has no real cards to play; the Iranian state has been powerfully reinforced and indurated against US aggression to the point where each round of strikes has increasingly diminishing returns. The late Ayatollah Khamenei’s funeral has likewise cemented societal solidarity and spirit around the Iranian government, leaving the US and Israel with few avenues to make any kind of strategic inroads at all against their foe. Trump continues to wave the threat of “total destruction” of Iran’s critical facilities—desalination and nuclear plants, etc.—but these are likely bluffs owing to the knowledge that Iran’s response would likewise cripple the region’s most critical infrastructures as well, which would rebound onto Trump’s administration in extremely deleterious ways.
​  As a kind of last-ditch armageddon plan, it seems the Israelis could be floating a false-flag of all false-flags given new “assassination threats” against Trump that come at a convenient time.​..
..Many have inferred the logical conclusion as to what Israel’s desperate last-gasp emergency plan might be, if all else fails and Trump ends up backing down from the plan to destroy Iran for good.​..
..The problem is, for all the bluster of Trump’s ego as per the above rant, in reality the US military would be legally exempt from following the previous president’s “dead-man’s switch”-style orders, but would instead be held to follow the orders of the immediate successor, the newly-appointed Commander-in-Chief, which in Trump’s above hypothetical case would be JD Vance.​   https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/empire-thuds-iran-again-amidst-symbols

​  Uncorroborated scuttlebut: BREAKING: DEEP STATE DESPERATION EXPOSED!
They tried to KILL President Trump mid-flight. On July 9, 2026, as Trump departed Turkey aboard the brand-new Qatari-donated Boeing 747-8 — his future Air Force One — the Deep State launched a cowardly cyber strike from Langley, Virginia. They targeted the plane’s electronic controls in a blatant assassination attempt. But Trump — always ten steps ahead — switched to the older Air Force One at the last second. What the Fake News called a “routine security precaution” was actually a brilliant trap. This was the beginning of the Great Purification. Encrypted comms intercepted. Traitors scrambling. NYT journalists hit with emergency subpoenas because they had obituaries and “air disaster” stories pre-written and ready to publish. They were waiting for the crash. THEY. FAILED. AGAIN. Trump just exposed the entire rat nest.   
https://x.com/imPascalNajadi/status/2076391417333596621

​  Countermeasures System Needed for New Air Force One is Standard Issue for Military and Heads of State
The New York Times is reporting that the new Air Force One, a luxury Boeing 747-8 given to the White House by the Qatari government, was left behind after its trip to Europe earlier in the week, when its lack of critical self-protection was determined to be a safety issue. The missing defense technology in question, the Large Aircraft Infrared Countermeasures (LAIRCM) system, has been virtually standard for all large military, as well as head-of-state, and VVIP aircraft for over twenty years.
​  Launched in the aftermath of 9/11, LAIRCM was deigned to provide effective defensive capability for transport and tanker aircraft against the IR Man-Portable Air Defense Systems (MANPADS) threat, which at the time was perceived as very pressing. Since then, the threat has not diminished and has even grown with the rise of armed unmanned systems. The lack of LAIRCM on aircraft important as Air Force One would definitely be justification enough to leave it on the ground, especially now that its vulnerability is world news.
​  LAIRCM is a laser-jammer-equipped version of the U.S. Navy’s AAQ-24 Directed IR Countermeasure (DIRCM) system which is installed on a wide variety of USSOCOM and U.K. Special Operations C-130s aircraft among others.​   
https://dsm.forecastinternational.com/2026/07/10/countermeasures-system-needed-for-new-air-force-one-is-standard-issue-for-military-and-heads-of-state/

Trump Formally Notifies Congress Of Iran War Resumption - Third Consecutive Night Of Strikes Ensue​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/dispute-whether-hormuz-open-rages-ships-continue-transiting

​  Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-07-14
Iran War formally resumed — Congress notified, third night of US strikes. Trump formally notified Congress the US is at war with Iran (KobeissiLetter, zerohedge), giving another 60-day WPR clock. CENTCOM ran a five-hour strike mission across Bushehr, Chah Bahar, Jask, Konarak, Abu Musa and Bandar Abbas (dana916, zerohedge)...
..Hormuz: two armed tollbooths pointed at each other​ - The framing everyone landed on: Tehran sells the permit, Washington sells the escort, and neither payment buys passage against the other (shanaka86).
​  Scale of the 20%: read as cargo value, a 2M-barrel tanker at $80 owes ~$32M per crossing — a confiscatory tax, not a toll (ejmalrai). Iran's floated fee is ~$1/barrel, i.e. 16x cheaper (TheApeOfGoldST, imetatronink).
​  "Protection racket at global scale" — ~$100-120B/yr extracted by a power that doesn't border the strait (SamiAlArian). Lula: "That used to be called piracy"...
​..Hormuz blockade reinstated + 20% toll — and Iran agrees in principle. Trump: US is now "Guardian of the Strait," reimbursed "at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped," blockade effective July 14 4PM ET (zerohedge, KobeissiLetter). Iran FM Araghchi: "POTUS is absolutely right… 20% is of course too much. We will be fair" (araghchi).​..
..Saudi-Yemen: front reopens — Sana'a airport bombed, Houthis hit Abha
Saudi jets bombed Sana'a airport tarmac to stop an Iranian Mahan Air plane landing (zerohedge, MenchOsint) — the plane simply diverted and landed in Hodeidah anyway (MenchOsint). 
​  Houthis retaliated on Abha airport and King Khalid Air Base with ballistic missiles and drones (war_noir); threatened Saudi "vital infrastructure… oil and gas facilities across their entire extent" (HormuzLetter).
​  Context: MBS reportedly asked Trump on Friday for backing to hit the Houthis, and got it (BarakRavid). Yemen announced it will close Bab Al Mandab (GeromanAT). 
​  Why it matters for oil: Saudi's East-West pipeline moves ~7M b/d to the Red Sea to dodge Hormuz — straight into Bab el-Mandeb's range (shanaka86). Pipelines trade one chokepoint for another.​..
..Meanwhile the financial side cracked hard overnight: Waller flipped hawkish, gold fell below $4,000, the 30Y hit 5.1%, and Korea's KOSPI put in a Lehman-tier drop that force-liquidated 320,000+ retail accounts. Big day on every desk.​   https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-07-14

  ​Trump does whatever Iran does... IRGC Vows 'Not A Drop Of Oil & Gas Will Be Exported' From Region Amid Sustained Cross-Gulf Fighting
Iran-US fighting is sustained but in tit-for-tat pace, with new reported strikes across the Gulf.
​  Trump declares FULL blockade on Iranian ports, while IRGC asserts 'wartime control' of Hormuz.
Trump drops 20% transit fee plan; oil prices ease.​   
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-launches-brazen-attacks-more-tankers-hormuz-killing-crewmembers-after-araghchi

​  Moon of Alabama on suspicious leak that Israel's Mossad recruited a washed-up former-greatest-enemy:  War On Iran: Escalation – Saudi’s Block Oil – Alleged Recruiting Of Ahmadinejad   https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/07/war-on-iran-escalation-saudis-block-oil-alleged-recruiting-of-ahmadinejad.html

​  Lebanese army ‘refuses’ coordination with Tel Aviv as part of US-brokered deal with Israel: Report
Security sources tell local media that the Lebanese army will not ‘take orders’ from Israel or help ‘clear the way’ for additional occupation​  
https://thecradle.co/articles/laf-refuses-coordination-with-tel-aviv-as-part-of-us-brokered-lebanon-israel-deal-report#google_vignette
 
Strikes on Lebanon Continue as Israeli DM Says They Are ‘Applying Rafah Model’​ - Drone strikes continue to target vehicles in southern Lebanon​  https://news.antiwar.com/2026/07/12/strikes-on-lebanon-continue-as-israeli-dm-says-they-are-applying-rafah-model/

Death toll from Israeli attacks on Lebanon rises to 4,322​  https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/death-toll-israeli-attacks-lebanon-rises-4322

Israeli defense minister says southern Lebanon "will become Gaza"​   https://www.azernews.az/region/260969.html

​  Russia open to Turkey selling S-400 air defence systems to UAE, sources say - Sources say negotiations have been under way for months, but Moscow’s final approval is still required​   https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/russia-open-turkey-selling-s-400-systems-uae-sources-say

​  Rivalries and Anxieties: Reviving the Hejaz Railway between Saudi Arabia and Türkiye
The Hejaz Railway project, seemingly long past, is now being dusted down. In a June 9 memorandum of understanding signed between Türkiye and Saudi Arabia, a railway line is envisaged between the two countries that will traverse Jordan and Syria and create a strategic logistics artery linking the Gulf states to Europe.
​  For Israel, this has more than tickled a nerve. Rather than seeing it as a healthy instance of regional competition on matters relating to transport and trade, a reinvigorated Hejaz railway is seen as threatening to the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC)
​  Launched in September 2023, the IMEC, unsurprisingly, positions Israel as the central transit hub linking the Gulf to Europe. But Israeli diplomacy and initiatives have suffered of late, notably after the October 7, 2023 attacks by Hamas which saw a retributive war, not only against the Palestinians in Gaza, but Hezbollah in southern Lebanon and the illegal war launched against Iran in collusion with the United States on February 28.
​   What is particularly curious in the fearful critiques offered by Israeli figures is the implicit suggestion that Israel’s own economic plans and schemes are somehow free of a political, strategic, even security sting. Underlying this is the implicit suggestion that Israel’s claims to logistical and economic supremacy as a transit hub should be beyond competition from any rivals. Consider, for instance, the views of former Israeli Communications and Media Minister Ayoub Kara, who automatically assumes that the Hejaz Railway project is of a military nature and should be guarded against.
  “Any cooperation built on security and military ties that is aimed at undermining Israel is a cause for concern,” he told MBN.
​  Much the same view is held by Mendi Safadi, a member of the ruling Likud Party and head of the Israeli Safadi Center for International Diplomacy, Research, Public Relations and Human Rights. Not missing a trick, Safadi thought it wise to make the railway project something greater than a threat to Israel’s own interests. While there would be “both security and economic risks” to the Jewish state, Europeans also had reason to worry. “Turkey could use this trade corridor as leverage to advance its political objectives.” In an economic world of Trumpian self-interest and exploitation, such a statement comes across as quaint.
​  Israel’s Transportation Minister, Miri Regev, has led the pack in fussing about the project in the broader context of Israel’s security environment. In a letter to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, she anxiously claimed that
​  “we are witnessing a rapid transformation of regional partnerships in trade and energy that deliberately bypass Israel and pose a genuine strategic threat to national security.”
​  The Hejaz Railway project, as well as “additional bypass corridors” threatened “to permanently render the Israeli route obsolete.” Were such “bypass scenarios” to be realised, Israel would be left “outside the map of global trade”.​   
https://www.globalresearch.ca/reviving-hejaz-railway/5933219

Eight people including a nine year old girl have been killed in Israeli strikes which targeted the Sabra area south of Gaza City despite a ‘ceasefire’​   https://www.newarab.com/news/eight-people-including-girl-killed-israeli-strikes-gaza

​  Armed Israeli Settlers Detained Ro Khanna. He Wants Their Illegal Outposts Demolished.
In an interview, Khanna recounts the fear at being detained and says anyone who visits the West Bank “would conclude that it is apartheid.”​   
https://theintercept.com/2026/07/11/ro-khanna-west-bank-settler-violence-palestine-israel/

  ​Kallas wants to vote on sanctions against Israeli genocide: Turf war between von der Leyen and Kallas erupts into open
A Brussels power struggle rages over 'options' to restrict or ban trade with illegal Israeli settlements​   https://www.euractiv.com/news/turf-war-between-von-der-leyen-and-kallas-erupts-into-open/

Rubio Pledges To Dismantle International Criminal Court's Threat To  (cough, Israeli Genocide, cough, cough..) US Sovereignty   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/rubio-pledges-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-us-sovereignty

​  The US has cultivated rising European elites a very long time: Finland and the Results of Elite Capture
Europe's irrational choices are the outcome of decades of US "elite capture," Finnish writer Olli Tammilehto argues. No better example than the president of his own country, Alexander Stubb.​   https://pascallottaz.substack.com/p/finland-and-the-results-of-elite

​  Moving to where fuel is cheaper, the US: Are German companies leaving the country?
Should I stay or should I go? Given Germany's high cost and sluggish growth, some business leaders are mulling relocating, or at least investing abroad. DW has a look at the numbers.​   https://www.dw.com/en/are-german-companies-leaving-the-country/a-77875399

​  Gilbert Doctorow​, Emmanuel Macron’s ‘Anti-ballistic Missile Coalition’ and the Russia-Ukraine war
Macron’s gathering in Paris yesterday was clearly timed to make practical use of the visits of a number of high-ranking guests to the Bastille Day parade today. These guests include Sir Keir Starmer, outgoing PM of the United Kingdom, and Ukraine’s President Zelensky.
​  As I say in the News X World interview, the creation of an ABM coalition is not at all what it claims to be. The stated intention is to provide Ukraine with mutually designed and manufactured air defense systems having the functionality of America’s short-in-supply Patriot and costing a small fraction of the price of Patriots. This would, they say, bring down Russian ballistic missiles and enable Ukraine to defend itself after a truce or peace is reached. It would also help the Europeans in their plan to create a protective dome over the Continent.​..
​..Ukraine was the main development and production center of Soviet strategic arms and it has the skill sets and even factory floors to lead the way not only for itself but also for Europe if the financing and technical cooperation is put in place.
​  To that I say, the argument is based on surmise, not on facts. Yes, Ukraine was a major participant in the Soviet defense industry right up to the collapse of the USSR, but one might ask how many of those experts remain in place. After all, Ukraine has lost more than a third, maybe half of its population to flight abroad – both to Russia in the East and to Germany, Poland and other countries to the West. And the security of existing and planned military factories in Ukraine is problematic. The model factory producing both missiles and drones which the late Senator Lindsey Graham visited last Friday was just a few hours later completely destroyed by a Russian missile attack.
​  The idea that there is an effective defense against Russia’s present day hypersonic missiles is folly. Patriot installations in Ukraine themselves have been destroyed by unstoppable Russian missiles. And ballistic missiles are only part of the threat against which you have to defend today: a large part of the destructive attacks both Russians and Ukrainians are now making on the other side are by swarms of drones...
..Hence, my conclusion stated on the News X interview is that the Coalition will only serve the purpose of feeding money to European military manufacturers while providing no practical benefit to European or Ukrainian defense...
..In my interview with Press TV, I was given the opportunity to discuss points which Middle East expert Alastair Crooke set out convincingly in his latest podcast on youtube.
​  Crooke spoke about the damage Iran has done to the Bahrain headquarters of the U.S. Fifth Fleet and especially to U.S. military assets in Jordan where it attacked a major air base used by American forces. It may well be that Iran destroyed there a spy plane worth several hundred million dollars in its hangar and also destroyed U.S. fighter jets in their hangar. By Crooke’s estimation, Iran has taken control of the escalatory ladder, which reverses completely the normal order of things in America’s wars of aggression.
​  My contribution was to place the latest Iranian achievements in the context of what comes next in the reorganization of the security architecture in the Middle East. The Iranian missile strike on Bahrain was a message about what it can do to the Fifth Fleet at any time of its choosing should Trump want to escalate further. Surely all of the Gulf State neighbors took notice.​   
https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/emmanuel-macrons-anti-ballistic-missile

​  Conor Gallagher, Lindsey Graham Bites the Dust
Lindsey Graham is dead. Before we celebrate too much, there is still a chance that he helps bring even more suffering and death just as he did while alive.​   https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/07/lindsey-graham-bites-the-dust.html

Graham's Final Mission? Trump Backs Hard-Hitting Russia Sanctions Package​   https://www.zerohedge.com/political/warhawk-grahams-final-mission-trump-backs-hard-hitting-russia-sanctions-package

​  Jessica Rose Ph.D. wonders i​f Pfizer or Moderna were involved: Could spike protein-mediated fibrosis predispose to aortic dissection?
Implications for histopathological evaluation and differential diagnosis​   https://jessicar.substack.com/p/could-spike-protein-mediated-fibrosis

South Carolina's Governor Appoints Lindsey Graham's Sister To Fill His Senate Seat​  [​previously filled by Strom Thurmond]    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/graham-dead-race-both-temporary-and-permanent-senate-successors

​  John Helmer on Reussian Strategic Initiative: BLEEDING TO DEATH IS NOT A RUSSIAN OPTION
The rupturing of the aorta which killed US Senator Lindsey Graham on July 11  causes sudden, excruciating pain across the chest; the internal bleeding causes death
so rapidly most victims cannot be saved.
  Graham’s fate is now to be inflicted by rapid enactment by the US Senate and House of the 500% tariff of the Graham sanctions bill on countries buying Russian oil, gas, uranium, coal, nickel, food grains.    The pain is aimed principally at China, India, Turkey.
  The bleeding to death is planned to be the fate of President Vladimir Putin and Russia...
​..Putin’s problem is more urgent: he has to win the war in Ukraine to have any say in anything anywhere. If he doesn’t decide on this now, he’s Gorbachev 1985, waiting to be dismembered and sold in pieces to the Arabs, Turks, Europeans, and Chinese.”
​  Another Moscow source has been reporting the anticipation among Security Council officials that Putin must agree to the General Staff’s escalation options “within days”.  
​  In this timing, by coincidence or by calculation, the Russian oligarchs supporting Putin have published an appeal to him with strings attached. These have been spelled out by Andrei Melnichenko and published by The Economist on July 9.   Melnichenko warns Putin, and also the Graham sanctioneers in the White House and Congress, against four “scenarios” – “a humiliated Russia, lingering on the periphery of the West”, “Russia in China’s orbit”, “the fragmentation of Russia, which would rapidly become unmanageable”, and “Russia to become a fortress: closed, mobilised, in permanent siege”.  
​  Moscow sources believe there are more options than these.
​  They say the Security Council has proposed to Putin to decide that if he is not to face slow bleeding defeat, he must commit now to “complete Russian victory cutting Ukraine off from Europe, NATO and the US;   decapitation or exile for the Zelensky regime; and for Kiev and the main cities to be run in the manner the US runs Iraq. That victory brings military to power in Moscow.”
​  This is anathema to the oligarch base on which Putin has depended until now, when, Moscow sources agree, that is impossible.
“Melnichenko is speaking at the behest of the state oligarchs clan of which [First Deputy Prime Minister Denis] Manturov is the face and coordinator”,   according to one source. “They know [Roman] Abramovich is not the right person to intermediate. They want to retain their external wealth and their Russian assets so they are floating a ‘nothing and everything is possible’ balloon – if need be, to open a platform independent of Putin, but if he will come to an accommodation, so much the better.”
​  They are worried, a source in a position to know claims, by “the prospect of a entire shift toward a Chinese-style takeover by a military-nationalist alliance, the state takeover of all oligarch assets, a change of leadership at Rosneft and the state banks. This may not be plausible for the Kremlin. But it is being floated now. And there are other scenarios which the oligarchs also oppose. One would be for Putin to preserve his continuity in power on striking a grand deal with India and China. The Indians will show the middle finger to the Americans if the Chinese will but not alone. Putin will have to join, too.”​   
https://johnhelmer.net/bleeding-to-death-is-not-a-russian-option/#respond

  ​Andrew Korybko, Western Officials Should Listen When Trenin Of All People Warns Of Russian Escalation
He’s not a hawk in the least and actually used to be one of his country’s most well-known Western-friendly experts before the special operation led to him gradually re-evaluating his worldview.
​  President of the Russian International Affairs Council Dmitri Trenin published a piece at RT about “The dangerous logic of NATO 3.0”. In his assessment, “The Europeans dream of eliminating Russia as a serious factor in the geopolitics of Eurasia: to them, this would mean the ‘final solution’ of the long-dreaded ‘Russia problem.’…The fundamental flaw of European thinking is their belief that Russia would rather accept defeat, degradation and disintegration than use the arsenal which it currently possesses.”
​  He elaborated that “This arsenal is not limited to nuclear weapons, although the point may be reached when they will have to be used. The Kremlin, so far, has been exceedingly restrained in using its more powerful conventional capabilities, or engaging some high-value, high-visibility targets. There are many explanations for such restraint, but it is foolhardy – actually, fatal – to believe that either the Russian leadership or the Russian people would ever surrender to NATO.”​   
https://korybko.substack.com/p/western-officials-should-listen-when

​Dmitry Trenin, The dangerous logic of NATO 3.0- Moscow sees a dangerous illusion at the heart of the new Western doctrine   https://www.rt.com/news/642647-nato-militarism/

​  ‘They used axes to spare the ammo’: How modern Ukraine’s Nazi heroes massacred Poles during WWII
Poland supported Ukraine against Russia – but the ghosts of the Volyn genocide have returned to haunt their partnership​   
https://www.rt.com/russia/548672-ukrainian-murdered-poles-wwii/

  The sector was hurridly evacuated: Russia Massive Attack: Kiev Regime Hides Depleted Uranium Ammunition in the Capital’s Suburbs
A recent Russian attack destroyed a facility housing dangerous weapons held by the regime.​   https://www.globalresearch.ca/kiev-regime-hides-depleted-uranium-ammunition-capital/5932943

Ukraine Prime Minister's Shock Resignation Marks Start Of Broader Zelensky Cabinet Reshuffle​   https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraine-prime-ministers-shock-resignation-start-broader-zelensky-cabinet-reshuffle

  Fear of Russian Strikes Forces. Trump’s Ukraine Air Defense Patriot Strategy
Fear of Russian strikes is driving a major shift away from establishing production in Ukraine toward more secure European locations, underscoring the challenges of producing advanced air defense systems amid ongoing conflict.
​  Production activities are underway in Europe, with MBDA, owned by Airbus, BAE Systems, and Leonardo, opening a new plant in southern Germany. The plant is scheduled to begin operations soon, with initial deliveries expected by early 2027. Reports indicate that Ukraine has finalized deals with Germany for approximately 600 missiles. Funding appears to be secured through NATO commitments made at the Ankara summit, totaling around $140 billion—$70 billion this year and $70 billion next year.
​  Establishing such specialized factories requires significant time, typically 18 to 24 months. During this period, Ukraine would need to meet its immediate requirements by purchasing completed systems, primarily from German stocks.​   

​  Lockheed Martin, the main US producer of Patriot systems, is building a factory in Romania, expected to be operational soon. Ongoing security threats and the risk of Russian attacks on Ukrainian territory make full-scale missile manufacturing unlikely in Ukraine. Consequently, safer European locations, especially Romania, are becoming the preferred sites.
​  In a possible Romanian configuration, the US would supply advanced parts such as active radar seekers, motors, and complex electronics. Local facilities would assemble simpler components, including missile bodies and transport-launch containers. These sites could operate under Ukrainian branding or as joint ventures, allowing Kiev to claim involvement while reducing risk. Even shipments from European plants could be intercepted or targeted during transit or deployment.​   
https://www.globalresearch.ca/fear-russian-strikes-changes-trump-ukraine-patriot-strategy/5933283

​  Ian Proud, There is no functional way to end the war in Ukraine​ - Only a popular uprising against globalist leaders in Europe and their proxy in Ukraine, will do
​  I predict that the collapse in Western support for the forever war in Ukraine will start to crumble after the French Presidential election, which Marine Le Pen is considered in hot contention to win. France under Le Pen will not want Ukraine to join the EU because of the loss of financial benefits to France that would result. I predict she would not want to prolong the war in Ukraine further given the significant indirect economic cost to France from the decline of Europe that it has precipitated.
​  There will be an enormous legal and media campaign to prevent Le Pen from winning, much as there will be a similar campaign in Germany in 2029.
Even in Britain, political elites are already looking to unpick the Brexit vote and suck us back into the warmongering supranational structure of Europe.
​  But the simple truth is this, the only way to end the war in Ukraine is the get rid of Zelensky and the globalist elites in London, Berlin, Brussel and Paris.
There is simply no other functional way to make it end, on the basis that NATO and the EU have stolen the sovereignty of their members, refuse to talk to Russia and see no interest for their citizens in peacemaking.​  
https://thepeacemonger.substack.com/p/there-is-no-functional-way-to-end

  ​John Helmer disparages Putin's strategic restraint. PUTIN’S MIRROR IS NO FAIRY TALE
“Victory will undoubtedly be ours,” Putin declared in a speech to a Moscow rally, “Everything to Win”, yesterday.  “Our guys, the fighters, are moving forward,” he added.
​  “Our responses will always be mirrored, wherever they try to strike at the territory of Russia, we will respond in a mirror, only several times more powerful. The enemy will feel it. He already feels it, I hope, and he will feel it several times more powerfully.”  
​  This is Putin’s public response to the rising pressure from within the Security Council, the intelligence agencies, the General Staff, and in the media of the military bloggers for E-Day. That’s short for Escalation Day – not TFT (tit for tat), not TIT (Trust in Trump), not the symmetrical responses from the genie in Putin’s magic mirror.  
​  This is the plan for escalation of military operations to cut the Ukraine battlefield off altogether from its ground and sea supply links to the NATO alliance; to cut off the US and NATO drone targeting operations in the airspace of the Black Sea, and the Starlink and other satellite deployments in space; and to do as much as possible for Russia’s allies, starting on the Iran front, to inflict cost and pain on the US.  
​  Intelligence sources in Moscow have been expressing confidence that Putin, having no alternative now, will release the General Staff from the operational restrictions he has imposed since the start of the Special Military Operation in February 2022; most particularly “our responses will always be mirrored.”​  
https://johnhelmer.net/putins-mirror-is-no-fairy-tale/#more-94643 

2,000 DRONES READY​ - Russia Preparing MEGA STRIKE on Kyiv & Odesa ​- Zelensky in France​, M​ilitary S​ummary 2026.07.14​   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qS2R_IS9Vo0

3 WAVES OF STRIKES ON ODESA ​- 10 Ships Damaged ​- 2,000 Drones Ready for MEGA STRIKE​, M​ilitary S​ummary 2026.07.14​   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HRtS00cMYLQ

​  The big immigration lie: France urged to embrace robotics over immigration
The French politician and Reconquest leader Éric Zemmour highlights technology as the path to sovereignty amid labor challenges​   
https://rmx.news/article/the-big-immigration-lie-france-urged-to-embrace-robotics-over-immigration/

​  It's an AI web, and we're just rats in the walls​ - Bots, not people, are now the ones who use the internet the most​, Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols
Cloudflare's public Radar "Bot vs Human" tracker is reporting that bots now account for roughly 57-58 percent of HTTP requests for HTML content, compared with about 42-43 percent from humans. Meanwhile, Imperva's Bad Bot Report based on 2025 data put bots at about 53 percent of measured web traffic for the second year in a row, with humans at 47 percent.
​  Separately, according to Pangram, an AI detection company, on websites such as LinkedIn, Medium, Twitter, and Reddit, "about one in four long-form items were fully AI-generated."
​  The company went on to report that "LinkedIn was the most AI-saturated platform, where more than 40 percent of long-form posts [were] flagged as fully AI-generated. However, if we included mixed AI and human content, X/Twitter was the worst off: almost half of X articles were either fully AI-generated (23.9 percent) or AI-assisted/mixed (22.9 percent), with only 53.2 percent of X articles flagging as fully human-authored."​   
https://www.theregister.com/columnists/2026/07/12/its-an-ai-web-and-were-just-rats-in-the-walls/5269760

​  Ireland’s data centers consumed nearly as much electricity as every home in the country combined in 2025 — server farms gulped 23% of national power despite years of grid restrictions​   https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/data-centers/irelands-data-centers-consumed-nearly-as-much-electricity-as-every-home-in-the-country-combined-in-2025-server-farms-gulped-23-percent-of-national-power-despite-years-of-grid-restrictions

​  Companies are getting AI chatbots to smear their competitors​ - The race to influence AI chatbots is leading to some companies to adopt shady competitive tactics.​   https://sherwood.news/tech/companies-are-getting-ai-chatbots-to-smear-their-competitors/

​  Alarm over launch of facial recognition in UK shops that instantly alerts police- Civil liberties groups say Facewatch system in stores such as Sainsbury’s and B&M is ‘dangerous escalation’​   https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jul/10/facewatch-facial-recognition-uk-shops-instantly-alerts-police-civil-liberties

​  Nick Corbishley​.   Will the Bank of England Ever Give Venezuela Back Its Gold?​  It’s already been more than seven years since the UK confiscated Venezuela’s gold reserves.  https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2026/07/will-the-bank-of-england-finally-give-venezuela-its-gold-back.html

​  Deprived of the right to vote: The UN punishes the victims of U.S.-imposed sanctions
The UN strips Venezuela of voting rights over unpaid dues – but ignores that U.S. sanctions froze its finances. Iran, Sudan, and Afghanistan face the same trap.​   https://strategic-culture.su/news/2026/07/08/deprived-right-vote-un-punishes-victims-us-imposed-sanctions/

​  Cuba offers Trump luxury island in desperate bid to stop invasion
Trump has openly mused about Cuba’s prime coastal value, and now Cuba's ruling Castro family is reportedly floating a stunning proposal to the president​   
https://www.themirror.com/news/politics/cuba-offers-trump-luxury-island-1933208

China cries foul after 14 nations, including Japan, reject B​eijing's South China Sea claims ​  http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/132356112.cms

Women Over 40 Are Now Having More Babies Than American Teenagers​   https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/women-over-40-are-now-having-more-babies-american-teenagers

​  Appeals Court Revives Tylenol Autism Lawsuits Against Kenvue
A federal appeals court has breathed new life into litigation accusing Kenvue of failing to disclose alleged risks tied to taking Tylenol during pregnancy, reversing an earlier ruling that had effectively stopped hundreds of cases, according to a new report from Bloomberg.​   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/appeals-court-revives-tylenol-autism-lawsuits-against-kenvue

​  Celia Farber, Darkness Doubled: Mother Of Twins Who Both Died Days After A Round Of Vaccines Charged With First Degree Murder; Was Part Of Lawsuit Against AAP, Had Taken Them Repeatedly To Be Seen By Doctors - Mass Media Attacking Her   https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/darkness-doubled-mother-of-twins

  Steve Kirsch, Brian Hooker's paper showing vaccines increase mortality was REMOVED from preprints.org
Here's how they justified the removal and why they got it wrong. If they found an explanation other than the vaccine, why are they keeping it a secret from everyone including the authors?​   https://kirschsubstack.com/p/brian-hookers-paper-showing-vaccines

​Paul Marik MD, Preventing Prostate Cancer​ - Take action Now   https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/preventing-prostate-cancer

  Jessica Rose Ph.D. just needs the full data-set:  Did plasma-derived Hep B vaccines seed the early AIDS epidemic?
Questions, evidence, and a call for full data release​   https://jessicar.substack.com/p/did-plasma-derived-hep-b-vaccines

​  Dr. Marian Laderoute explains the wonder of our ancestors integrating a good-retrovirus: Lay Version of New Article on How Trained Immunity Saves Lives
How I came to understand things in medicine. July 12, 2026​   https://hervk102.substack.com/p/lay-version-of-new-article-on-how

​Cyclospora jumps bail: Explosive foodborne outbreak - It's a real shit show out there: What we know, don't know, and what it means for you.   https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/explosive-foodborne-outbreak

  Curry is beneficial: Nano-Curcumin Eliminates Cyclospora Infection in Mice—the Parasite Behind the “Explosive Diarrhea” Outbreak Across 31 States
Just seven daily doses of nano-curcumin cut Cyclospora shedding by 97.2%, eliminated detectable parasites, restored damaged intestinal tissue, and prevented infection relapse.​   
​  Researchers experimentally infected mice with Cyclospora and compared three treatments:
Nano-curcumin: 2 mg/kg once daily
​  Regular curcumin: 2 mg/kg once daily
Bactrim/TMP-SMX: 5 mg/kg trimethoprim plus 25 mg/kg sulfamethoxazole once daily
​  Each treatment was administered for only seven consecutive days, beginning on day 6 after infection when parasite shedding started. The mice received no additional treatment and were followed through day 30—more than two weeks after the final dose.
​  Nano-curcumin produced the strongest overall results.
By the end of treatment, parasite oocyst shedding had fallen by:
​  84.0% with nano-curcumin
77.3% with Bactrim
​  73.3% with regular curcumin
At day 30, more than two weeks after treatment ended:
​  Nano-curcumin: 97.2% reduction
Regular curcumin: 93.5% reduction
​  Bactrim: 79.4% reduction
Untreated control: persistent and increasing shedding​   
https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/nano-curcumin-eliminates-cyclospora

​Colin Todhunter on not-genetic-engineering: You Can’t Patent a Trench: The Real Biotechnology the Green Revolution Forgot   https://www.globalresearch.ca/patent-trench-real-biotechnology-green-revolution-forgot/5933177

America may have to sacrifice Lake Powell to save the Colorado River, as Scientists Warn the current two-reservoir system is becoming unsustainable

American Gardener (pictured this morning with traditional water storage technology)