Thursday, August 11, 2022

Information Civil War

 Non Participants,

  Charles Hugh Smith lives this life he preaches, though he also focuses a lot on the news and implications thereof (got food?)
Rather Than Focus on What You Don't Control ("The News"), Focus on What You Do Control: What You Grow, Eat and Own
Now that globalization and financialization are finally unraveling, people are slowly awakening to the national security foundations of localizing production.                                           

​  ​Tulsi Gabbard unleashes a torrent of facts in what most on the left in Washington would call 'conspiracy theory' and 'hate speech' pointing out the fact that everything from the IRS to the Department of Homeland Security is "blatantly being weaponized to target political opponents of those in power and anyone who dares to dissent or question or challenge their actions and policies."
​  ​By way of example, Gabbard notes that with regard to the massive increase in the size of the IRS, the messaging from Democrats is 'this will only apply to to the wealthy'. Well, as Gabbard points out, "that's only 1-2% of all taxpayers, so why in the world do they need $80 billion and 87,000 new hires in order to go after 1-2% of taxpayers?"
​  ​Simply put, she explains, "their math absolutely does not add up," which she says "should be frightening and concerning"​ ​ to all Americans, because "this means, they're coming after us - the entrepreneurs, small business owners, and the middle class hard-working Americans."
​  ​As Gabbard points out, "it's not a 'theory' that the IRS will abuse its power to go after political opponents, we have already seen them do it."
​  ​51% of all IRS audits last year were for those who earned less than $75,000, so unless they changed their doctrine, it's pretty clear the average American is going to feel the scrutiny of the IRS in a way they're not prepared for.
"This government bureaucracy at its worst... they are taking money out of our pockets... to go and plus-up their force and their ability to maintain power...

​All that for nothing?​
​  ​A Monmouth University poll shows that almost 90 percent of respondents report that the hearings have made no change in how they view the J6 riot.
Moreover, despite the overwhelming cooperation and support of the media with the Committee, the vast majority believe that the J6 Committee was a political rather than investigative exercise, focused on opposing Trump rather than disclosing the facts of January 6th.

​Civil War by 2024?​ The White House has said "Joe Biden' did not know about this warrant. Does it matter?
Attorney General Merrick Garland revealed during a brief Thursday speech that he personally approved the search warrant at Mar-a-Lago, and that the DOJ has asked a federal court to unseal the document.

​Just how was this necessary? The Clinton emails are still in some private server, somewhere, right?​ Is it really just power-politics now?
According to Newsweek, the FBI had a 'confidential human source' (a mole) inside Mar-a-Lago, who was "able to identify what classified documents former President Trump was still hiding and even the location of those documents."

​The Germans deciding this will not be the Germans wo freeze to death, so it's not suicide. How should it be classified?​
​  ​Germany won't put Russia’s Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline into operation even if the situation with energy supplies deteriorates in the coming months, government spokesman Steffen Hebestreit said on Monday.
​  ​“What is clear is that we stand firmly on the side of Ukraine, that we support the sanctions that we jointly adopted in the EU and in consultations with the international community… What is also clear is that Nord Stream 2 is not certified and is not currently going through the certification process and thus is not available [for operation],” the spokesman said at a press briefing.
​  ​When asked specifically if German Chancellor Olaf Scholz rules out using the pipeline in the coming fall and winter if the situation with gas supplies in the region becomes more complicated, Hebestreit said “yes, he rules it out.”

Ukrainian Troops Shell Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant
(Sputnik) - Ukrainian troops launched an attack against the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant overnight​ (8/6/22) ​, using an Uragan multiple rocket launcher, with shrapnel and a rocket engine falling at 400 meters (1,312 feet) from the station's operating power unit, the military and civil administration of the city of Energodar said.

Scott Ritter: One upsmanship on the human shield tactic. Shell a nuclear reactor after accusing your opponent of using it as a 'shield".
​  ​The Ukrainian attack on the Zaporozhye nuclear facility was, in typical Orwellian fashion, forecasted by the United States four days before it took place. During an August 1 news conference at the United Nations, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken accused Russia of using the nuclear facility as a base from which it conducted artillery strikes against Ukraine. Blinken declared that the act of firing artillery rockets from proximity to the nuclear power plant was “the height of irresponsibility,” implying that these rockets could land on the power plant itself. Blinken also added that the Russians were using the nuclear facility as a “nuclear shield” which prevented any Ukrainian attack out of fear of striking the nuclear reactors.​..
​..​The goal of this campaign appears to be twofold – first, to put Russia in a bad light, and second, to allow Ukraine to accomplish that which it could not achieve through military force – the eviction of Russian troops from Zaporozhye.

Ukrainian forces are still shelling it;
UNSC Holds Emergency Meeting As Smoke Observed Rising Over Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant

Pepe Escobar looks at the world-order contest and contestants.
  Following Speaker Pelosi’s caper in Taiwan, collateral damage is bound to multiply like the blades of a R9-X missile.
  The first stage is the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) already having engaged in live fire drills, with massive shelling in the direction of the Taiwan Strait out of Fujian province.
  The first sanctions are on too, against two Taiwanese funds. Export of sable to Taiwan is forbidden; sable is an essential commodity for the electronics industry – so that will ratchet up the pain dial in high-tech sectors of the global economy.
  Chinese CATL, the world’s largest fuel cell and lithium-ion battery maker, is indefinitely postponing the building of a massive $5 billion, 10,000-employee factory that would manufacture batteries for electric vehicles across North America, supplying Tesla and Ford among others.
  So the Sun Tzu maneuvering ahead will essentially concentrate on a progressive economic blockade of Taiwan, the imposition of a partial no-fly zone, severe restrictions of maritime traffic, cyber warfare, and the Big Prize: inflicting pain on the US economy.
  For Beijing,/ playing the long game means the acceleration of the process involving an array of nations across Eurasia and beyond, trading in commodities and manufactured products in their own currencies. They will be progressively testing a new system that will see the advent of a BRICS+/SCO/Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU) basket of currencies, and in the near future, a new reserve currency.

​Anything to lower prices at the pump until November...​
US Accused Of Stealing Over 80% Of Syria's Oil Output Per Day

​ ​Goldman believes that the oil market will remain in unsustainable deficits at current prices, and is why the bank forecasts that the oil market still requires oil demand destruction on top of the ongoing economic slowdown. This, the bank warns, requires a sharp rebound in retail fuel prices - the binding constraint to balancing the oil market - back to $150/bbl Brent equivalent prices, equivalent to US retail gasoline and diesel prices reaching $4.35 and $5.45/gal by 4Q22.

​"Coalition of the willing" again?​
US Warns Africa Against Buying Anything From Russia Besides Grain and Fertilizer
The US ambassador to the UN said African nations could be hit with sanctions for doing business with Russia

​Nancy, that's not how to look "presidential". You have to look strong, decisive, yet reserved, not call petty names. George Bush is the wrong role model.
Pelosi was asked about Xi's reaction to her being the highest American official to visit the self-ruled island in 25 years, to which she answered by saying Xi is behaving like a "scared bully" given he's in a "fragile crisis" in the wake of her trip.

  Following a four-hour meeting with Putin on Friday, Erdogan welcomed Russia’s role in building a nuclear power plant in Turkey. The two nations aim for bilateral trade turnover of $100 billion, and are cooperating against terrorism and toward peace in Libya and Syria.  Putin pledged that Russia would supply Turkey with oil, gas and coal “without any interruptions,” after the two leaders agreed that Ankara would pay for some of this gas in rubles.
  Another official told the newspaper that Erdogan’s behavior is “very opportunistic,” adding that “we are trying to make the Turks pay attention to our concerns.”
Although a NATO member since 1952 and an EU applicant since 1987, Turkey has broken with both blocs on several occasions, most recently over the conflict in Ukraine.

  Turkey has ensured a reliable supply of Russian natural gas to the EU, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday, adding that its members should be grateful to Ankara...
  “The Turkish Stream, unlike all other routes of our hydrocarbon supplies, works properly, works smoothly, without any failures. […] I think our European partners should be grateful to Turkey for ensuring uninterrupted transit of our gas to the European market,” Putin said.

In conclusion, Russia have now DIRECTLY accused the DNC Globalists of
-creating and releasing new variants of Coronaviruses, and now Monkeypox, intentionally, for the purposes of political control and world domination.
-using non-consensual experimentation on citizens of the world to create genome specific biological weapons for ethnic cleansing.

-creation and usage of narcotics, such as methamphetamines, on Ukrainian forces to dehumanize them in order to carry out heinous crimes against humanity on civilians in Ukraine.

Twitter Suspends Russian Foreign Ministry Account For COVID Origins Theory

​As experts such as Luc Montagnier have stated since March 2020...
Head Of The Lancet’s COVID-19 Investigation Is ‘Convinced’ It Came Out Of A Lab
Charges that a real investigation is being blocked

  This technology works against all double-stranded RNA viruses, and would apparently also work against the immortal mRNA vaccines that cause human cells to pump out spike protein month after month, by killing cells that contain double-stranded mRNA (none should). it worked well for mice, but has been cut off from funding since then.   ​Spartacus has the story.
Double-stranded RNA Activated Caspase Oligomerizer
On July 27th, 2011, a paper was published in PLOS ONE describing a novel protein biologic antiviral. It was called DRACO, an acronym for Double-stranded RNA Activated Caspase Oligomerizer.

Vaccine Deaths Outnumber Covid Deaths in U.S. Households, Two New Polls Confirm

​Adverse vaccine events reported to Pfizer in Australia up through April 15, 2022, Freedom of Information request​;
Total cases reported 1,348,078.
75% of cases reported are under the age of 65.
Over 68% of cases are female.
387,675 (29%) of cases are described as “serious”.
17,156 reported cases for pregnant or breastfeeding women.
45,523 paediatric cases.
4,563,768 adverse events (average 3.4 per case).
646,837 nervous system disorders.
503,108 musculoskeletal and connective tissue disorders.
299,486 gastrointestinal disorders.
209,213 skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders.
176,907 respiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders.
162,086 reproductive system and breast disorders.
114,375 cardiac disorders.
93,097 blood and lymphatic system disorders.

​For those with friends/family considering inoculating their children with the current highly marketed gene-therapy "vaccine" products.​
5 Facts to Consider Before Vaccinating Kids for COVID
Very few children get seriously ill or die from COVID-19. The risk of COVID-19 shots likely outweighs the harm of infection. Two years into this pandemic, the need to inoculate children is nil. Simple as that.

Protecting Children (pictured with installed kitchen countertop)

Saturday, August 6, 2022

Disinformation "Wins"

 Well Informed,

A lot of the battle for global dominance is disinformation. The side that has been winning the disinformation war is not winning the physical reality war. 
What does that imply on a case by case basis?
  Alastair Crooke, The EU Has Begun its Retreat. “First Steps in Unraveling Energy and Food Sanctions on Russia”
​  ​What is going on? The oil market has been volatile recently, as the US has tried to manipulate the ‘paper market’ (which is way larger than the physical market), in order to contrive a dip in prices in the Bent and WTI index. Again, the object has been to hurt Russia – and to facilitate Yellen’s ‘oil cap’ by getting prices closer to the $60 a barrel on which Yellen has set her capping hopes.
​  ​It hasn’t worked, and it seems the White House just wants oil prices down – full stop.  Even the hawk, Victoria Nuland, said Friday that the US and its allies need Russian oil supplies to enter world markets, otherwise the cost of this resource will start to rise again: “We need to see the presence of Russian oil on the world market, otherwise the shortage of oil will lead to a new rise in prices.”
​  ​Realism seeps in!  Putin achieves all his key demands in respect to the food crisis – and today, is even selling a slightly increased volume of oil.
​  ​The price of oil will indeed fluctuate. It will respond however, more to the effects arising from depth reached in the coming recession, than on market manipulation, and Yellen’s price capping efforts.  The western Establishment is still trying to get its head around the new reality that commodities are seen to have innate value, whereas fiat currencies such as the dollar don’t.

  This is the case that 'somebody" is manipulating the oil data to make it look like nobody is driving this summer, and there is an excess, so prices drop by algorithms.
I have seen a lot of driving all summer. What have you seen? Mega truckstops are full of cars in Texas. When will we discover that there is actually no oil in the tanks at Cushing?  
"Very Crooked Numbers": Biden Admin Accused Of Fabricating Low Gas Demand Data To Hammer Price Of Oil
As our friends at ForexLive point out, the trigger behind today's plunge in oil prices is gasoline demand, which as we noted yesterday, showed that for July, gasoline demand (on a trailing 4 week basis) slumped below 2020 levels.
Intuitively, ForexLive cautions, "that doesn't make sense. Yes, gasoline prices are much higher than 2020 but the world was in the midst of a pandemic and far more people were working from home in the summer of 2020."

​Germany would have to start the process "yesterday'. Time is of the essence.​
German ex-chancellor offers solution to EU’s energy crisis
Gerhard Schroeder called for the launch of Russia’s Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline

​"S**t, let's try China!"​
Poll Finds Only 1 Per Cent of Americans See Russia as a Major Problem

​Moon of Alabama looks at China, Taiwan, US​
  Chinese military exercises will now be held around the island without regard for what Taipei claims as its borders. These missile launches, sea and air maneuvers will not be threatening enough to cause a dangerous military confrontation. But they will be repeated over the next years and will steadily move closer and closer to Taiwan's coast.
  The median line between China and Taiwan, never officially recognized but adhered to, will now be ignored.
China essentially decided to boil the proverbial frog of Taiwanese independence by slowly, slowly increasing the pressure:
  China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is closing off six areas around Taiwan from Thursday to Sunday and is expected to hold drills, including live-fire exercises, in some areas within 12 miles of the island.
  The drills are expected to be bigger than the missile tests China launched during the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis that was sparked in 1995 by the US granting a visa to former Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui.
  Both Chinese and American analysts believe that the unprecedented military exercises could become routine, a consequence of Pelosi’s provocative visit.
  Taiwan depends on sea trade. The Chinese military maneuvers will essentially block it for the next few days. It is demonstration of what might come should China get really serious.
  This military posturing will be aided by selected economic sanctions designed to remove the support for Taiwan's current pro-independence government:
  China also imposed sanctions on Taiwan because of Pelosi, including a ban on the export of natural sand, and a halt on imports of fish and fruit products from the island.
  A  ban on the export of natural sand, 90% of which Taiwan imports from China, may sound harmless. But if you live on a rock in an area prone to earthquakes you may want to build your high rises with concrete. No sand no concrete. Building costs in Taiwan will rise and the government will be blamed... 

China has the initiative now. They can do this for weeks on end, then pause when they feel like it. 
Can Taiwan/US/Japan regain the initiative? Voter referendum? 
​  ​Taiwan says China's military has upped the threat level against it as People's Liberation Army (PLA) planes pressed ahead with their largest ever drills surrounding the island, following Thursday's ultra-provocative launch of eleven ballistic missiles in area waters, some of which were reported to have flown over the island and population of some 23 million.
​  ​On Saturday Taiwan's defense ministry said it observed Chinese planes and ships conducting attack simulation exercises while operating in the Taiwan Strait.

China can now make this game of chicken costly for the US. A large, continuous (sitting-duck) naval presence will be called-for. Will the USN get Taiwanese ports?
White House Orders US Carrier Strike Group To Stay Near Taiwan Longer Than Planned, Says China 'Overreacting'

Just when she was looking more presidential than "sleepy Joe"  
As Taiwan Warns Chinese "Maritime & Aerial Blockade" Ensuing, Pelosi Says Real Issue Is 'I'm A Woman'
..all that she's offered thus far as an "explanation" for soaring regional tensions, and with Taiwan now finding itself in the direct crosshairs of a nuclear-armed superpower is that people are angry that she went to Taiwan because she's a woman.
​  ​Yes, she actually said on Wednesday morning while standing alongside Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen: "They didn’t say anything when the men came."

​Cynthia Chung looks at  The Real Global Agenda Pushing for War with China, and ​I​ pick this out of the middle of the fine investigative essay.
The City of London
“Hell is a city much like London.”
– Percy Bysshe Shelley

“Over and over again we have seen that there is another power than that which has its seat at Westminster. The City of London, a convenient term for a collection of financial interests, is able to assert itself against the government of the country. Those who control money can pursue a policy at home and abroad contrary to that which is being decided by the people.”
Clement Attlee, UK Prime Minister (1945-1951) and political opponent of Churchill.

​  ​The City of London is over 800 years old. It is arguably older than England herself, and for over 400 years it has been the financial center of the world.
​  ​During the medieval period, the City of London, otherwise known as the Square Mile or simply the City, was divided into 25 ancient wards headed each by an alderman. This continues today.
​  In addition, there existed the ominously titled City of London Corporation, or simply the Corporation, which is the municipal governing body of the City. This also still continues today.
​  ​Though the Corporation’s origins cannot be specifically dated, since there was never a “surviving” charter found establishing its “legal” basis, it has kept its functions to this day based on the Magna Carta. The Magna Carta is a charter of rights agreed to by King John in 1215, which states that “the City of London shall have/enjoy its ancient liberties”. In other words, the legal function of the Corporation has never been questioned, reviewed, re-evaluated EVER but rather it has been left to legally function as in accordance with their “ancient liberties”, which is a very grey description of function if you ask me. In other words, they are free to do as they deem fit.
​  ​Therefore, the question is, if the City of London has kept its “ancient liberties” and has upheld its global financial power, is the British Empire truly gone?

​Charles Hugh Smith looks at the internal corruption in the Chinese economy, and why wealthy Chinese keep trying to offshore their capital.​ (The formats of corruption in the west are somewhat different, not less, per se.)
China At The Crossroads
​  ​As strategist Edward Luttwak observed, the funny thing about force is how limited it is in actual efficacy. Forcing capital and talent to stay put doesn't make people productive. It simply forces a choice: find a way to flee or just give up and stop working hard. After all, what's the point?
​  ​Every economy in which capital and talent can no longer count on predictability is an economy at the crossroads. As Luttwak explained, force is not the same as power, though many confuse the two. Power attracts capital and talent because they're being offered stability and predictability. Force tries to shove instability and unpredictability down everyone's throat and compels them to declare their undying loyalty for instability and unpredictability.
​  ​But capital and talent vote with their feet. If they can't vote with their feet, they just give up. Any economy in which capital and talent either flee or give up has only one possible end-point: stagnation and collapse.
​ ​In other words, watch where capital is flowing. That's pretty much all you need to know to predict the future.​ 
(But those flows are "opaque' to us pawns.)

​Taiwan was a territory of Japan for 50 years, until 1945. Japan remains very interested in Taiwan.​
Tokyo Lodges Protest With Beijing After 5 Chinese Missiles Fell in Japan's EEZ, Reports Say

​No golden eggs unless the goose gets treated just right. Don't kill the goose.​  China will carefully apply pressure, not like US/EU vs Russia, we presume.
​  ​Pelosi Meets Chair of World’s Largest Chipmaker in Taiwan Amid Increasing US-Chinese Tensions
  ​Earlier this week, TSMC Chairman Mark Liu warned in an interview that if China invades Taiwan, the most-advanced chip factory in the world would be rendered “not operable”, and that “war brings no winners, everybody’s losers.”

​The President and Foreign Minister of South Korea both flew-the-coop just before Nancy arrived from Taipei. (Voted: "not present")

Special operation drew world’s attention to activity of US biolabs  
​  ​Kirillov reminded that on July 18, 2022, President of Venezuela Nicolas Maduro publicly stated that the US was involved in the assassination of former Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez. According to the information Venezuela has, since 2002 US intelligence agencies had been working on ways to eliminate the Venezuelan leader, who was actively pursuing an anti-US policy. Numerous assassination attempts involving employees of the US Embassy in Caracas were exposed and thwarted.
  According to the general, in violation of international law, the US was carrying out the activity to develop drugs that cause chronic diseases and trigger various forms of cancer when administered.
  According to the Venezuelan side, such a drug was used to poison Chavez by Claudia Diaz, a member of the presidential entourage. With the help of US intelligence agencies, she left Venezuela and was subsequently taken to the US to avoid the possible disclosure of the details of her cooperation with the US intelligence agencies.
  "The cause-and-effect link between the death of the Venezuelan leader and biological weapons developments is confirmed by the forensic expertise and evidence of Cuban doctors who treated Chavez about the atypical course of the disease and its resistance to medicines," Kirillov stressed.

​This will put Irish Dairy Farmers out of business and I will not be able to get cheese and butter from grass fed cows, containing omega-3 fats.​
​ Irish farmers and organizations in the agriculture industry are outraged over the government’s plan to cut agriculture emissions by 25%, all while claiming it won’t lead to herd culling.​..​
​..​“The target that we’ve been working towards has been 18%, maybe 22% but not 25%,” said Cork farmer Alan Jagoe. “We’re producing food on our farms. We’re not taking fossil fuels off the ground; we are not mining; we are producing food that we all eat. That has been lost in this debate.”(Or it is exactly the point)

They are clearly killing many more than that, but the later deaths are harder to prove, and nobody wants to look.
Covid Vaccines Are Killing One in Every 800 Over-60s and Should Be Withdrawn Immediately, Says Leading Vaccine Scientist
​ ​Dr. Schetters, who is a recipient of the Medal of Honour of the Faculty of Pharmacy at the University of Montpellier in France, told Dr. Robert Malone, an inventor of mRNA vaccine technology, that medical doctors are currently seeing “all sorts of symptoms that they do not know what it is” and that “in the Netherlands now it’s very clear that there is a good correlation between the number of vaccinations that are given to people and the number of people that die within a week after that”.

​Deep state supersedes the constitution and you are in no position to comment... Got it?​
Rand Paul: Congress Is Not Allowed To Know About TOP SECRET Gain Of Function Research Committee
“We don’t know the names. We don’t know that they ever meet, and we don’t have any records of their meetings. It’s top-secret. Congress is not allowed to know.”

..“the committee that is supposed to review these viruses is secret.”
  “We don’t know the names. We don’t know that they ever meet, and we don’t have any records of their meetings,” the Senator reiterated, adding “It’s top-secret. Congress is not allowed to know. So whether the committee actually exists, we’re uncertain.”
  “We do know that they’ve met three times and there are thousands of gain-of-function research proposals. They’ve only met three times, they’ve only reviewed three projects,” Paul continued.​   

Midwestern Health System Settles for $10.3m with Healthcare Workers: Victory for Medical Choice​  (Careers already ruined for many...)

  ​I am under investigation by the Board of Family Medicine (my medical specialty) and the Texas board of Medical Examiners (my license)​ for prescribing antivirals like ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine to keep patients alive and out of the hospital (before i was fired for vaccine-refusal).
‘They are attacking the doctors who are the leaders in helping American people,’ Dr. McCullough said.
​​Professionally Disparaged
​(pictured with just-delivered kitchen countertop awaiting trimming and installation)​

Thursday, August 4, 2022

Explaining Involuntary Reductions


  What if global politics are fitting a bunch of crises to what is happening anyway,to create a narrative to "explain" it to us, when it is all happening for reasons beyond the control of the politicians and their "backers"? Just askin'. I know it's kind of far-fetched, but I've beenmulling it over, and i can even patch something like this together, myself. 

  Here, hold my beer; watch this!

  I'll start with the projections of the oft-maligned 1973 book The Limits To Growth, which used the big computer at MIT, a new scientific discipline of Systems Analysis, and analyzed the growth of human population, industry, and natural resource usage over the 20th century, correlated with estimated reserves of resources, water and forests, and the capacity for waste absorption of the earth's oceans, air and soils.
A couple of the predictions, if humanity did not change course intentionally (which humanity did not do) were that human population would peak around 2050, but that human industrial production would peak between 2010 and 2020. I think that industrial peak happened in the second half of 2018, myself, along with CO2 output, which closely correlates.

  By August 2019, the biggest banks and financial institutions in the world, like Black Rock and Deutsche Bank, could not trust eaach other on overnight loans, backed by US Treasuries, so the Repo-Crisis happened in September. The Fed. took over the repo-window, and started creating $US trillions, which needed some cover. The monetary infusion needed to be really, really big, bigger than 2009, and it needed to go directly to the biggest financial institutions on the planet, and  it needed cover, and then it needed hiding.

  Luckily, COVID came along right after that, though there is evidence that it had already leaked from a lab in Ft. Detrick Md. or Wuhan before that.
In january 2020, China had a crisis with the pandemic, and there was evidence that it had already spread far and wide. Limited test availability and weird testing protocols let the tale of the spread  be managed somewhat, but FEAR got dialed up by the media.

  Lockdowns got announced in March 2020, and crashed the real economy, and the stock market, allowing any sum of money to be given to any bank, while suppressing the real economy, so it did not "overheat". They didn't stop the virus, but they were very effective at shutting down restaurants, bars and barbershops, while shunting their business to Amazon, which did great. Lockdowns might actually kill people.
The Chinese have discovered lately that lockdowns for COVID are an effective treatment against runs on insolvent banks, but they don't address the underlying structural failures. Sigh...

  COVID provided a pretty good cover for governments and banks around the world to do whatever they needed to, to keep control of the societal narrative, but after the 'vaccines" came out that lost traction. Early treatment had been suppressed, and all of the eggs placed in the vaccine-salvation basket, and all concerns about the coronavirus vaccines had been censored. those concerns were that no effective vaccine had ever been made against a coronavirus, nor did humans naturally mount a reliable long-lasting immunity to coronaviruses and their mutant offspring. All animal models of vaccination in coronavirus research had seen greater deaths among the vaccinated animals, mostly when they got exposed to the actual virus later. the vaccines worked backwards, causing more deaths, just like what seems to now be happening with humans. one mechanism is vaccine-antibody-enhancement-of-viral-pathogenicity. "The vaccines help the virus". We have seen public health England data for over a year, suggesting higher COVID infections and deaths in the vaccinated after 6 months, and increases in hospitalizations and deaths followed with a little lag. That's everywhere from israel to New England. Australia is getting hit hard by that lately. Here is a recent article looking at one specific way the vaccines help the virus.  

  Steve Kirsch has found survey data that "Vaccines" for COVID kill more than COVID does. Google disallowed his 2 questions to run a Google survey. Basically, "Did anybody in  your household die from COVID?" and "Did anyone in your household die from COVID vaccination?".
"Nextdoor" didn't shut him down for a whole 24 hrs, by which time he had 2% COVID deaths, 3% vaccine-deaths and 3% vaccine serious adverse events per household.

 About 22% of people (such as myself, an early-treatment MD, fired for vaccine refusal) have never accepted the official COVID narrative. 
Less than half of "fully vaccinated" Americans are getting a booster. They changed their minds. The societal control narrative needed a diaper-change.

  WAR! That's a tried and true control-narrative. we got Ukraine War. Biden came back smiling from his meeting with Putin, shortly before war broke out. Biden kept guaranttying that Russia was going to attack /ukraine in February. He did know the set-up, that Ukrainian troops were massed to finish the genocide in the Donbas in late February if Russia did not intervene. The US had trained and supplied Ukrainian troops since the US-sponsored 2014 coup d'etat in Ukraine put in the new fascist government in Kiev, which failed to honor the 2015 Minsk Accords, to give Russian-speaking Donbas autonomy and to stop shelling them.

  You see how that war has gone for the west. It was supposed to be self-supporting in a way, by collapsing the Russian economy and their will to fight, but like the vaccine-salvation, this war-plan is working-backwards. Americans are not afraid of it, and don't much support it any more, since "our side"-is-losing. Ukraine has dropped out of the headlines. Russian prestige on the global stage has gone from 3-stars to 5-stars, while US prestige is at 2-stars. Russia is exporting less oil and gas, but getting more money. The Russian Ruble is the strongest it has been in years. Russian weapons are in high demand. Russian diplomacy is trusted...

  As the global energy-based economy grinds ever-downward from its peak in 2018-2019, neither COVID, nor the Ukraine war will suffice as a control narrative for American power elites. It's an acute disaster in Europe.   
Europe really needs the Russian gas spigots turned back on fully by fall equinox, and even that will still be a deadly winter for Europeans. Germany is importing more than it exports. The jig is about up for the Brussels EU. Orban of Hungary is calling it like he sees it and cannot be shut up, short of assassination.   “Brussels is not our boss We are an independent, sovereign Hungarian nation. We make decisions together. If they’re not good for us, we’ll tell them. If they are not good and we can prevent them, the common decision will not be made.”

  Making Europe use less fossile fuel is part of the plan for the control narrative, but throwing outthe ruling elites is not part of the plan. The WAR needs to be against somebody else, and quickly, so europe can open Nordstream 1 & 2 up and get the gas we need to survive winter. Otherwise people are going to follow Orban-the-Deplorable. "War" with China might be good enough. Neither China nor the Us appears to really want a big war, like against Russia (US) or the US (China).
The border between China and Taiwan is about 100 miles of ocean, so no blitzkerig. there can be lots of testing of resolve and of defensive and offensive capabilities. there can be cyber-war, trade-war and limited-war. There are some small islands in the strait that can be limited battlefields. The US can pump weapons into Taiwan, or jump right in. The US Congress has legislationintroduced to make Taiwan a more-important ally. The US can put US navy ships in Taiwanese waters and ports 'by request', making Taiwan into somthing like Japan. How far along that timeline before China sends the bimbers? The tension could be unbearable.

  The Chinese navy is going to do live fire military drills less than 10 miles from the Taiwanese coast in the next few days, in 3 different places that close.

 Taiwan Policy Act of 2022. Senator Robert Menendez
  Our legislation would reinforce the safety of Taiwan by offering virtually $4.5 billion in safety help over the subsequent 4 years and recognizing Taiwan as a “major non-NATO ally” — a strong designation to facilitate nearer navy and safety ties. It would additionally increase Taiwan’s diplomatic area by its participation in worldwide organizations and in multilateral commerce agreements. The laws would additionally take concrete steps to counter China’s aggressive affect campaigns, impose crippling financial prices if Beijing takes hostile motion towards Taiwan (reminiscent of monetary, banking, visa and different sanctions) and reform American bureaucratic practices to bolster assist for Taiwan’s democratic authorities. In quick, this effort can be the most complete restructuring of U.S. coverage towards Taiwan since the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979.

​  That act by Senator menendez does not take the step of recognizing Taiwanese nationality yet, but it could do so, Taiwanese statehood is the modern reality, but it does throw the gauntlet down for war with China right-away. The problem is that China might need a hot war before the us needs a hot war, and of course Taiwan never wants the hot war. The whole world needs Taiwanese chips. this is different from Ukrainian wheat and corn.​

  Still, this war scenario allows for any necessary reduction in global carbon-based economy to be created/explained by the war narrative. Famine control-narrative explanations remain in preliminary stages with arsons and explosions in American food processing plants, fertilizer-embargoes, and government green initiatives against farmers through much of the alnglophone world and Holland.
War generally leads to famine, and with global supply chains as they are, we have already seen how easily that can be accomplished.  it is important to remember that rapidly reducing the resource-depleting and CO2 generating human population of this planet, in a manageable and generally-palatable way is an important task for our shadowy globalist owners. We are overheating the planet by burning THEIR jet fuel, after all.

  That brings us to the new, competitive-global-elite control-narrative, now championed by Russia, China, Shanghai Cooperation organization, and the growing BRICS+++. This control-narrative says that the current neoliberal-capitalist global elites and their $US based global value extraction system, spearheaded by World Bank and IMF loans for things that help imports and hurt locals is The Problem. That's still not discussing resource limits as a driver of current trends, but it allows a lot of room to improve the match of the control-narrative to "reality", so it should be less of a strain to the credulity of folks like us, and hungry folks and cold folks.
  This new narrative has a powerful feature to improve reality-matching, which is the massive repudiationof $US debts. That repudiation by debtor countries will massively decrease the magnitude of promises to be paid by future production, payment which can never be performed as real economy shrinks. The 'financial innovation" of recent decades makes it impossible to discover how much phanton-wealth there is, but that's one way the current system "creates prosperity".

  That implies "assigning losses" not just to starving Africans and indians, but to many of those wealthy people who now hold developing world debt, instead. That's going to please a lot more of the people of the world, and will not necessitate killing as many through starvation. It's going to be tough for the gated-community and jet-set, but I'm sure they will understand that its the wonders of capitalism going through more growth pains as it becomes more efficient. To further run with that ball, we see that African leaders are now calling for a new system whereby Africans get a leg-up by burning African oil, instead of sending it to "wealthy" countries. that's pretty bold, and it's not "green', but they are claiming that they are so much greener than westerners that westerners should rightly take big cuts so Africans can take some modest increases. Clever argument, eh?

Greeenhouse Gas Guzzler


Monday, August 1, 2022

Where's Nancy

 Monitoring Signals,

  Former Secretary of State ("War Pig") Mike Pompeo knocked the Biden administration for not backing a trip to Taiwan by Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.).
“To allow America to be bullied by Chinese propaganda, right after, frankly, President Biden has had a phone call, a long phone call, with [Chinese President] Xi Jinping… would send a really bad message to our friends in the region: the Australians, the South Koreans, the Japanese,” Pompeo told host John Catsimatidis on WABC 77 AM’s “Cats Roundtable.”

  Pelosi announced Sunday that she was setting off on a four-country tour of Asia, and is slated to lead a six-member congressional delegation to Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and Japan. She included no mention of Taiwan in her plans, despite multiple reports of her intent to visit the territory.

  “I don’t agree with Speaker Pelosi very often, but she made it clear that she wanted to go visit, on her own, to visit Taiwan, an independent, sovereign nation. And now, the Biden administration is saying, ‘Well, maybe that’s not smart,’ ” Pompeo said...
  Under the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979, the U.S. is committed to helping self-governed Taiwan defend itself against Beijing, but the U.S. has remained strategically ambiguous about its position on Taiwan, which China claims as its own.

  I have seen this as "get burned", "playing with fire", but this translation is harsher. It is notable that Xi warned Biden about "those who play with fire", which would apply more to Biden, deeply compromised by bribes from China and Ukraine, being "burned", than it would potentially apply to Nancy Pelosi getting shot-down.
China To Pelosi: You Will ‘Perish’ Over Taiwan
​  ​Chinese ruler Xi Jinping told President Joe Biden during their phone call on July 28, according to the Chinese foreign ministry. “The public opinion cannot be defied. Those who play with fire will perish by it.”

  Pelosi visits Taipei on Tuesday, August 3. Ideal weather for invasion of Taiwan across the Taiwan Strait is in September, October and April.
Pelosi expected to visit Taiwan, Taiwanese and US officials say
​  ​US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is expected to visit Taiwan as part of her tour of Asia, according to a senior Taiwanese government official and a US official, despite warnings from Biden administration officials, who are worried about China's response to such a high-profile visit.
​  ​The stop -- the first for a US House speaker in 25 years -- is not currently on Pelosi's public itinerary and comes at a time when US-China relations are already at a low point.
​  ​The Taiwanese official added that she is expected to stay in Taiwan overnight.
 ​Hmm, really​?​ Well, that would be a different set of calculations.​ Go nuclear against ships? ​Nancy looks fearlessly patriotic. Joe looks demented, bribed and traitorous.​
Pelosi Is Irrelevant: China Was Already Planning An Invasion Of Taiwan
​  ​Would China really commit to an impromptu war with Taiwan over Nancy Pelosi, a person who amounts to nothing more than a political smudge in the history books?  No, they wouldn't, but they would be happy to use her diplomatic visit to Taiwan as a pretense for invasion.  
​  ​The timing for Pelosi's visit to Taiwan has not been released and will likely remain classified until the event.  China has announced live fire drills this week in the Taiwan Strait as a show of force and a state run newspaper has even suggested that the CCP has the right to shoot Pelosi's plane down​...  China has also insinuated that direct invasion will take place if the visit occurs.  
​  ​A US carrier strike group is moving near Taiwan after being deployed from Singapore and tensions are high.  Ironically, Democrats chastised Donald Trump for “upsetting” Chinese/US relations over Taiwan only a couple years ago, and now they are one-upping him.    
​  ​According to an alleged Russian intel leak in 2021, the CCP was already planning a forced annex of the island nation (that the Chinese claim is not a nation) for the fall.  The leak from Russia's FSB has not been verified, but it does parallel the increase in Chinese naval activity in the region, along with even more aggressive rhetoric than usual against Taiwan.

  The compromise agreement of 1979, in which both sides accepted ambiguous terminology and agreed to disagree about Taiwainese nationhood is over.
The Chinese Government now rejects the One China Policy that has been the foundation of U.S./Chinese relations for 43 years. CSIS boils it down nicely:
  When the United States moved to recognize the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and de-recognize the Republic of China (ROC) in 1979, the United States stated that the government of the People’s Republic of China was “the sole legal Government of China.” Sole, meaning the PRC was and is the only China, with no consideration of the ROC as a separate sovereign entity.
  The United States did not, however, give in to Chinese demands that it recognize Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan (which is the name preferred by the United States since it opted to de-recognize the ROC). Instead, Washington acknowledged the Chinese position that Taiwan was part of China. For geopolitical reasons, both the United States and the PRC were willing to go forward with diplomatic recognition despite their differences on this matter.
(I think the carrier group will remain on the far side of Taiwan, away from China, shielded by the island, and not venture into the Strait of Taiwan.​ 
It seems that any ship and crew venturing into the strait, in times of war, would be at very high risk of being sunk in that 85 mile crossing.)

  What can China do apart from imposing a “No Fly Zone” over Taiwan? China has hypersonic missiles.​  ​China maintains the largest and most diverse missile arsenal in the world. Since the end of the Cold War, Beijing has rapidly modernized its missile force, growing from a small arsenal of cumbersome, inaccurate ballistic missiles into a formidable force of precision-guided ballistic and cruise missiles, loitering munitions, and—most recently—hypersonic weapons.​  ​China’s deployment of hypersonic weapons has attracted significant attention, and for good reason. Hypersonic weapons combine the extreme speeds of ballistic missiles with the maneuverability and lower-altitude flight of cruise missiles, stressing traditional means of early warning and defense.  ​The hypersonic missile can sink a U.S. aircraft carrier. None of the ships in the Ronald Reagan Carrier Strike Group have a defense to counter the hypersonic missile. In other words, China can sink one or more ships in that Task Force if the United States ventures into the Straits of Taiwan.          

What are 5 scenarios of China atacking Taiwan and/or the Taiwanese-controlled islands in the Taiwan Strait? What would be more likely?
What factors would induce China to attampt the full invasion?

​I have to wonder how much Russia would support China in an invasion of Taiwan. How much support for that bloody invasion would be in the national interest of Russia? Support would pit Russia directly against the US, which Russia and the US have tried to avoid. China has no self-defense claim for this invasion, just a territorial claim that Taiwan "belonged" to China 127 years ago, before China traded Taiwan/Formosa to Japan to settle a war. China is politically invested in this action, but Russia should clearly stay as distanced as China has stayed from Russia's war in Ukraine. No-Russian-weapons-killing-Americans seems like a good plan.​

​ This article says that "President Biden" has just shifted the Ukraine narrative ​away from "defeating Russia", towards avoiding-NATO-war-against-Russia, and Ukraine deciding whether or not to cede territory to Russia to obtain peace. Ukraine can exit-stage-left with compromised-Joe.

  Modern economics is premised upon energy (coal, oil, gas, hydroelectric) being so cheap as to not be limiting in any of the usual equations, so not included.
Gail Tverberg: The world’s self-organizing economy can be expected to act strangely, as energy supplies deplete
It is my view that when energy supply falls, it falls not because reserves “run out.” It falls because economies around the world cannot afford to purchase goods and services made with energy products and using energy products in their operation. It is really a price problem. Prices cannot be simultaneously high enough for oil producers (such as Russia and Saudi Arabia) to ramp up production and remain low enough for consumers around the world to buy the goods and services that they are accustomed to buying.
​  ​We are now in a period of price conflict. Oil and other energy prices have remained too low for producers since at least mid-2014. At the same time, depletion of fossil fuels has led to higher costs of extraction. Often, the tax needs of governments of oil exporting countries are higher as well, leading to even higher required prices for producers if they are to continue to produce oil and raise their production. Thus, producers truly require higher prices.
​  ​Governments of countries affected by this inflation in price are quite disturbed: Higher prices for energy products mean higher prices for all goods and services. This makes citizens very unhappy because wages do not rise to compensate for this inflation.​ ​
(Wages and fuel costs​ are in the sam​e​ ​column​One displaces​ the other.)​  ​The issue causing the price conflict can be described as reduced productivity of the economy. The ultimate outcome of reduced productivity of the economy is fewer total goods and services produced by the economy.​..
..In the past, the growth rate of GDP has exceeded that of energy consumption. As the economy changes from growth to shrinkage, we should expect this situation to reverse: The rate of shrinkage of GDP will be greater than the rate of shrinkage of energy consumption.​..
..Many parts of the economy are likely to find that the promised payments to be made to them cannot really take place.​..
..Virtually no one looks at the economy from a physics point of view. For one thing, the result is too distressing to explain to citizens...
..Unfortunately, the physics-based approach I am using indicates that the world’s economy is likely to change dramatically for the worse in the months and years ahead. Economies, in general, cannot last forever. Populations outgrow their resource bases; resources become too depleted. In physics terms, economies are dissipative structures, not unlike ecosystems, plants and animals. They can only exist for a limited time before they die or end their operation. They tend to be replaced by new, similar dissipative structures.
​  ​While the current world economy cannot last indefinitely, humans have continued to exist through many bottlenecks in the past, including ice ages. 

​Richard Heinberg: ​Will civilization collapse because it’s running out of oil?
..For readers who just want the bottom line, here goes. The most sensible figure for the aggregate amount of producible “conventional oil” originally in place (what we’ve already burned, plus what could be burned in the future) is about 2,500 billion barrels. We’ve already extracted about half that amount. When this total quantity is plotted as a logistical curve over time, the peak of production occurs essentially now, give or take a very few years. Indeed, conventional oil started a production plateau in 2005 and is now declining...
..So far, we are merely seeing crude and natural gas shortages, high energy prices, broken supply chains, and political upheaval. Energy challenges are now top of mind for policymakers and the public in a way that we haven’t seen since oil prices hit a record $147 barrel in 2008, when peak oil received some semblance of attention. But now we run the risk of underlying, irreversible supply constraints being lost in the noise of other, more immediate contributors to the supply and price shocks the world is experiencing—namely lingering effects from the pandemic, the war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russian oil and gas, and far stricter demands for returns from domestic investors.
​  ​Keeping the situation from devolving further will take more than just another fracking revolution, which bought us an extra decade of business-as-usual. This time, we’re going to have to start coming to terms with nature’s limits. That means shared sacrifice, cooperation, and belt tightening.

​Approaching the cliff more shyly now. This insurance ban on Russian oil cargoes would not just kill real economy, it would be bad for financial institutions!
​  The EU and the UK have slowed efforts to have Russia shut off from the most important maritime insurance market amid concerns that a full insurance ban would limit global oil supply and push oil prices even higher, the Financial Times reports, citing UK and EU officials.
The UK was set to join an EU insurance ban after the UK and the European Union agreed in May to jointly shut off Russia's access to oil cargo insurance. Under those plans, Russia would be effectively shut out of more than 90% of the global oil shipment insurance market.  
​  ​The insurance ban was to be a much bigger deal than the actual EU embargo on Russian oil imports, as it would cripple Russia's ability to export crude anywhere in the world, analysts said at the time.
​  ​However, the UK has yet to introduce such restrictions on maritime insurance, FT notes. The UK participation with the scheme is crucial because London and the UK are home to many of the world's biggest maritime insurers.

​Surplus Energy Economics covers a lot of the same ground, returning to look through the financial lense:. Real interest rates have to stay a little bit negative.
​  ​Ultimately, the challenge facing the ECB – and other central banks too – is to prevent two things from happening.
​  ​The first and most obvious is to guard against inflation taking on its own momentum, which could easily happen in a climate of apparent official indifference or resignation.
​  ​But the second is to ensure that the damage – and the crisis-risk – caused by a negative real cost of capital does not escalate, as it could if central banks allow real rates to slump into lethally deep negative territory  .

​Michael Hudson looks at American foreign policy, once carrot-and-stick, but lately just an ever diminishing stick to induce countries to keep having their wealth extracted by using $US.​   American Diplomacy as a Tragic Drama

  Pepe Escobar presents the escape plan from $US hegemony, which is about to be declared.    Going to Samarkand​ 
 ​The SCO ​(Shanghai Cooperation Organization) ​and other pan-Eurasian organizations play a completely different – respectful, consensual – ball game. And that’s why they are catching the full attention of most of the Global South.
​  ​The meeting of the SCO Ministerial Council  in Tashkent this past Friday involved some very serious business. That was the key preparatory reunion previous to the SCO summit in mid-September in fabled Samarkand, where the SCO will release a much-awaited “Declaration of Samarkand”.

​Great title:   World economy at risk of deglobalization – IMF
The sanctions on Russia could split the global economy into geopolitical blocs, experts predict
Japanese firms in no rush to leave Russia​   ​
Over half of the companies operating in the country reportedly fear being unable to return

​Waiting for Tomorrow 
(pictured finishing construction of new kitchen pantry this past weekend)​