Frugal Shoppers,
Surplus Energy Economics, The class of ‘26 - ON THE EDGE OF CHANGE I’d like to point out that the coming twelve months will mark the 250th anniversary of the most important year in modern history.
People had long used coal and other fuels to warm their homes and prepare their food. What was transformative about Watt’s discovery was that it enabled us, for the first time, to convert heat into work. The entirety of the industrial age flowed from that breakthrough...
..Our fundamental problem today is resource depletion, which is driving a wedge between preference and possibility. We want growth to continue; it can’t. We seem to favour wide inequalities between social groups; this is becoming unsustainable
Our predicament now is that we have failed to find a successor to hydrocarbon energy. Recent reports from Rystad Energy and the IEA have pointed towards a looming decline in the supply of oil and natural gas....
..Energy is not like any other commodity. A shortage of coffee and a rise in its price do not make us poorer, but energy shortages and higher costs do make us less prosperous.
The economy works by using energy to convert other raw materials into products, artefacts and infrastructures, so a decrease in the amount of ex-cost energy available to the system makes the economy smaller...
..The critical measure of the condition of energy supply is the Energy Cost of Energy, a calibration of how much energy, being consumed in the energy access process, is unavailable for any other economic purpose. Driven by the depletion of fossil fuel resources, global trend ECoEs have risen relentlessly, from 2.0% in 1980 to more than 11% today...
Renewables cannot take ECoEs back down to growth-capable levels. In addition to their intermittencies and lesser portability, these renewables depend, for their expansion, maintenance and replacement, on legacy energy from fossil fuels.
This is a material explanation for the financial fact that renewables are reliant on subsidies... Seen in material rather than monetary terms, the whole of the economy is ‘subsidised’ by the energy industries. This subsidy is gradually being withdrawn by rising ECoEs...
..“Secular stagnation” – in essence, a trend inflexion – set in. The real cause, as we know, was rising ECoEs, for which no ‘fix’ exists.
But the response favoured at the time was “credit adventurism”. We can’t reinvigorate a flagging material economy with monetary tools, any more than we can cure an ailing house-plant with a spanner...
..The forces of resource degradation and rising ECoEs cannot be halted by political diktat.
The use of super-rapid liquidity expansion to sustain a semblance of normality will result in a massive financial crisis, part of which will be a wholesale destruction of super-inflated paper asset wealth. The financial recklessness required to maintain a simulacrum of ‘business as usual’ has already put wide swathes of the discretionary economy on life support.
This might not be the most uplifting way to end 2025, but knowledge is always to be preferred over even the most palatable versions of ignorance. https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2025/12/21/316-the-class-of-26/
Echoing the Trump administration’s National Security Strategy, Rubio pulled no punches in highlighting how Europe’s slide toward “civilizational erasure” endangers alliances built on liberty and self-governance...
..“You go to these NATO meetings and you meet with people, what they will tell you our shared history, our shared legacy, our shared values, our shared priorities. That’s what they talk about as the reason for this alliance,” Rubio said. “Well, if you erase your shared history, your shared culture, your shared ideology, your shared priorities, your shared principles, then what – then you just have a straight-up defense agreement. That’s all you have,” he continued. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/rubios-stark-warning-europe-risks-wiping-out-shared-culture-western-civilization
The collapse of Germany’s export driven growth model is forcing a strategic repositioning in which green industrial ambitions are being replaced by military Keynesianism. https://umitak.substack.com/p/germany-after-pax-americana-from
'This new aircraft carrier will be an illustration of the power of our nation,' French president says
Steve Witkoff and Kyiv’s Rustem Umerov used identical language, saying Ukraine “highly values” U.S. support. https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/21/ukraine-russia-miami-florida-talks-00702453
It hardly needs pointing out, however, that Putin agreed not to speak to “Europe” but rather to Macron, and he did so after the European summit put paid to Friedrich Merz's attempt to unite his EU partners around a stronger stance vis-à-vis Moscow.
Merz wanted to use Russian funds frozen in European banks to finance Ukraine's war effort. The ECB counseled against this move, which could have left member state governments on the hook for hundreds of billions of euros if the war were to be ended behind their backs by a treaty imposed on Ukraine by the US and Russia. https://arthurgoldhammer356783.substack.com/p/macrons-gambit-accepted
Brussels needs Ukraine to win on the battlefield for the bloc to ever see its money again, according to the Hungarian prime minister https://www.rt.com/news/629827-eu-loan-ukraine-war-orban/
..According to the Myrotvorets Centre, a Kyiv-based intelligence website, the Russian official was a target of Kyiv for several years.
The website, which calls itself “Non-government Centre for Research of Elements of Crimes against the National Security of Ukraine, Peace, Humanity, and the International Law," had his name listed before he died in Moscow.
Sarvarov's personal data appeared on the site on May 28, 2022. His profile described him as a "Russian war criminal," with December 22 marked as his "liquidation date." https://www.intellinews.com/russia-s-lieutenant-general-killed-in-moscow-car-bomb-417837/?source=russia
By 2029, the terminal checks a second balance — carbon, social, compliance — before the transaction clears. Fail the check, payment denied. It’s a permission system.
We covered the EU implementation in How Europe is Building a Carbon Currency — Digital Product Passports, Digital ID Wallets, and the Digital Euro. But Europe is just one implementation. The architecture is global. https://escapekey.substack.com/p/conditional-existence
Lewis was shocked, she recalled in an interview with The Intercept, as were her colleagues and students. The school did not give any explanation for why they did not renew her contract. Unbeknownst to Lewis, the pro-Israel blacklist organization StopAntisemitism had recently launched an online campaign against her, framing her social media posts about the genocide in Gaza as “using her platform to spread vile antisemitic hate online.”
Lewis is one of at least 400 people StopAntisemitism has taken credit for getting ousted from their jobs in its online crusade. https://theintercept.com/2025/12/20/stopantisemitism-israel-blacklist-teacher-job-firings/?
Nobody actually believes “globalize the intifada” means “kill all Jews”. They’re just pretending to believe that to promote the interests of a genocidal apartheid state.
Nobody actually believes pro-Palestine demonstrations are “hate marches” or that pro-Palestine speech is “hate speech”. They’re just pretending to believe that to promote the interests of a genocidal apartheid state. https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/notes-on-bondi-beach-and-free-speech
Australian authors were under the impression we would be automatically ‘age verified’ through Stripe or credit card but this is not the case for all. Substack is not even on the official list of government-restricted platforms. https://www.esafety.gov.au/about-us/industry-regulation/social-media-age-restrictions/which-platforms-are-age-restricted
The technology deployed (persona) cannot be circumvented with the use of VPN or Tor and the biometrics cannot be fooled as others have done around the world. This appears to be much more sophisticated than the technology that was deployed in the UK and our individual accounts appear to be flagged. https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/urgent-please-read-and-share-this
The ADF is evaluating an Israeli-made AI precision targeting system ‘proven in combat’ in Gaza. https://declassifiedaus.org/2025/12/22/australia-trials-weapon-battle-tested-in-gaza/
Kamran Ahmed and Amu Gib have been hospitalised as a protest that began 50 days ago raises alarm. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/22/two-palestine-action-hunger-strikers-in-uk-prisons-admitted-to-hospital
Read in the larger context of these awful events, the obsessive humanization of the Bondi Beach victims is an upside-down exercise in dehumanization. This is first, straight off the top. Jewish lives count, white lives count, names, faces, generous smiles—all this counts. But the names, faces, and lives of those the Zionist regime has terrorized and brutalized for the past two years or eight decades, depending on how you reckon history: No, no need for any of this because they do not count. https://thefloutist.substack.com/p/after-the-first-70669-deaths-there
Israeli forces shot and killed two young Palestinians in the West Bank on Saturday, shooting one a mere metres away from him.
Footage circulated by Al Jazeera and other outlets shows two Israeli soldiers lying in wait as the teenager walks down a narrow alley. One soldier crouches while the other stands behind him, both watching Abu Mualla approach.
Seconds later, the soldier opens fire from just a few metres away, shooting the child four or five times. Abu Mualla is then left bleeding on the ground as Israeli forces block Palestinian Red Crescent ambulances from reaching him. He later died from his wounds.
Three months later, Project Sunrise has made explicit what was then inference. The Wall Street Journal’s reporting matters precisely because it contains the numbers, the sequencing, and the monetisation clauses that moves this analysis from pattern-recognition to documentation.
The UN says settlements are expanding at their fastest pace since 2017, with Secretary-General Antonio Guterres describing their development as 'relentless'. https://www.newarab.com/news/israels-security-cabinet-approves-19-new-west-bank-settlements
Israel claimed it targeted two Hezbollah members, hours after Beirut said phase one of disarming the resistance group is nearly complete https://thecradle.co/articles/new-israeli-drone-strikes-hit-south-lebanon-in-latest-ceasefire-breach#google_vignette
Israeli officials believe Iran is expanding its ballistic missile program. They are preparing to make the case during an upcoming meeting with Trump that it poses a new threat. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/netanyahu-plans-brief-trump-possible-new-iran-strikes-rcna250112
"Their theory of change involves cutting off all support to Cuba," Juan S. Gonzalez, who was President Joe Biden's top White House aide for Western Hemisphere affairs, recently said. "Under this approach, once Venezuela goes, Cuba will follow."
On Tuesday, Trump ordered a "total and complete blockade" of all sanctioned oil tankers going into and out of Venezuela. He further boasted of the country having been "completely surrounded" with the "largest Armada ever assembled in the History of South America."
He then warned, "It [the blockade] will only get bigger, and the shock to them will be like nothing they have ever seen before — Until such time as they return to the United States of America all of the Oil, Land, and other Assets that they previously stole from us." https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/gunboat-diplomacy-accelerated-us-reportedly-interdicts-seizes-another-oil-tanker
“Instead of taking ownership and saying, ‘Hey, I screwed up,’ he gets other people blamed and potentially ruins their careers,” said a current official, who described Gottumukkala’s tenure at CISA so far as “a nightmare” for the agency...
The test was scheduled that month to determine his eligibility to review one of the most sensitive intelligence programs shared with CISA by another spy agency, three current officials and one former official said.
As a civilian agency, the vast majority of CISA employees do not need to view these types of highly sensitive materials, nor do they have to pass such an exam to be hired. But polygraphs are widely used across the Pentagon and U.S. spy community. https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/21/cisa-acting-director-madhu-gottumukkala-polygraph-investigation-00701996?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=dlvr.it
BI, which was acquired by the GEO Group in 2011, is one of several firms hired by ICE to provide “skip tracing” services, in which its teams of corporate investigators will use surveillance to track immigrants across the country to their homes and places of work so federal agents can easily swoop in and make arrests. https://theintercept.com/2025/12/19/ice-bounty-hunters-location-surveillance-geo-group/?
I expect this administration, Secretary Noem and CBP Commissioner Rodney Scott to order federal immigration agents to accost voters as they stand in line on voting day. Those of color, specifically Latinos, will have their citizenship questioned. And judging by how the agencies are grabbing people without even conducting on-site citizenship interviews, then taking them into ICE custody for a day, or two or three before letting them go, I expect this will be used to prevent citizens from voting. I wouldn’t even be surprised if Border Patrol set up checkpoints in areas of high Latino populations.
By the time voters are released, voting booths will be closed. By the time cities and states realize what has happened, declarations of who won will be announced and votes will be certified. This will all be followed by years of court battles like the 2020 election. https://jennbudd.substack.com/p/the-real-purpose-of-ice-raids
The US president says the new vessels will ensure naval dominance and include AI and laser technology.
He added that the vessels would be “cutting edge” and equipped with the latest technology, including artificial intelligence and directed energy lasers. They will also be armed with hypersonic missiles, nuclear cruise missiles and rail guns – all technologies that are in various stages of development by the US Navy.
“Each one of these will be the largest battleship in the history of our country, the largest battleship in the history of the world,” he said...
Traffic lights across the city were down, seemingly confusing the driverless cars — and halting them in their tracks. Riders and pedestrians posted videos of Waymos stuck at intersections, long lines of drivers behind them. https://missionlocal.org/2025/12/sf-waymo-halts-service-blackout/
The addition of ‘mental’ might have seemed natural enough, since minds can suffer just as bodies can. But ‘social well-being’ introduced something different. Your health now depended on your relationships, your standing, your integration into community. And the word ‘complete’ set a standard that no living person can meet on their own.
Retired pediatrician Dr. Paul Thomas spoke with CHD.TV Director Polly Tommey about why he broke from mainstream medicine and what he says parents must know about vaccines, childhood illness and medical risk. “Once I saw vaccine injury, I couldn’t unsee it,” Thomas said.Dr. Paul Thomas, a retired pediatrician who practiced for 35 years, spoke with CHD.TV Director Polly Tommey about questions many parents wrestle with: Do unvaccinated children get sick more often? When is hospital care really necessary? How should parents handle disease outbreaks, childhood fevers and family pressure to vaccinate? https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/dr-paul-thomas-why-dont-vaccinate-kids-parents-should-know/
The proposed legislation, dubbed the Written Informed Consent Act, was introduced into the House by Gus Bilirakis of Florida in August, with a companion bill introduced into the Senate by Tim Sheehy of Montana on Dec. 3. Both of the sponsors are Republicans; one House Democrat has joined them. https://www.themahareport.com/p/veterans-on-psychiatric-drugs-call
A $479 monthly premium jumps to nearly $2,000 with no improvement in coverage.
Republican proposals, such as one-time HSA deposits, fail to address affordability or premiums.
Red states suffer the most from policies enacted by the politicians they repeatedly elect.
Many working people will forgo insurance entirely, risking medical bankruptcy or death. https://egberto.substack.com/p/aca-premiums-explode-as-gop-obstruction
The embryos, described Thursday in the journal Cell, were created in part to try to find new ways to produce organs for people who need transplants, said the international team of scientists who collaborated in the work. But the research raises a variety of concerns. https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/04/15/987164563/scientists-create-early-embryos-that-are-part-human-part-monkey

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