Sunday, January 3, 2021

2021 Starting Gun

 Adaptive Living Organisms,

The Most Hopeful Scenario for 2021​, Charles Hugh Smith​
​  ​From the point of view of evolution, the most hopeful scenario for 2021 is the sudden and complete collapse of everything that is obsolete, inefficient, ineffective and sclerotic. When obsolete systems and entities pass away quickly, the cost and pain are processed and absorbed quickly as well: enterprises go bankrupt and their assets are liquidated, failed ventures close, and schemes that didn't yield the desired benefits are scrapped.
​  ​This is the evolutionary process. Whatever has lost its selective advantages will succumb to selective pressures and fade away.

​Glenn  Greenwald:
​  “Amazon and Walmart have raked in billions in additional profits during the pandemic, and shared almost none of it with their workers” — found that “the COVID-19 pandemic has generated record profits for America’s biggest companies, as well as immense wealth for their founders and largest shareholders—but next to nothing for workers.”
  These COVID “winners” are not the Randian victors in free market capitalism. Quite the contrary, they are the recipients of enormous amounts of largesse from the U.S. Government, which they control through armies of lobbyists and donations and which therefore constantly intervenes in the market for their benefit. This is not free market capitalism rewarding innovative titans, but rather crony capitalism that is abusing the power of the state to crush small competitors, lavish corporate giants with ever more wealth and power, and turn millions of Americans into vassals whose best case scenario is working multiple jobs at low hourly wages with no benefits, few rights, and even fewer options.
  Those must disgusted by this outcome should not be socialists but capitalists: this is a classic merger of state and corporate power —- also known as a hallmark of fascism in its most formal expression — that abuses state interference in markets to consolidate and centralize authority in a small handful of actors in order to disempower everyone else. Those trends were already quite visible prior to Trump and the onset of the pandemic, but have accelerated beyond anyone’s dreams in the wake of mass lockdowns, shutdowns, prolonged isolation and corporate welfare thinly disguised as legislative “relief.”
  What makes this most menacing of all is that the primary beneficiaries of these rapid changes are Silicon Valley giants, at least three of which — Facebook, Google, and Amazon — are now classic monopolies. 
(AI-powered techno-fascism)

​Jim Kunstler has a lot of predictive narrative.​ He has studied this path into the future for a long time. (Look at Latin American economies.)
​  I believe that working class will return to laboring, and not in the giant American factories of the kind we had in the 1960s, but because the government social safety nets will be running out of financial mojo in the coming decade. So, they will have no choice but to labor — at the same time that many automated activities we’ve enjoyed will not be running much longer. A lot of that automation has been applied, for instance, in agriculture, where one person could plow or harvest hundreds of acres a day riding in the air-conditioned cab of a multi-million-dollar rig guided by GPS, allowing the driver to watch movies while he “worked.” Well, that agri-business model is about to fail. The scale is all wrong and the capital requirements are too exorbitant. Bottom line: many idle working-class folk have a future in agricultural work. They don’t know it yet. Expect, also, more opportunities as household servants as American society becomes more distinctly hierarchical, and in more fine-grained strata than merely the rich and the poor. Far from being an evil outcome, consider how important to human psychology it is to have a place in this world, both in terms of purpose and a physical place to call home. And, anyway, how wonderful is the former working-class’s current plight as drug-addled, often homeless, and suicidal? Would you want things to stay that way, or can you imagine new social arrangements to meet new economic realities? 
​  ​The consolidation of commerce into a few giant companies such as Walmart, Target, Amazon had reached a deadly and tragic pitch before Covid-19, destroying all lesser organisms in the business ecosystem, and thousands of local Main Streets in the process. With the Covid lockdowns, the big boxes were somehow exempted from closure. Though they seem to be triumphing for the moment, these giant national chain merchandising outfits are in their sunset phase headed for twilight. As I’ll surely state again in this forecast, the macro-trend is for downscaling and re-localizing in everything, all activities. The chain-stores and big boxes depend on systems and arrangements that won’t persist, for instance, the long supply lines from the factories of Asia. The end of mass motoring will also prove problematical for commerce at the giant scale smeared all over suburban landscapes.​..
​  ​Shale oil was made possible by the Federal Reserve’s ultra-low-interest, easy lending policies. They made a lot of cheap capital available, and hundreds of billions migrated to the new shale oil plays in expectation that they would produce excellent steady revenues. Big institutional investors like pension funds and insurance companies especially were looking for reliable revenue with bond interest rates so low due to Fed policy. They thought they’d be swimming in shale oil company dividends and revenue streams from loans to shale drillers that paid better than US treasury bonds. One thing for sure, they thought: America wasn’t going to stop needing lots of oil. So, shale oil seemed like a sure thing. Except that after a few years, it turned out that nobody was making any money producing shale oil.
​  ​It just cost so damn much to get that stuff out of the ground. And the depletion rate was so savage that you had to drill and re-drill incessantly. And what was worse, the economy had evolved to the stage where there was no sweet spot for oil prices. Oil over $75 destroyed the business model for productive industrial activities that relied on cheap oil; while oil under $75 destroyed oil companies because they couldn’t make a profit at the well head.​..
​  ​I believe it will go down much quicker than that because falling production is so destructive to the business model of industrial society that it will induce gross economic, social, and political disorder. All that disorder will generate self-reinforcing feedback loops making a return to previous levels of comfort, convenience, prosperity, and order much less likely. The net effect will be a much lower standard-of-living among formerly “advanced” nations, and also falling populations. We’re just experiencing the beginning of that process with the destruction of America’s middle-class. It is the essence of the long emergency.​..
​  As for transitioning into a “sustainable economy” powered by “renewables” such as solar and wind power, that just ain’t going to happen — unless you’re talking about oxen and firewood, and a human population about ten percent of what the planet currently carries. All our fantasies about a high-tech utopia driven by wind and sun depend on a fossil fuel economy to produce the hardware for it and then the replacement parts for the hardware, ad infinitum.​..
​  We’ll see a Great Reset, all right, but not some totalitarian gruel dished out to the plebes from the Davos steam-table or any other elite catering service. It will be an emergent, self-organizing phenomenon, from the ground up, in which everyday people will have to improvise new systems at the local level for getting food, arranging for shelter, and creating business activities around their most fundamental needs: food production, transport, trade, manufacturing, energy supplies, medical care, cleaning, building, et cetera.

SARS-CoV-2 viral variant B-117 seems to be 50 to 70% more transmissible.​ 
My take on that is that this fact will rapidly drive the crisis of hospitalization unless we quickly ramp up outpatient antiviral treatment.
We need quick rapid testing and quick treatment with antivirals like ivermectin/zinc/doxycycline combination, as used widely in India.​

Luc sent this video of Roger Seheult MD talking about the role of vitamin-D in COVID, and presenting for a non-medical audience, a vast body of evidence about how critically beneficial vitamin-D supplementation is for human health. Get it in your body ahead of the virus, please.
Roger takes 5000 units per day. So do I. 
Feel free to take it twice a day for January and February, to get off to a good start in 2021.
(The guy asking Dr. Seheult questions irritates me. Maybe he's supposed to. I can't tell.)

Please note that this is in hospitalized patients. That is way later than treatment should be starting. 
Hospitalization is a public-health failure mode.
WHO-commissioned review of ivermectin trials finds 83% reduction in covid mortality.

​Here again is the Eastern Virginia Medical School protocol for treatment of SASR-CoV-2, Paul Marik MD's protocol.
The first dozen pages are most applicable to outpatient treatment.
(Vitamin-D, zinc, quercetin and aspirin are available to everybody. Only take vitamin-D, and a little zinc, and hold the others in reserve.)​

From Harvey Risch MD, is the list of access physicians who are treating COVID with antiviral and other medicines, not just "watchful-waiting".

NYT: We Came All This Way to Let Vaccines Go Bad in the Freezer?​ 
Problems arise in administering vaccine with short shelf life at -30 degrees to millions of people, who are rightfully uncertain that it's "safe".

Antibody Dependent Enhancement (of the virus, not you) and SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and therapies
​  ​One potential hurdle for antibody-based vaccines and therapeutics is the risk of exacerbating COVID-19 severity via antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE). ADE can increase the severity of multiple viral infections, including other respiratory viruses such as respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)9,10 and measles11,12. ADE in respiratory infections is included in a broader category named enhanced respiratory disease (ERD), which also includes non-antibody-based mechanisms such as cytokine cascades and cell-mediated immunopathology (Box 1). ADE caused by enhanced viral replication has been observed for other viruses that infect macrophages, including dengue virus13,14 and feline infectious peritonitis virus (FIPV)15. Furthermore, ADE and ERD has been reported for SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV both in vitro and in vivo. The extent to which ADE contributes to COVID-19 immunopathology is being actively investigated.

​Bill Barr just quit that job. Thanks Wiggs
“They’ve been protecting Hillary Clinton, they’ve been protecting Obama, they’ve been protecting the Deep State,” Fitton stated last Friday.

​How real will this get?
11 senators announce they will reject congressional election certification on Wednesday
Lawmakers calling for an audit of the U.S. election out of concerns over voting integrity.

​Just how much constitutional power Mike Pence can wield as President of the Senate is a little fuzzy, and critically important.​
Pence embraces election challenge by members of Congress
Pence says he shares the concerns of millions of Americans about electoral fraud.

​Julian Assange is one of our living martyrs. How can we support this brave champion of truth?

Speaking Truth Openly


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  2. Top two most popular UK newspapers: 1. The Sun 2. The Mail

    1. The Sun -

    2. The Mail -

    The cat is out of the bag!