Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Pondering Potential Peace


  Driving to Yoakum and back yesterday, mowing and pulling weeds, gave me well over 8 hours to consider how the 75 year war between "Israel" and the nations of the Levant and Arab world might conclude, perhaps starting this year.
  Big Serge's analysis in "The Age of Zugzwang" was that either "Israel" is defeated militarily as a prelude to a "political solution", or Israel completes its genocide of Palestinians on the land that Zionists call "Israel".  The nature of the Zionist state of "Israel" does not allow it to compromise, which would involve giving up lands it has taken, and recognizing land rights, human rights and civil rights of native Palestinians.  https://bigserge.substack.com/p/the-age-of-zugzwang

  Alastair Crooke, The Resistance Has a Plan for Israel. But on the Other Side, Fantastical U.S. Stratagems Ensure a Cascading Failure
​  Nasrallah outlined what is clearly the agreed Axis of resistance’s overarching strategic plan. (There has been a flurry of meetings between senior Axis principals over the last week, across the region, for which Nasrallah is speaking):
​  “We are committed to fighting Israel until it is off the map. A strong Israel is dangerous to Lebanon; but a deterred Israel, defeated and exhausted, is less of a danger to Lebanon”.
​  “The national interest of Lebanon, the Palestinians, and the Arab world is that Israel leaves this battle defeated: Therefore, we are committed to Israel’s defeat”.

​  Put bluntly, the Axis has its vision of the conflict’s outcome. And it is a “deterred, defeated and exhausted” Israeli State. By implication, it is an Israel that has relinquished the Zionist project – one that is reconciled to the notion of living as Jews between the River and the Sea – albeit with rights no different to others living there (i.e. Palestinians).

​  The Israeli plan of genocide, clearing Palestinians off the "land of Israel" has been proceeding in fits and starts in the West Bank area, and seeks a decisive "ethnic cleansing" in ancient Gaza. The cities of Gaza have been destroyed by massive bombing, as have the hospitals and schools. There is no water, fuel or electricity, and aid trucks sit parked for miles in Egypt, starving Palestinians to death, an Israeli success nears completion.

Opinion: I’m an American doctor who went to Gaza. What I saw wasn’t war — it was annihilation

​  Israel acts with such impunity partly because it has nuclear weapons, which it can deliver via F-16 jets, ballistic missiles and submarine launched ballistic missiles. Israel has a military doctrine, the "Samson Option", which dictates that if the Jewish state of Israel is about to fall in a war, then it will unleash its nuclear arsenal against the world, as far as it can reach. Supposedly, implementing this option was discussed at one point in the 1973 Yom Kippur war, when Egyptian and Syrian forces were gaining ground, early in that conflict.
  Israel has long had undue influence in the halls of government and finance of the UK and US, as well, and in the conjoined spy services of CIA, MI-6 and Mossad, but the nuclear warheads must absolutely be dealt with in any "Axis of Resistance" plan for victory.

  The Israeli navy has 2 large missile corvettes and 6 German Dolphin submarines armed with missiles, which are assumed to be nuclear capable. The Israeli navy is mainly harbored at Haifa, but not only there.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_Navy

  It seems that prior to proceeding with a land war against Israeli forces, an alliance intent on actually defeating the Israeli military would need to disable Israeli nuclear weapons with some kind of first strike. Otherwise, why bother? None of the Axis of Resistance forces have nuclear weapons, so how could that possibly be an option?

  Last November Iran announced the upgraded Fattah-2 hypersonic missile, with a range that can supposedly reach al of "Israel".
​  Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) unveiled the new ballistic missile “Fattah 2” equipped with a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) warhead...
​  The fully indigenous missile is equipped with a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) warhead, capable of maneuvering at hypersonic speeds ranging between 5 to 20 Mach, equal to about 6,100 and 24,000 kilometers per hour, depending on its design and utility. An HGV warhead allows the ballistic missile to significantly alter its trajectory after launch.
​  Conventional ballistic missiles follow a predictable ballistic trajectory and are vulnerable to air defense systems. The in-flight maneuverability of HGVs makes them unpredictable, enabling them to effectively evade air defenses.
​  The first version of the Fattah ballistic missile, with a range of 1,400 kilometers, was unveiled in June. The precision-guided missile features a two-stage solid fuel engine with a maximum speed of Mach 15 (18,522 km/hour) on impact. The missile can bypass and destroy air defense systems, and it possesses excellent maneuverability and stealth ability to pass through radar systems.

  ​Newsweek, 3/23/2023 ,  Did Russian Kinzhal Missile Take Out 'NATO Command Center' in Ukraine?  (Yes, but they pretend that a Russian Kinzhal hypersonic missile shooting 200 meters down the ventilation shaft to destroy a NATO command bunker in western Ukraine was too far fetched to be real. Google doesn't give me any of the good links to the story.)  https://www.newsweek.com/russia-nato-ukraine-command-center-strike-kinzhal-missile-1791805

Is the Iranian Fattah-2 missile as accurate as the Russian Kinzhal? How much sharing did they do on the targeting and guidance systems? Nobody is saying on the internet.

  The Axis of resistance has done a lot of consulting in recent weeks. Have they agreed upon concerted action, simultaneous attacks upon the Israeli military if it ramps up the genocide in Rafah and ejects Palestinians into Egypt's Sinai desert? Netanyahu has less to risk as long as he just starves these families to death and doesn't trigger a concerted attack by driving them into the walled-area Egypt just constructed. The conservative Israeli move is to starve millions of Palestinians to death, and they hare halfway there. The Axis of Resistance has not been able to get food and supplies in through the Israeli blockade. It would require concerted military intervention to force the issue.

​  Gaza truce talks 'unpromising': Qatar PM , Hamas is reportedly planning to suspend talks until enough humanitarian aid is allowed into the Gaza Strip
​  A deal "does not appear very close," Netanyahu said on Saturday. He had previously called Hamas’ terms for an agreement "delusional."
The Israeli premier also vowed that the Rafah operation would commence, despite repeated international warnings over the threat posed to civilians and displaced.

​  US Threatens to Veto New Gaza Ceasefire Resolution at UN Security Council​ , The US has vetoed two similar resolutions
​  The US is threatening to veto a resolution calling for a ceasefire in Gaza at the UN Security Council as the US continues to provide political cover for the Israeli massacre of Palestinians.

​  ICJ Hearings to Examine 57 Years of Israeli Occupation of Palestine​                                                                                                                                                                   [If the​ world would recognize a Palestinian State within the 1967 borders​, that would be something to defend. Russia keeps saying ​"1967 borders and a 2-state solution​" are necessary.​ Accepting this kind of plan would save-face for Israeli politicians and generals in the face of strikes, sharply reducing their nuclear capabilities.]
​  "Decades of injustice will finally face scrutiny," said U.N. human rights official Francesca Albanese ahead of next week's Hague hearings on the legal consequences of Israel's illegal occupation.
​  More than 50 countries are set to participate in next week's hearings at the International Court of Justice focusing on Israel's illegal 57-year occupation of Palestine, a forum that follows the Hague tribunal's finding last month that Israel is "plausibly" committing genocide in occupied Gaza.
​  The ICJ—also known as the World Court—will hold a week of hearings on the legal consequences of Israel's occupation of Palestine, which dates to the Israeli conquest of the West Bank, East Jerusalem, Gaza Strip, Syrian Golan Heights, and Egyptian Sinai Peninsula during the 1967 Six-Day War.

​  Currently, Israel limits risk of a concerted all-fronts attack by the Axis of Resistance, by not overtly assaulting Rafah refugees and driving them into Egyptian Sinai, but starving them and attriting them with sniper fire and hospital bombings, as disease moves through their crowded and weakened bodies. Israel can say it will militarily assault Rafah, which will keep global attention focused there, but refrain from that action, maintaining tension. 

​  Benny Gantz, a member of Israel’s war cabinet, threatened on Sunday that Israel will launch an assault on the southern Gaza city of Rafah if Hamas does not release the remaining Israeli hostages by Ramadan, which begins on March 10 this year.​  

  The axis of Resistance needs to take out some Israeli missile cruisers and submarines at port or on the seas with precision missiles, while also hitting some nuclear-weapons bunkers nearby and near airfields. Anti-aircraft systems such as S-300, S-400 or S-500 would need to be used to prevent F-16s with nuclear weapons from taking off. Russia world need to say, "we must insist that you don't launch any ballistic missiles or let any F-16s take off until this calms down a bit". Russia would have a clear interest in preventing Israeli nuclear retaliation, as would the world, including the US.
  The weakening of the Israeli nuclear wild-card would allow actual negotiations towards a two-state solution with 1967 borders to take place. Armed Israeli "settlers" would need to relocate. It is hard to imagine the Israeli military relocating them, but not impossible. Lots of money to hand out would help. Other national armies might deign to wear the blue helmets, such as Turkey. Would Americans, Canadians, Aussies and Brits do that kind of work? They might. 
​  The non-nuclear destruction of a large fraction of Israeli nuclear weapons would allow the rest of the world to align against the Zionist regime, force them to negotiate a face-saving humanitarian management, respecting 1967 borders, equal rights, Palestinian right-of-return to lands stolen in 1948 and 1967, and the dismantling of the apartheid state.

  ​"Netanyahu" will definitely be out if he loses militarily. This article presupposes an Israeli victory/genocide.
​  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not be able to retain power after the country’s military has concluded its operation against Hamas in Gaza, Ynet media outlet has claimed, citing anonymous sources within his Likud party. Amid mounting calls for early elections, the Israeli leader insisted on Saturday that now is “not the time for politics,” suggesting that the next vote will take place “in a few years.”

​  Ralph Nader,  Biden & Blinken – Rule of Illegal Power Over Rule of Law
​  What laws are being violated by the State Department daily as it approves ships and cargo planes full of weapons of mass destruction to be used in Israel’s war crimes and genocide against hundreds of thousands of Gaza’s civilians, mostly children and women?
​  These are the laws highlighted in the  Veterans for Peace   letter:
​  The Foreign Assistance Act, which forbids the provision of assistance to a government which “engages in a consistent pattern of gross violations of internationally recognized human rights.”
​  Arms Export Control Act, which says countries that receive US military aid can only use weapons for legitimate self-defense and internal security. Israel’s genocidal campaign in Gaza goes way beyond self-defense and internal security.
​  The U.S. War Crimes Act, which forbids grave breaches of the Geneva Conventions, including wilful killing, torture or inhuman treatment, wilfully causing great suffering or serious injury to body or health, and unlawful deportation or transfer, perpetrated by the Israeli Occupying Forces.
The Leahy Law, which prohibits the U.S. Government from using funds for assistance to units of foreign security forces where there is credible information implicating that unit in the commission of gross violations of human rights.
​  The Genocide Convention Implementation Act, which was enacted to implement U.S. obligations under the Genocide Convention, provides for criminal penalties for individuals who commit or incite others to commit genocide

​  State Department Threatens Congress Over Censorship Programs​ , Matt Taibbi
A year after its censorship programs were exposed, the Global Engagement Center still insists the public has no right to know how it's spending taxpayer money
​  The State Department is so unhappy a newspaper published details about where it’s been spending your taxes, it’s threatened to only show a congressional committee its records in camera until it gets a “better understanding of how the Committee will utilize this sensitive information.” Essentially, Tony Blinken is threatening to take his transparency ball home unless details about what censorship programs he’s sponsoring stop appearing in papers like the Washington Examiner.
​  A year ago the Examiner published “Disinformation, Inc.”, a series by investigative reporter Gabe Kaminsky describing how the State Department was backing a UK-based agency that creates digital blacklists for disfavored media outlets. Your taxes helped fund the Global Disinformation Index, or GDI, which proudly touts among its services an Orwellian horror called the Dynamic Exclusion List, a digital time-out corner where at least 2,000 websites were put on blast as unsuitable for advertising, “thus disrupting the ad-funded disinformation business model.”

​  Meryl Nass MD,  Mike Benz is THE best person in the world to explain how censorship works in the US (and to some extent in Europe). New Tucker C interview.
Proud to say I told my readership about him one year ago. He is still telling the same story, with some more details.

​That hour long Tucker Carlson interview with Mike Benz, who explains exactly how this censorship is carried out within the government/deep-state apparatus.

​  Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has notched a victory in his legal battle against alleged government censorship of statements he made on social media that were critical of the COVID-19 vaccines.
​  A federal court has granted a preliminary injunction against the White House and other federal defendants in a lawsuit brought by Mr. Kennedy Jr. that accuses the Biden administration of orchestrating a campaign to pressure social media platforms to censor vaccine criticism.
​  Judge Terry A. Doughty of the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Louisiana issued the ruling on Feb. 14, stating that Mr. Kennedy Jr. has demonstrated a strong likelihood of success in proving government infringement on his free speech rights.

​  Gilbert Doctorow outs the Brits ("perfidious Albion") again: 
  A news brief in RIA Novosti this morning sets out the claim that the shoot-down over Belgorod oblast  (RF) a couple of weeks ago of an IL-76 Russian transport plane was ordered and directed by British advisers to the Kiev regime without the consent of the Kiev military unit responsible for air defense. Just remember that the plane was downed by US made Patriot missiles which are very costly and of which Kiev has a very limited supply. Normally the Patriots would be launched only after approval by top Ukrainian military and political officials. That plane was carrying 65 Ukrainian prisoners of war about to be exchanged for Russian POWs...
..Looking back at the early days of the war, we know full well that the peace treaty which Russian and Ukrainian negotiators initialed in Istanbul in week five of the war was sabotaged by UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson during his visit to Kiev. He urged Zelensky to fight on, with Western assistance, and in this way the UK is responsible for the deaths of half a million Ukrainian males in the fighting ever since...
..But then, as some readers wrote in, how could British forces reach so far into Russia as the remote penal colony in the North where Navalny was being held and carry out his murder?  The answer is very simple: they did it by proxy.  As we know from occasional news items on fires, explosions and other acts of sabotage being carried out deep inside Russia, the Ukrainian intelligence agencies have many operatives working clandestinely inside the Russian Federation.  They are all native Russian speakers, without a hint of some cockney accent, and they can travel anywhere.

​  The Russian military has made the accusation that NATO troops are actually manning and directly overseeing Ukraine's advanced anti-air defense systems which were provided by the West.​ The charge comes after weeks of the Kremlin saying that French mercenaries have been positioned in the city of Kharkiv, which sits across from Belgorod - a Russian border area subject of persistent mortar and rocket attacks.

​  Assange Judge Worked For MI6 & Defense Ministry
As with previous judges who have ruled on the WikiLeaks publisher’s case, Justice Jeremy Johnson raises concerns about institutional conflicts of interest.
​  Justice Jeremy Johnson has also been a specially vetted barrister, cleared by the U.K. authorities to access top-secret information.
Johnson will sit with Dame Victoria Sharp, his senior judge, to decide the fate of the WikiLeaks co-founder. If extradited, Assange faces a maximum sentence of 175 years.
His persecution by the U.S. authorities has been at the behest of Washington’s intelligence and security services, with whom the U.K. has deep relations.

​  Paul Craig Roberts, 2024 Is the Last Year of Free Speech and Democracy in the Western World
​  Tyranny is easy to establish over peoples who have confidence in their Constitutional rights and integrity of their institutions. The more patriotic the population is, the more susceptible it is to deception and betrayal by government. Try telling patriots what is happening to them, and they will call you a commie for speaking badly about their beloved country. Christian evangelicals have no opposition to the evil that is engulfing us, because they have been brainwashed that they will escape it by being wafted up to Heaven. The growth of evil is actually their escape from a sinful world into Heaven. The more evil, the sooner their escape. For most of the rest, liberal interventionists and hegemonic neoconservatives have taught that America is exceptional and indispensable, so how can anything go wrong.
​  Combine these awareness-blockers with the fact that uncomfortable truths are a bad news turnoff, and that censorship is being established as a national security matter with the argument that it makes us safe and “protects democracy.” Consequently, the criminalization of truth is rushing ahead.

​  Douglas Murray, the director of the British Free Speech Union, announced a new initiative on Monday aimed at doxing critics of Israel for "hate speech" and keeping them from getting jobs.​ "Douglas Murray is Director of the British Free Speech Union. He is now going to lead an initiative to have harsher penalties for those accused of hate speech, and bar 'bigots' from employment opportunities based on social media posts!" Keith Woods commented on X.

​  Vice Speaker of the Slovak Parliament Ľuboš Blaha about Navalny's death:​  "They better look at what the British and Americans are doing to Julian Assange, who is in custody on the verge of death in this glorious West, which prides itself on freedom of speech and protection of journalists. Let them remember how they remained silent when the American journalist Gonzalo Lira, who criticized Zelensky, recently died in Ukrainian custody. They didn’t even remember about it. And today they will moralize about Navalny’s death.​"

​  Czech prime minister labels protesting farmers ‘supporters of Moscow’
Hundreds of tractors have blocked downtown Prague as part of demonstrations against EU agriculture policies
​  On Monday, hundreds of tractors blocked off sections of Prague and disrupted traffic outside the country’s Agriculture Ministry as demonstrators demanded that the EU’s Green Deal, which calls for regulations on the use of certain chemicals and greenhouse gas emissions, be rejected.
​  The farmers have argued that the Brussels' proposals place a heavy burden on their businesses, making products more expensive and less competitive, especially when compared to non-EU imports, such as those coming from Ukraine.

​  Ukraine Used US Chemical Weapons Against Russian Troops - MoD
The Russian Defense Ministry reported on the facts of the use of poisonous substances by the Ukrainian military:
​  On August 19, 2022, a toxic chemical, an analog of the warfare poisoning agent "Bi-Zet," was used.
similar substance was found on January 28, 2024, during operational-search activities in a cache in Melitopol. It was in vials labeled "Biosporin".
On February 8 and 16, 2023, cases of hydrocyanic acid use with drones were recorded.
On January 31, 2024, the Ukrainian Armed Forces used an unknown toxic chemical that caused burns. Analysis showed the presence of a compound known as anthraquinone.
On December 28, 2023, American-made gas grenades loaded with a substance called "CS" capable of causing skin burns and respiratory paralysis were dropped in the area of Krasny Liman.
On June 15, 2023, a drone carrying a plastic container with a mixture of chloroacetophenone and chloropicrin was used against Russian troops near Rabotino.

​  When coming across the dead bodies of foreign mercenaries in liberated Avdeyevka, Russian forces discover many of the deceased to be servicemen from NATO countries, State Duma legislator Viktor Vodolatsky said.​ "We find the corpses of mercenaries in the rubble in Avdeyevka, ‘so-called mercenaries’ because these are soldiers of regular units from Poland, Germany, France and many other NATO countries that send their units here to gain combat experience against Russia," Vodolatsky told TASS.​  https://tass.com/politics/1748699

Pentagon Confirms $32M Drone Downed Off Yemen, Same Day UK Tanker Destroyed

​  Jeffrey Sachs,  How the CIA Destabilizes the World  Thanks Eleni.
​  If only the CIA’s rogue operations had been consigned to history as a result of the crimes exposed by the Church Committee, or at the least had brought the CIA under the rule of law and public accountability. But that was not to be.

Peter McCullough MD, Placental and Cord Blood mRNA Detected , Freshly Vaccinated Third Trimester Mother Passes Genetic Code for Spike to Baby

Dr. Marian Laderoute, Must be Disinformation (Hearsay) Due to Lack of Substantiating Data
How to Tell IF Media or the Government is Gaslighting You on the COVID-19 Vaccine Risks...Even IF You Are NOT VACCINATED

Plastics Cannot Be Recycled and Producers Know This, Report Claims​ [It takes less energy​ and pollutes less to make fresh plastic and put old plastic in the landfill​. Now what?]

​Speaking Out (pictured with one month old grandson)


  1. FreshQuest
    John - are you familiar with the Canadian historian Matt Ehret? He, and his wife, Cynthia Chung, have done remarkable work on the British influence predating the Balfour Declaration in the creation of the State of Israel. I would highly recommend Cynthia's book on the British Empire and Matt's four volume history of the US. Matt's recent five part series provides invaluable historical perspectives on the forces being brought to bear in the Middle East today. As Americans our history education is the equivalent of "short sound bites," disconnected to more lengthy historical trends. Matt attempts to connect the dots over the course of longer historical arcs.

  2. I really like Cynthia Ching's work when I see it, and have seen Matthew Ehret's work frequently for years, often on Global Research.