Monday, May 22, 2023

Timing A Crisis

 Routine Assumptions,

 Financial markets seem to be assuming business-as-usual drama,then a quick debt-ceiling deal when markets freak out. This time might be different. A financial shock is going to happen. Making a shock happen now, in a fairly well understood situation, which has happened before, and is readily reversible by a deal, might be a desirable way to cause a shock, cause some damage, and make repairs. This could be a somewhat controlled-demolition. Just a thought.
​  ​Debt Ceiling Negotiations Crumble, McCarthy And Biden To Hold Sunday Call As Impasse Intensifies
​  ​"It seems as though he wants default more than he wants a deal," House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) told Fox News on Sunday. "We have got 11 days to go," McCarthy continued, urging Biden and the Democrats to be "sensible about this."​ ...
..Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen underscored the urgency of the situation, telling NBC that the likelihood the US would be able to pay its bills by mid-June is "quite low."
​  ​"Well, there’s always uncertainty about tax receipts and spending," Yellen told "Meet the Press" on Sunday. "And so it’s hard to be absolutely certain about this, but my assessment is that the odds of reaching June 15 while being able to pay all of our bills is quite low."
[Yellen does not consider selling assets​ or minting a trillion-dollar-platinum-coin​ to pay the bills. Treasury is required to pay the bills, after all.]

​  ​Both Biden and McCarthy have vowed to avoid defaulting on the nation's obligations for the first time in history, despite disagreements over how to proceed The GOP has insisted that any increase in borrowing be accompanied by steep cuts in government spending - and passed a House bill in April to accomplish this, while Democrats want a 'clean' increase with no strings attached. For months, Democrats have refused to negotiate, and only entered into talks in the last week as the deadline approached.

​  This article looks at the ways for the US Federal Government​ to manage debt payments going forward, now that the decade of of ultralow interest rates has been spent, using up the deflation of Chinese economic and export growth, Quantitative Easing, and purchase of junk assets to encourage economic growth (of any sort), while keeping Federal Interest payments at a low percentage of tax-receipts and GDP. "Broad economic growth is ideal", but there is ample reason to believe that won't happen in the post-peak-oil epoch. Moderate inflation with real interest rates remaining negative can help if everybody plays along. Devaluing the dollar helps, but through what mechanisms, and how rapidly. Devaluing the $US against a new gold standard is not discussed, but may well happen. CBDCs are not discussed. Financial-regime continuity, including $US reserve-currency status, is assumed.

​  ​PATRICK LAWRENCE: The USA’s Soviet-Style President​ 
​  ​We are in for 19 months of relentless, insultingly transparent spin by way of which a patently incompetent man will be purveyed as commander in chief for another four years.
  ​Biden is not running for president. He is better understood as a creation of the Democratic machine and whose function is to front for the Deep State while it gets a declining empire’s work done. His obvious incapacities are just right for the job.
​  ​Remote, unanswerable and unanswering, Biden seems to me the U.S.’s first fully Soviet-style president. During his 2020 campaigns I compared him with Yuri Andropov and Konstantin Chernenko, the two dottering Soviet general-secretaries who preceded Mikhail Gorbachev. Then a reader pointed out this was unfair to Andropov and Chernenko, given what they got done in the late Soviet Union on the domestic side. I stood corrected. But I still wonder how many steps away Biden may be from the taxidermist.​..
​  Biden’s decision to stand for reelection — was it his or the Deep State’s? — is a dangerous business given the late imperium’s desperate conduct in Ukraine, across the Pacific, and elsewhere. And no one much mentions the frightening, spine-chilling reality that there is a more than an even chance Kamala Harris will serve as our 47th president within six years of the date-stamp on this column.
​  ​Silence, a Soviet silence, must prevail on all such matters.
​  ​The opinion polls are all over the place at this point, but one conducted by The Associated Press and NORC just before Biden committed to run indicates that three-quarters of American voters, including a majority of Democrats, don’t want him to.

​Christine sends this John Helmer article, opening with one of the comments, as will I.
Posted by: FVK | May 21 2023 12:54 utc | 1
  Yesterday, in his speech congratulating Prigozhin and Wagner on their victory over the Ukies with the taking of Artemovsk, President Putin announced that he activated the "PERIMETER" system.
  The PERIMETER system is Russia's "dead hand" automatic response system to attacks on Russia proper. It controls launch and targeting of Russia's Nuclear Triad/Strike Force.
  When I read this, I was mystified.... Why should this victory cause activation of PERIMETER???
  Now, with Helmer's analysis, I understand...
Russia takes the threat of a NATO first strike/ decapitation strike.... seriously...
This specifically means.... if NATO uses the "Exercises" as cover for a strike against Russia... Russia will launch a massive nuclear strike on NATO...

  ​There is a grave risk that in three weeks’ time US and NATO forces will attempt direct combat against Russia.
​  ​The operational plan is to strike from Romanian airspace in the south and the Baltic states in the north, in camouflage of the NATO exercise called “Air Defender 23”,  and under cover of US F-16 fighter aircraft purportedly operated by Ukrainian pilots but fuelled, directed, and guarded by more than two hundred US and NATO aircraft, including the most advanced US air war fighter, the F-35.  
​  “This [is] the largest deployment exercise since the foundation of NATO”, according to the cover story published by NATO headquarters. “

​Moon of Alabama (Germany): ​The Arabs Are Reunited And Israel Is Out
  Just ten weeks ago I was in awe. "This is huge!" I wrote about the surprising news of the restoration of ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran after mediation by China (and Russia).
  With that it was obvious that the conflicts in Syria, Iraq and Yemen between Iran friendly and Saudi sponsored forces would be coming to an end. But no one predicted the speed with which that is now happening.
  Today President Assad of Syria was welcomed back in Saudi Arabia to a summit of the Arab League...

..The Saudis are even rebuilding their relations with Hamas, the Palestinian Muslim Brotherhood entity which the U.S. has declared to be a 'terrorist group'...
..I do not see much hope for any talks with Israel as it can not commit to any reasonable solution..​.
​..Israel's problem, since its founding, are the two distinct groups that it attempted to unite under the roof of Zionism. The more secular and liberal European Ashkenazi have mostly led the country while the Middle Eastern Mizrahim and Ultra orthodox Haredim played a side role. But they have the higher birthrate and are on their way to become the majority. The aims these different groups have are incompatible and feed a permanent conflict:
​  ​For decades, the Ashkenazi leadership assumed the religious right, especially the Mizrahim and Haredim, would accept their inferior status in Israel’s Jewish hierarchy so long as they were bought off with privileges over the Palestinians.
​  ​But the religious right is now greedy for more than the right to oppress Palestinians. They want the right to shape Israel’s Jewish character too.
​  ​The religious fervor the Ashkenazi establishment hoped to weaponize against the Palestinians, especially through the settlement enterprise, has come back to bite it. A monster has been created that increasingly cannot be tamed – even by Netanyahu.
​  ​The new Middle East has now only one entity that is swimming against new the Zeitgeist current. That entity is disunited and unable to decide on anything. There is no one on the Israeli side with whom China, or anyone else, could make a deal over Palestine that would stick.
​  ​Should the Mizrahim and Haredim win, which they likely eventually will, the more secular Ashkenazi may even start to leave​[A Greek friend reports they have been relocating to Greece for over half a year already.] Israel's capabilities would leave with them. A reabsorption of a less capable and rich Israel into a wider Middle East might then become possible.

​Jonathan Cook has the full article referenced above. It is an informative read. Zionist Israel does not have a "problem", but a "conundrum".​
Nakba at 75: Israel’s State-Building Project Is Unraveling – From Within

  In the late 1990s my research led me to conclude that early childhood administration of mercury (Thimerosal) containing vaccines caused the autism epidemic. 
When our children were young  (1989-1997) we and numerous of my peers with young children delayed any vaccination until after a year. We were all suspicious of the sudden advance in vaccination schedules after the pharmaceutical companies were granted blanket immunity from liability. 
Our suspicions are tragically confirmed.  
​  Steve Kirsch: ​Vaccines cause autism  Nearly all the world's autism experts know it. They just can't talk about it.
  Did you know that there are large pediatric practices in America located in high autism areas that have ZERO kids with autism? Normally, we’d simply study what these practices have in common that are different from their peers. It’s called “copying what works.” Showcasing these best practices would dramatically improve the health of kids in the US and reverse the staggering rise in autism rates which are now nearly 5% of people under 40 (per my survey of 10,000 kids).
  Note: I make my 10,000 children survey record-level data public for everyone to see. The CDC doesn’t.
  If these “best practices” were adopted and encouraged by the CDC, FDA, and NIH, we’d be the healthiest nation on earth and autism rates would drop to insignificant levels...
​..​I will fund a study to identify the common unique practices of clinics with superior health outcomes (including zero autism). And I’m also going to fund a robust statistical analysis on my survey data to prove that it shows a causal link between vaccines and a variety of chronic diseases in a way that is impervious to attack.​.
..​On May 19, 2023, I did a survey of parents who described the health challenges of their kids. The data showed a huge signal that vaccines in general increase your likelihood of various chronic diseases including autism. For autism, ADHD, food allergies, etc. it was a 5X signal; for autoimmune diseases, the risk was elevated by around 25X.​..
..The pediatric practice with “off the charts” health outcomes eschews the use of all vaccines, vitamin-K shots, and acetaminophen. ​                                             ​No acetaminophen period. Ever.

​  Meryl Nass MD: ​ I missed the most damning slide of all from yesterday's advisory meeting on Pfizer's RSV shot for pregnant women.
​  ​I missed it, because Dr. Munjal was flipping through her slides so fast I could not read them. Now I know why she did that. It was to avoid discussing these data while still claiming she presented them. The FDA speakers did not discuss this either, nor did the members.​..​ 
..Data reported by Pfizer to the CDC indicated that 14% of pregnant women who participated in Pfizer’s trial sustained an adverse event, with 4.2% sustaining a “serious” adverse event, 1.7% experiencing a “severe” adverse event and 0.5% suffering a “life-threatening” adverse event.
  Similararly​, the same data showed that 37.1% of infants whose mothers received the experimental Pfizer vaccine experienced adverse events within one month of birth — with 15.5% classified as “serious,” 4.5% as “severe” and 1% as “life-threatening,” while efficacy waned within months of vaccination.

​  Myocarditis signal was known in Feb 2021 but FDA and CDC hid it until they got the vaccine authorized for 12-15 year olds in May 2021. Here is the proof.  FDA, CDC and Israeli evidence. Willful misconduct is clearly demonstrated. Meryl Nass MD​ 
  The VAERS contractor for CDC and FDA (Oracle had the contract) told the agencies there was a myocarditis adverse event signal in February 2021. This was 2 months after the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines were authorized. (Myocarditis shows up within 4 days of the second shot over 80% of the time, so it is hard to miss the obvious vaccine connection.) This involved people reporting myocarditis to VAERS before there had been any publicity about the connection.

Heart Healthy (took this picture of Jenny gardening)


  1. I know I'm a little late to the party, but what's the deal with no tylenol for kids?

    1. It looks like the Tylenol amplifies the (mercury containing) vaccine-side effects in causing autism, when you look at the data.

  2. Ah, ok. So no issues with Tylenol independent of jabs?

    1. I don't think it is clearly studied by itself, so I am reluctant to test the hypothesis that Tylenol-alone is harmless. We did not use a lot of it, but we did use it when the kids were little.